Alfredo Alcantara

SS Dayton Dragons

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #864MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ACIN	139	.267/.438/.476	6	3	113	—	.236/.387/.400
2025	19	ROKCIN	189	.315/.452/.443	2	7	79	—	.219/.328/.294
2026	20	A+CIN	433	.214/.317/.362	14	4	53	—	.181/.261/.295
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCIN	2	.186/.275/.309	0	0	64	-0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	22	MLBCIN	118	.193/.282/.325	3	1	70	-0.2
2029PROJ38% MLB	23	MLBCIN	194	.198/.287/.337	6	2	75	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO50

BB%50

Chase%42

K%41

Z-Con%34

wOBA28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsSammy Hernandez (age 20) · Kevin Padlo (age 21) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .275 / .309

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP242

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	152	120	32	9	0	5	24	32	6	2	1	267	413	467	880	200	321	21	16	391	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	205	169	32	4	0	5	29	74	5	4	2	189	325	302	627	112	293	36	14	294	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	105	28	4	0	6	21	30	11	3	2	267	438	476	914	210	319	22	15	408	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	189	149	47	13	0	2	33	44	4	7	1	315	452	443	895	128	425	23	17	401	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	433	373	80	11	1	14	50	112	6	4	3	214	317	362	679	147	265	26	12	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	127	22	6	0	3	17	40	6	2	1	173	300	291	591	118	206	26	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	231	53	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	110	26	3	0	5	16	40	11	3	2	236	387	400	787	164	307	29	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	189	160	35	9	0	1	22	63	4	7	1	219	328	294	622	75	331	33	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	433	387	70	9	1	11	36	142	6	4	3	181	261	295	556	114	244	33	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	127	22	6	0	3	17	40	6	2	1	173	300	291	591	118	224	26	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	152	120	32	9	0	5	24	32	6	2	1	267	413	467	880	200	321	21	16	391	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	236	53	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	205	169	32	4	0	5	29	74	5	4	2	189	325	302	627	112	293	36	14	294	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	271	62	13	0	6	37	103	15	10	3	229	353	343	696	114	339	31	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	328	254	75	17	0	8	54	74	15	10	3	295	446	457	903	161	383	23	16	404	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	433	387	70	9	1	11	36	142	6	4	3	181	261	295	556	114	250	33	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	433	373	80	11	1	14	50	112	6	4	3	214	317	362	679	147	265	26	12	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	152	128	22	6	0	3	17	40	6	2	1	172	300	289	589	117	206	26	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	231	53	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	273	62	13	0	6	37	103	15	10	3	227	353	341	694	114	321	31	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	433	388	70	9	1	11	36	142	6	4	3	180	261	294	555	113	244	33	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	205	181	20	2	0	3	17	108	5	4	2	110	207	171	378	61	231	53	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	328	273	62	13	0	6	37	103	15	10	3	227	353	341	694	114	321	31	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	433	388	70	9	1	11	36	142	6	4	3	180	261	294	555	113	244	33	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	543	479	88	14	1	13	49	160	10	6	3	184	273	300	573	116	241	29	9	263	64	-23	+0	-6	+6	+12	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	186	275	309	584	123	242	50	0	267	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	25%	468	413	78	12	1	12	43	133	9	5	2	190	280	315	595	125	244	28	9	272	70	-17	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	505	444	87	14	1	14	47	141	9	6	3	195	285	327	612	132	247	28	9	278	75	-15	+0	-4	+5	+11	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	545	480	95	15	1	16	50	149	10	7	3	199	289	336	624	136	250	27	9	283	78	-14	+0	-3	+6	+12	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	589	519	105	17	2	17	55	159	10	7	3	202	291	341	632	139	253	27	9	286	80	-14	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	603	532	110	18	2	18	56	162	10	7	3	204	293	344	637	140	255	27	9	288	81	-13	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	603	532	109	18	2	18	56	163	10	6	3	203	292	342	634	138	254	27	9	287	80	-14	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	599	528	107	17	2	17	56	163	10	4	3	202	290	337	627	136	253	27	9	284	79	-15	-0	-4	+6	+13	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	589	520	103	17	1	16	54	162	10	2	2	199	287	331	618	132	252	28	9	281	76	-17	-0	-5	+6	+13	-0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	578	511	100	16	1	15	53	161	9	1	2	197	284	324	608	127	250	28	9	277	73	-18	-1	-5	+6	+13	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	25%	118	104	19	3	0	3	11	34	2	1	1	193	282	325	607	132	245	29	9	276	70	-4	-0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	194	170	33	5	0	6	18	54	4	2	1	198	287	337	624	139	248	28	9	283	75	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	240	212	43	7	1	7	22	66	4	3	1	202	291	346	637	143	252	28	9	288	78	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	278	245	51	8	1	9	26	75	5	3	1	205	294	352	645	146	254	27	9	291	80	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	296	262	54	9	1	9	27	79	5	3	1	207	295	355	650	147	256	27	9	293	81	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	297	262	54	9	1	9	28	80	5	3	1	206	294	352	646	146	255	27	9	292	80	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	295	261	53	8	1	9	27	80	5	2	1	204	292	347	640	143	255	27	9	289	79	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	284	251	52	8	1	9	26	78	5	1	1	202	289	341	631	139	253	27	9	286	76	-8	-0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	300	264	53	8	1	9	28	83	5	0	1	199	286	333	619	134	252	28	9	281	73	-10	-0	-3	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2302	2031	412	65	7	70	213	629	40	18	9	203	291	345	636	142	255	27	9	287	73	-62	+0	-16	+25	+50	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	116	18	2	20	60	178	11	5	3	202	290	346	635	143	254	27	9	287	73	-17	+0	-5	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6517	5727	1120	182	15	174	606	1880	125	68	35	196	287	324	610	128	255	29	9	276	73	-152	-1	-40	+58	+117	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	111	18	1	17	60	188	12	7	3	194	284	319	603	124	254	29	9	276	73	-18	-0	-5	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#2Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#3Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
#4Heinie Sand'23-'28 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,529 PA	5.3	3,529	18	21	229*	321*	354*	+36	-15	3.9	3.9
/162	664	3	4	+6.7	-2.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Monte Cross'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,343 PA	5.0	3,343	9	138	213*	306*	344*	+36	-30	2.8	2.8
/162	664	2	27	+7.1	-6.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.5	2,303	65	20	201	286	336	+25	-13	2.7	2.6
/162	664	19	6	+7.1	-3.6	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Andujar Cedeno'90-'96 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,233 PA	3.4	2,233	47	26	228*	284*	371*	+24	-20	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Alcantara (OGILVIE)	21	20→39	40→45	60→53	60	182/271/297	115	241	8	3	29%	9%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→42	47→55	46→50	47	190/279/325	135	275	14	9	34%	10%	73	-0.6	191/275/329	138	281	14	8	34%	9%	72	-0.7	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	36→45	47→50	50→55	40	190/251/322	132	249	14	13	30%	6%	61	-1.5	196/259/315	119	279	11	18	32%	7%	62	-1.4	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Christian Cerda 2024 · A	21	41→40	43→45	48→40	57	200/308/313	113	265	11	4	27%	13%	81	-0.1	199/288/303	104	259	11	4	26%	11%	71	-0.8	188/274/285	97	238	11	2	25%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	209/276/317	108	258	11	9	23%	7%	69	-0.9	216/283/359	143	277	16	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jeral Perez 2024 · A	19	38→42	47→50	49→45	49	195/280/329	134	254	15	8	28%	9%	74	-0.6	206/278/344	138	276	16	6	30%	8%	76	-0.4	199/270/336	137	262	16	5	29%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	38→45	44→45	49→40	43	196/257/308	112	257	12	5	28%	7%	60	-1.6	216/271/329	113	275	10	4	24%	6%	70	-0.9	223/283/338	116	279	11	2	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→47	45→50	49→45	38	207/258/338	131	290	12	8	32%	6%	66	-1.1	209/270/355	146	291	16	8	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Mitch Einertson 2007 · A	21	38→48	43→50	45	42	192/252/301	110	243	11	5	26%	6%	57	-1.8	228/273/355	127	283	12	5	23%	5%	76	-0.4	238/281/367	129	292	12	5	22%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	38→35	47→45	45→40	45	195/272/324	128	273	15	4	33%	9%	70	-0.9	207/271/335	128	319	14	4	37%	7%	71	-0.8	208/271/342	134	323	16	0	38%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	39	46→45	46→40	46	197/270/322	124	275	13	7	32%	9%	68	-1.0	196/256/301	105	259	10	6	27%	7%	57	-1.8	180/240/276	96	230	10	5	26%	6%	43	-1.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2024 · A	21	41	39→40	48→40	54	193/303/275	82	276	7	5	30%	12%	71	-0.8	183/267/260	77	267	6	4	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/234/221	67	218	5	2	30%	8%	30	-1.2
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→43	47→50	48→30	43	197/269/333	136	279	14	5	33%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/368	157	314	18	2	35%	11%	89	+0.5	200/293/350	150	295	17	1	35%	11%	80	-0.1

Alfredo Alcantara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps