Jeremiah Burke P Birmingham Barons
Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%22.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.06 (29 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201921ROKACL White Sox128542414218567%4.511.9%9.3%2.5%2.9%4.334.88
201921ROKACL White Sox128542414218567%4.517.4%7.5%10.0%2.1%4.333.75
202123MIX2 levels139451844313269%3.415.7%7.6%8.2%2.0%3.433.83
202123MIX2 levels139451844313269%3.423.4%7.1%16.3%1.1%3.432.63
202224MIX2 levels6615621332100%2.621.0%4.8%16.1%3.2%4.113.71
202224MIX2 levels6615621332100%2.621.0%4.8%16.1%3.2%4.113.69
202325MIX2 levels28049205482420%1.818.4%13.1%5.4%1.1%3.833.83
202325MIX2 levels28049205482420%1.823.4%11.7%11.7%1.0%3.833.14
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBCWS28029123281240%1.022.9%9.6%13.4%2.9%4.374.37+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBCWS26028117271140%1.122.8%9.8%13.0%3.1%4.444.50+0.0
202729MLBCWS909389410%1.022.8%9.8%13.0%3.1%4.444.50+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career809378410%1.122.8%9.8%13.0%3.1%4.444.12+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418492230%1.122.8%9.8%13.0%3.1%4.444.12+3.0
Career5923163692108661539%2.815.7%9.6%6.1%2.2%3.914.18+2.3
/ 200 IP7228200847133811839%2.815.7%9.6%6.1%2.2%3.914.18+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeremiah Burke (OGILVIE) 4.37 22.9%9.6%2.9% 4.50 22.8%13.0%28 +0.13
Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 77
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 28 SW 4.72 19.2%8.2%4.0%.311 5.88 16.9%4.6%74 +1.16 3.33 258 76
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 75
Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 75
Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP 27 SP- 3.43 21.0%10.8%1.3%.246 2.10 224 75
Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 73
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 72
Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 28 SW 3.74 26.0%7.6%3.4%.432 1.88 136 70
Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 28 SW 4.00 17.5%9.8%2.1%.313 3.74 21.7%14.1%336 -0.26 3.02 1,507 70
Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 28 SW 3.90 16.0%7.8%2.1%.298 3.37 23.2%16.5%145 -0.53 2.22 385 69
Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 69
Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 22.9%10.0%3.1%.312 3.50 472 69
Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP 29 SW 4.73 13.8%5.9%3.7%.332 4.45 11.2%7.2%74 -0.28 4.45 135 68
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 28 SW 5.49 15.9%7.4%5.1%.244 5.53 11.2%2.3%115 +0.04 4.54 224 68
Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 28 SW 4.02 23.4%6.5%3.8%.299 4.94 21.5%13.1%323 +0.92 3.19 678 68
Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 28 SW 3.98 22.4%8.4%3.1%.303 4.22 19.1%11.6%193 +0.24 3.13 825 68
Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 28 SU 4.70 20.1%7.8%4.2%.340 3.67 523 67
Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 27 SW 4.33 16.9%7.1%3.2%.371 4.86 17.5%5.7%37 +0.53 3.07 133 67
Calvin Drummond R 2024 · 3.51 FIP 26 SW 3.51 16.9%11.1%0.8%.316 3.49 112 67
Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22822.8%9.7%1.174.40
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49