Adolfo Sanchez

OF ACL Reds

Age 20 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #847MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP45ETA2029FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	154	.339/.477/.504	2	10	78	—	.217/.340/.310
2026	19	ACIN	115	.175/.298/.351	4	0	36	—	.137/.228/.265
2026	19	ROKCIN	224	.287/.399/.473	8	5	66	—	.202/.291/.328
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCIN	449	.214/.285/.338	10	7	76	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCIN	135	.221/.293/.361	3	2	82	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCIN	229	.225/.297/.372	6	4	86	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$3M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV51

BB%45

Whiff%30

Chase%28

Z-Con%24

Speed23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 20) · Hoy Park (age 20) · Shed Long Jr. (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .283 / .335

PA320

HR7

SB5

K%27

BB%7

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	115	97	17	5	0	4	16	33	1	0	1	175	298	351	649	175	213	29	14	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	224	188	54	7	2	8	24	60	11	5	3	287	399	473	873	186	383	27	11	389	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	148	18	4	2	1	21	76	3	11	2	122	244	196	440	74	209	43	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	129	28	5	2	1	16	26	8	10	4	217	340	310	650	93	245	17	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	115	102	14	4	0	3	11	45	1	0	1	137	228	265	493	127	190	39	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	224	198	40	5	1	6	14	86	11	5	3	202	291	328	620	126	309	38	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	148	18	4	2	1	21	76	3	11	2	122	244	196	440	74	224	43	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	129	28	5	2	1	16	26	8	10	4	217	340	310	650	93	262	17	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	339	300	53	8	1	9	25	131	12	5	4	177	267	300	567	123	273	39	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	339	285	71	12	2	12	40	93	12	5	4	249	365	432	797	182	326	27	12	357	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	151	18	4	2	1	21	76	3	11	2	119	244	192	436	73	209	43	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	129	28	5	2	1	16	26	8	10	4	217	340	310	650	93	245	17	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	339	299	53	8	1	9	25	131	12	5	4	177	267	301	568	124	269	39	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	151	18	4	2	1	21	76	3	11	2	119	244	192	436	73	209	43	12	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	129	28	5	2	1	16	26	8	10	4	217	340	310	650	93	245	17	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	339	299	53	8	1	9	25	131	12	5	4	177	267	301	568	124	269	39	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	449	406	87	16	3	10	33	122	7	7	2	214	285	338	623	124	279	27	7	281	76	-13	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	394	355	77	14	2	9	30	105	6	7	2	219	291	353	644	133	280	27	8	289	82	-9	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	473	426	95	18	3	12	37	123	7	9	3	223	295	363	658	140	282	26	8	295	86	-8	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	524	470	107	20	3	14	41	135	8	10	3	226	298	370	669	145	283	26	8	299	89	-7	+1	-0	-3	+11	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	557	500	113	21	3	15	44	142	8	10	3	228	301	376	676	147	284	25	8	302	91	-6	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	576	517	118	22	3	16	46	146	8	10	3	229	302	378	681	149	285	25	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	585	525	119	22	3	16	47	148	8	10	3	229	302	378	680	149	284	25	8	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	586	526	119	22	3	16	47	149	8	10	3	228	301	375	676	147	284	25	8	302	91	-6	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	582	523	118	22	3	16	46	149	8	9	3	226	299	370	669	144	283	26	8	299	89	-8	+1	-1	-3	+13	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	573	515	115	21	3	15	45	149	8	8	3	224	296	364	660	140	281	26	8	296	86	-9	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	562	506	112	21	3	14	44	148	7	7	4	220	292	356	649	136	279	26	8	291	83	-11	-0	-2	-3	+12	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	135	122	27	5	1	3	10	36	2	2	1	221	293	361	654	139	281	27	7	293	82	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	229	206	45	8	1	6	18	60	3	4	1	225	297	372	669	146	283	26	8	299	86	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	284	256	58	10	2	8	22	73	4	5	2	228	301	380	680	151	284	26	8	304	89	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	309	278	65	12	2	9	24	79	4	6	2	231	303	385	688	154	286	26	8	307	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	322	288	67	12	2	10	26	81	5	6	2	232	305	388	692	156	286	25	8	308	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	329	295	68	12	2	10	26	83	5	6	2	232	304	387	692	156	286	25	8	308	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	324	290	67	12	2	10	26	82	5	6	2	231	303	385	688	154	285	25	8	307	91	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	319	287	66	12	2	9	25	82	4	5	2	229	301	380	681	151	284	26	8	304	89	-4	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	306	275	63	11	2	9	24	79	4	4	2	226	298	373	671	147	282	26	8	300	86	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	296	267	59	11	1	8	23	78	4	4	2	223	295	365	659	142	280	26	8	295	83	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2853	2564	585	105	17	82	224	733	40	48	18	228	300	378	679	150	285	26	8	303	84	-39	+2	-3	-17	+62	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	134	24	4	19	51	167	9	11	4	229	301	382	683	152	286	26	8	303	84	-9	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6402	5728	1255	232	36	161	513	1714	104	121	42	219	295	356	652	137	281	27	8	292	84	-85	+6	-6	-34	+124	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	24	4	16	52	174	11	12	4	220	297	357	654	137	283	27	8	292	84	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.8	3,174	83	53	226	295	368	-19	+0	2.4	2.4
/162	664	17	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adolfo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	20	25→43	36→48	47→48	40	212/283/335	123	279	7	5	27%	7%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	44→50	42→50	44→50	43	216/269/322	106	282	10	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	235/294/368	133	322	13	11	29%	7%	87	+0.4	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2022 · A	20	36→42	47→60	50→40	54	185/296/323	138	225	14	8	24%	11%	80	-0.2	204/271/370	166	279	22	5	34%	7%	80	-0.2	215/282/406	191	269	25	2	30%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	39→48	47→45	49→55	42	203/257/343	140	262	14	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	215/268/332	117	289	11	11	28%	6%	69	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Dustin Fowler 2015 · A	20	41→51	46→55	51→55	36	210/238/348	138	268	13	6	28%	4%	61	-1.5	243/269/366	123	305	9	17	23%	3%	76	-0.4	258/283/412	154	310	13	21	21%	3%	89	+0.4
✕Daryl Jones 2007 · A	20	42→52	41→45	49→50	41	203/270/300	97	269	8	10	27%	6%	63	-1.4	226/292/322	96	303	8	14	26%	7%	76	-0.4	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2016 · A	20	44→43	47→55	48→45	41	216/276/358	142	306	13	9	32%	7%	78	-0.3	206/276/342	136	304	13	8	34%	8%	74	-0.5	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕John Drennen 2006 · A	19	39→49	47→45	47→45	42	202/262/333	131	257	15	8	28%	6%	68	-1.0	224/283/327	103	291	9	6	25%	6%	74	-0.6	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕William Beckwith 2011 · A	20	43→44	41→50	52→50	47	211/282/312	101	273	9	9	25%	8%	70	-0.8	217/282/362	145	287	16	10	29%	6%	82	-0.0	210/276/362	152	278	19	11	31%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	45→46	40→55	52→50	40	217/262/316	100	295	6	9	28%	6%	62	-1.4	216/267/327	111	285	10	9	27%	6%	67	-1.1	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	40	43→45	47→50	42	192/272/308	116	291	10	9	35%	8%	65	-1.2	188/265/289	101	308	9	8	38%	8%	59	-1.7	157/243/251	94	257	8	8	39%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2017 · A	20	44→45	44→50	51→50	37	217/264/335	119	303	12	6	32%	5%	68	-1.0	206/263/335	129	294	12	7	33%	6%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4

Adolfo Sanchez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps