Marwys Cabrera

P ACL Royals

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKKC	13	7	34	6.95	4.14	21.4%	16.1%	—	K 14.6% · BB 20.1% · FIP 5.39
2026	20	ROKKC	12	8	30	6.67	4.75	18.9%	14.9%	—	K 12.9% · BB 18.6% · FIP 5.92
2027PROJ	21	MLBKC	3	3	19	5.72	5.72	18.5%	17.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBKC	3	3	16	5.36	5.21	20.3%	14.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Wilian Bormie (age 22) · Marco Jimenez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%18.5%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%1.2%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	11	9	30	132	28	19	0	82%	2.8	14.4%	18.0%	-3.6%	0.0%	4.15	4.16	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	11	9	30	132	28	19	0	82%	2.8	21.2%	14.4%	6.8%	0.0%	4.15	3.13	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	39	166	41	21	0	100%	3.6	16.8%	15.8%	1.0%	0.0%	2.75	3.68	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	39	166	41	21	0	100%	3.6	16.8%	15.8%	1.0%	0.0%	2.75	3.68	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	39	166	41	21	0	100%	3.6	24.7%	12.7%	12.0%	0.0%	2.75	2.62	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	7	34	168	36	27	2	54%	2.6	14.6%	20.1%	-5.5%	1.8%	6.95	5.39	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	7	34	168	36	27	2	54%	2.6	14.6%	20.1%	-5.5%	1.8%	6.95	5.39	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	13	7	34	168	36	27	2	54%	2.6	21.4%	16.1%	5.4%	1.2%	6.95	4.14	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	12	8	30	148	28	22	3	67%	2.5	12.9%	18.6%	-5.7%	2.8%	6.67	5.92	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	12	8	30	148	28	22	3	67%	2.5	12.9%	18.6%	-5.7%	2.8%	6.67	5.92	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	12	8	30	148	28	22	3	67%	2.5	18.9%	14.9%	4.1%	2.0%	6.67	4.75	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	KC	3	3	19	80	15	14	2	100%	6.3	18.5%	17.3%	1.2%	2.9%	5.72	5.72	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	6	6	32	134	27	20	4	100%	5.3	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.9%	5.36	5.21	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	3	3	16	68	14	10	2	100%	5.3	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.9%	5.36	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	13	10	2	100%	5.2	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.9%	5.36	4.83	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	166	128	26	100%	5.1	20.3%	14.6%	5.6%	2.9%	5.36	4.83	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		47	35	133	614	90	111	7	74%	2.8	14.7%	18.1%	-3.4%	1.2%	5.01	4.79	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	53	200	923	136	167	11	74%	2.8	14.7%	18.1%	-3.4%	1.2%	5.01	4.79	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marwys Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	18.5%	17.3%	2.9%	—	5.21	20.3%	5.6%	32	-0.51	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	88
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	87
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	86
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	85
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	84
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	83
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	83
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	82
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	81
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	81
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	80
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	79
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	79
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	79
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	79
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	78
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.6%	15.6%	1.13	5.49
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*