Leuris Portorreal
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 127
ERA5.65
FIP5.65
K%11.0%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%-0.6%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 11 | 11 | 36 | 162 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 12.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.79 | 3.98 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 11 | 11 | 36 | 162 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 1.2% | 4.79 | 3.04 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 13 | 11 | 52 | 230 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 85% | 4.0 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 0.4% | 3.2% | 3.83 | 5.31 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 13 | 11 | 52 | 230 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 85% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 3.83 | 4.03 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 11 | 6 | 40 | 183 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 55% | 3.7 | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.13 | 4.43 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 11 | 6 | 40 | 183 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 55% | 3.7 | 16.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 4.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 16 | 12 | 51 | 223 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 75% | 3.2 | 12.9% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.91 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 27 | 113 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 11.0% | 11.6% | -0.6% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.0% | 11.6% | -0.6% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.65 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 78 | 336 | 51 | 33 | 6 | — | — | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 5.16 | 4.77 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 28 | 119 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.7 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.34 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 4.96 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 116 | 101 | 29 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 40 | 179 | 798 | 97 | 77 | 18 | 78% | 3.5 | 12.1% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.63 | 4.56 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 45 | 200 | 892 | 108 | 86 | 20 | 78% | 3.5 | 12.1% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.63 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Leuris Portorreal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.65 | 11.0% | 11.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.34 | 13.7% | 2.5% | 28 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 86 |
| Juan Gomez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 86 |
| Jeury Espinal R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.08 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 114 | 85 |
| Abel Duarte R 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.84 | 12.5% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 3.93 | 13.9% | 6.7% | 79 | -0.91 | 3.19 | 127 | 83 |
| Yovanny Cabrera R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | .238 | 5.31 | 18.5% | 1.6% | 149 | +0.15 | 4.39 | 243 | 83 |
| Ramon Santos R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 20 | SP | 6.07 | 7.2% | 14.3% | 3.2% | .352 | 4.56 | 13.3% | 3.4% | 191 | -1.51 | 3.84 | 355 | 82 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2027 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.31 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .300 | 4.63 | 12.8% | 4.3% | 297 | -0.68 | 4.06 | 340 | 82 |
| Josh Swales R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.43 | 11.8% | 14.6% | 2.7% | .356 | 5.63 | 15.1% | 1.4% | 66 | +0.20 | 5.43 | 129 | 82 |
| Moises Ruiz R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.62 | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 104 | 81 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 81 |
| Luis Rodriguez R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.96 | 12.8% | 12.5% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 111 | 81 |
| Miguel Vinicio R 2025 · 5.69 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.69 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 1.4% | 47 | -1.71 | 3.63 | 164 | 81 |
| Denny Lima R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.66 | 13.8% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 107 | 81 |
| David Sanchez R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.57 | 11.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.33 | 110 | 81 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 81 |
| Luis Mateo R 2028 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 81 |
| Bryan Balzer R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 1.9% | .360 | 4.78 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 73 | +0.20 | 4.58 | 123 | 81 |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 81 |
| Nicholas Economos R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.95 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .233 | 5.28 | 10.4% | 0.6% | 57 | +0.33 | 4.58 | 223 | 80 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 12.4% | 11.4% | 1.14 | 5.53 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |