Will Hynes

P ACL Guardians

Age 20 RHP ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.6 · 2031

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1434ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	MIX2 levels	16	14	57	6.47	4.06	15.4%	9.0%	—	K 10.7% · BB 11.0% · FIP 5.01
2027PROJ	20	MLBCLE	—	—	0	5.35	5.35	13.1%	10.8%	—
2028PROJ35% MLB	21	MLBCLE	3	3	15	5.10	5.00	15.8%	10.0%	0.1
2029PROJ57% MLB	22	MLBCLE	5	5	24	4.83	4.68	18.1%	9.3%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsLogan Sendelbach (age 21) · Jairo Garcia (age 20) · Jasseel De La Cruz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%13.1%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%2.3%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	57	266	41	24	5	88%	3.6	10.7%	11.0%	-0.3%	2.6%	6.47	5.01	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	57	266	41	24	5	88%	3.6	10.7%	11.0%	-0.3%	2.6%	6.47	5.01	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	14	57	266	41	24	5	88%	3.6	15.4%	9.0%	6.4%	1.9%	6.47	4.06	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	CLE	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	2.9%	5.35	5.35	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	9	9	42	178	28	18	5	100%	4.7	15.8%	10.0%	5.7%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	+0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	8	8	42	178	32	17	5	100%	5.3	18.1%	9.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.83	4.68	+0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	8	8	42	179	35	16	5	100%	5.3	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.62	4.48	+0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	8	8	42	179	37	15	5	100%	5.3	20.4%	8.6%	11.9%	2.8%	4.46	4.36	+0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	7	7	42	176	37	15	5	100%	6.0	20.9%	8.4%	12.5%	2.8%	4.36	4.29	+0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	7	7	42	178	38	15	5	100%	6.0	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.31	4.27	+0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	7	7	41	174	37	15	5	100%	5.9	21.1%	8.5%	12.7%	2.8%	4.31	4.31	+0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	3	3	15	63	10	6	2	100%	5.0	15.8%	10.0%	5.7%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	+0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	5	5	24	101	18	9	3	100%	4.8	18.1%	9.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.83	4.68	+0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	30	127	25	11	4	100%	5.0	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.62	4.48	+0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	33	139	28	12	4	100%	5.5	20.4%	8.6%	11.9%	2.8%	4.46	4.36	+0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	35	148	31	12	4	100%	5.8	20.9%	8.4%	12.5%	2.7%	4.36	4.29	+0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	37	156	33	13	4	100%	6.2	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.7%	4.31	4.27	+0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	37	156	33	13	4	100%	6.2	21.1%	8.5%	12.7%	2.8%	4.31	4.31	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		38	38	211	890	178	78	25	100%	5.6	20.0%	8.7%	11.3%	2.8%	4.50	4.04	+3.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	169	74	24	100%	5.6	20.0%	8.7%	11.3%	2.8%	4.50	4.04	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		16	14	57	266	28	29	7	88%	3.6	10.7%	11.0%	-0.3%	2.6%	6.47	5.01	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	49	200	933	100	103	24	88%	3.6	10.7%	11.0%	-0.3%	2.6%	6.47	5.01	+2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 38 IPFIP 3.76 → 5.02 (+1.25)K% 18.6% → 12.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.60%	—	×0.680	12.65%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.56%	—	×1.250	9.45%
HR / BF /BF	2.33%	÷1.000	×1.400	3.26%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.76 → 5.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AHill City Howlers · 19 IPFIP 4.36 → 5.01 (+0.65)K% 9.6% → 7.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	9.57%	—	×0.740	7.09%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.70%	—	×1.180	13.81%
HR / BF /BF	1.06%	÷1.000	×1.300	1.38%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.36 → 5.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Hynes (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.9%	—	4.72	17.8%	8.4%	126	-0.63	—	—	—
Logan Sendelbach R 2015 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP	5.31	11.4%	9.2%	3.7%	.300	4.58	12.8%	4.3%	297	-0.73	4.14	340	90
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	88
Jasseel De La Cruz R 2017 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	13.1%	12.0%	1.5%	.275	4.36	17.0%	5.9%	202	+0.02	3.91	374	87
Osman Gutierrez R 2015 · 4.23 FIP	20	SP-	4.23	13.6%	9.1%	2.1%	.322	5.15	14.6%	1.7%	143	+0.92	4.23	189	86
Blake Wolters R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP	4.58	13.8%	11.9%	2.1%	.308	6.15	16.8%	0.1%	150	+1.57	4.58	206	86
Jonathan Heasley R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP	4.68	10.5%	8.8%	2.5%	.297	4.70	20.0%	11.6%	233	+0.02	3.72	607	86
Edelvis Perez R 2024 · 5.19 FIP	19	SP	5.19	11.9%	13.8%	2.4%	.267	5.56	17.9%	-1.9%	62	+0.37	5.19	103	85
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	85
Darlin Saladin R 2023 · 4.98 FIP	20	SP	4.98	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	.280	3.79	19.3%	8.0%	274	-1.19	2.91	407	85
Gerardo Salas R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	20	SP	5.00	14.0%	10.5%	3.2%	.307	4.94	17.5%	8.9%	273	-0.06	3.44	397	85
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	85
Arlinthon De Dios R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP	5.15	13.0%	11.6%	3.1%	.339	3.73	16.1%	4.6%	36	-1.42	3.73	123	84
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	84
Marcos Pimentel R 2024 · 5.05 FIP	17	SP	5.05	12.4%	9.3%	3.3%	.301	5.92	15.0%	5.7%	63	+0.87	4.79	113	84
Yovanny Cabrera R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP	5.18	14.5%	13.7%	2.9%	.238	5.21	18.5%	1.6%	149	+0.03	4.39	243	84
Alex Scherff R 2018 · 5.19 FIP	20	SP	5.19	13.9%	10.0%	3.6%	.321	4.65	16.6%	5.2%	146	-0.54	3.07	291	84
Bryce Warrecker R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	22	SP	5.43	11.3%	11.7%	3.3%	.271	3.82	20.1%	9.6%	91	-1.61	2.47	154	84
Orlando Noriega R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	19	SP	4.82	13.6%	12.5%	2.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	150	84
Luis Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	19	SP-	4.96	12.8%	12.5%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	111	83
Leuris Portorreal R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	18	SP	5.26	11.8%	11.4%	3.1%	.305	4.47	12.4%	3.0%	105	-0.79	3.99	192	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	42	18.8%	9.1%	1.09	4.66
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Cliff Politte ('06)	2.1	51	19.3%	9.6%	1.23	4.40
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*