Filippo Di Turi
3B Wilson Warbirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 391 | .225/.361/.294 | 1 | 10 | 44 | — | .171/.273/.225 |
| 2025 | 19 | ACarolina Mudc… | 479 | .212/.326/.336 | 10 | 6 | 44 | — | .170/.256/.248 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/AMIL | 436 | .190/.357/.275 | 4 | 23 | 46 | — | .155/.281/.221 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIL | 546 | .184/.286/.261 | 5 | 10 | 60 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIL | 146 | .190/.292/.284 | 2 | 3 | 68 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBMIL | 233 | .197/.298/.303 | 4 | 5 | 75 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 222 | 181 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 32 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 282 | 414 | 354 | 768 | 72 | 342 | 14 | 17 | 359 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 285 | 240 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 68 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 192 | 314 | 233 | 548 | 42 | 264 | 24 | 14 | 265 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 106 | 80 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 325 | 486 | 475 | 961 | 150 | 391 | 15 | 22 | 430 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 405 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 67 | 126 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 212 | 326 | 336 | 661 | 123 | 276 | 26 | 14 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 400 | 182 | 582 | 333 | 33 | 27 | 307 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Wilson Warbirds | — | 421 | 331 | 63 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 79 | 90 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 190 | 356 | 278 | 634 | 88 | 244 | 21 | 19 | 303 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 222 | 192 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 182 | 293 | 224 | 517 | 42 | 228 | 17 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 285 | 251 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 91 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 147 | 244 | 179 | 423 | 32 | 227 | 32 | 11 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 106 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 352 | 348 | 701 | 112 | 298 | 22 | 13 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 424 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 166 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 170 | 256 | 248 | 503 | 78 | 251 | 35 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 315 | 40 | 20 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Wilson Warbirds | — | 421 | 355 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 123 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 155 | 279 | 223 | 501 | 68 | 213 | 29 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 222 | 192 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 182 | 293 | 224 | 517 | 42 | 227 | 17 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 222 | 181 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 32 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 282 | 414 | 354 | 768 | 72 | 342 | 14 | 17 | 359 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 340 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 114 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 174 | 276 | 229 | 505 | 56 | 254 | 29 | 11 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 391 | 320 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 64 | 84 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 225 | 361 | 294 | 655 | 69 | 298 | 21 | 16 | 310 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 424 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 166 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 170 | 256 | 248 | 503 | 78 | 256 | 35 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 405 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 67 | 126 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 212 | 326 | 336 | 661 | 123 | 276 | 26 | 14 | 302 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 367 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 129 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 155 | 281 | 221 | 501 | 65 | 225 | 30 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 436 | 342 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 83 | 95 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 190 | 357 | 275 | 632 | 85 | 246 | 22 | 19 | 303 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 222 | 190 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 184 | 293 | 226 | 519 | 42 | 228 | 17 | 12 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 340 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 114 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 174 | 276 | 229 | 505 | 56 | 246 | 29 | 11 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 427 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 166 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 169 | 256 | 246 | 502 | 77 | 251 | 35 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 369 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 129 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 154 | 281 | 220 | 500 | 65 | 217 | 30 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 340 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 114 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 174 | 276 | 229 | 505 | 56 | 246 | 29 | 11 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 479 | 427 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 166 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 169 | 256 | 246 | 502 | 77 | 251 | 35 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 369 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 129 | 6 | 23 | 7 | 154 | 281 | 220 | 500 | 65 | 217 | 30 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 546 | 473 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 154 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 184 | 286 | 261 | 547 | 76 | 258 | 28 | 12 | 257 | 60 | -26 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 34% | 425 | 369 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 116 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 193 | 294 | 286 | 580 | 93 | 261 | 27 | 12 | 269 | 68 | -16 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 48% | 480 | 417 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 56 | 128 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 199 | 300 | 305 | 604 | 105 | 263 | 27 | 12 | 278 | 75 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 516 | 447 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 136 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 204 | 303 | 317 | 620 | 113 | 266 | 26 | 12 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 537 | 466 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 140 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 207 | 305 | 324 | 630 | 118 | 267 | 26 | 12 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 56% | 547 | 476 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 141 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 209 | 306 | 329 | 635 | 120 | 268 | 26 | 11 | 290 | 82 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 547 | 476 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 142 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 208 | 305 | 326 | 631 | 118 | 268 | 26 | 11 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 55% | 542 | 471 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 142 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 206 | 303 | 321 | 625 | 116 | 267 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 530 | 461 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 140 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 204 | 301 | 315 | 616 | 112 | 266 | 26 | 11 | 282 | 77 | -14 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 53% | 516 | 449 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 58 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 201 | 297 | 308 | 605 | 107 | 264 | 27 | 11 | 278 | 74 | -16 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 34% | 146 | 127 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 292 | 284 | 576 | 93 | 257 | 27 | 12 | 268 | 68 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 48% | 233 | 202 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 197 | 298 | 303 | 601 | 106 | 259 | 27 | 12 | 277 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 272 | 236 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 71 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 302 | 316 | 617 | 114 | 262 | 26 | 12 | 283 | 79 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 294 | 256 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 76 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 303 | 323 | 627 | 119 | 263 | 26 | 12 | 287 | 81 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 56% | 304 | 264 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 78 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 207 | 304 | 328 | 632 | 121 | 264 | 26 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 301 | 262 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 78 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 206 | 303 | 325 | 628 | 119 | 264 | 26 | 11 | 287 | 81 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 55% | 296 | 258 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 78 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 301 | 320 | 622 | 116 | 263 | 26 | 11 | 285 | 80 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 283 | 247 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 299 | 314 | 613 | 113 | 262 | 27 | 11 | 281 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 53% | 271 | 236 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 199 | 295 | 306 | 602 | 108 | 260 | 27 | 11 | 277 | 74 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2400 | 2088 | 421 | 69 | 12 | 47 | 276 | 631 | 17 | 44 | 17 | 202 | 300 | 314 | 614 | 112 | 263 | 26 | 12 | 283 | 69 | -62 | +2 | +1 | +9 | +52 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 114 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 75 | 171 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 201 | 301 | 314 | 615 | 113 | 262 | 26 | 12 | 283 | 69 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6378 | 5537 | 1079 | 185 | 34 | 99 | 733 | 1729 | 51 | 135 | 62 | 195 | 295 | 294 | 589 | 99 | 261 | 27 | 11 | 271 | 69 | -132 | +2 | +1 | +17 | +105 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 75 | 176 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 195 | 295 | 293 | 588 | 98 | 262 | 27 | 12 | 271 | 69 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AWilson Warbirds · 421 PAwOBA .300 → .236 (−64)K% 21.4% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 13.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 16.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .300 → .236; ISO .088 → .072; BABIP .244 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 15 PAwOBA .301 → .240 (−61)K% 33.3% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 42.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 19.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 31.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .301 → .240; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 479 PAwOBA .297 → .233 (−64)K% 26.3% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.30% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.78% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×1.030 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.02% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×1.030 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×1.030 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.58% | ÷1.214 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.43% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .297 → .233; ISO .123 → .085; BABIP .276 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 285 PAwOBA .261 → .204 (−57)K% 23.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.86% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.39% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.045 | 17.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.045 | 4.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .261 → .204; ISO .042 → .034; BABIP .264 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Brewers · 106 PAwOBA .421 → .312 (−110)K% 15.1% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.014 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 12.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×1.008 | 22.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷1.088 | ×0.720 | ×0.973 | ×1.008 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.973 | ×1.008 | 2.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.30% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .421 → .312; ISO .150 → .118; BABIP .391 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 222 PAwOBA .351 → .243 (−108)K% 14.4% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.41% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.12% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×1.004 | ×1.008 | 18.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.986 | ×0.600 | ×1.004 | ×1.008 | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.125 | ×0.600 | ×1.004 | ×1.008 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.904 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 281, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 125, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .351 → .243; ISO .072 → .044; BABIP .342 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).