Luis Guanipa

OF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

APROSPECTFG #502MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AATL	118	.269/.331/.324	1	2	50	—	.225/.271/.270
2025	19	ROKATL	24	.222/.417/.333	0	0	47	—	.150/.292/.200
2026	20	A+ATL	146	.217/.239/.355	3	5	30	—	.186/.197/.307
2026	20	AATL	422	.303/.370/.452	11	37	87	—	.258/.310/.380
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBATL	584	.237/.281/.343	10	18	75	-0.2
2028PROJ25% MLB	22	MLBATL	135	.241/.287/.357	3	4	81	-0.1
2029PROJ38% MLB	23	MLBATL	224	.244/.292/.366	5	7	85	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%97

K%91

Whiff%84

Speed76

ISO44

wRC+11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 81%

CompsJohan Rojas (age 21) · Darell Hernaiz (age 21) · Cody Freeman (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .340

PA320

HR6

SB10

K%18

BB%5

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	136	125	23	2	0	0	11	35	0	6	4	184	250	200	450	16	256	26	8	215	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	81	71	20	2	2	2	7	10	1	4	0	282	354	451	805	169	295	12	9	349	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	108	29	3	0	1	9	14	1	2	1	269	331	324	655	56	301	12	8	301	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	24	18	4	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	222	417	333	750	111	333	25	21	358	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	146	138	30	8	1	3	4	22	0	5	1	217	239	355	595	138	231	15	3	255	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	422	376	114	17	3	11	34	55	6	37	5	303	370	452	822	149	326	13	8	362	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	180	26	7	1	2	15	53	11	20	6	144	252	228	480	83	182	25	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	136	128	21	2	0	0	8	47	0	6	4	164	213	180	393	16	253	35	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	81	73	14	1	1	1	5	14	1	4	0	192	253	274	527	82	226	17	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	111	25	2	0	1	6	19	1	2	1	225	271	270	541	45	268	16	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	24	20	3	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	150	292	200	492	50	255	38	12	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	146	140	26	6	1	3	2	29	0	5	1	186	197	307	504	121	199	20	1	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	422	387	100	14	3	9	23	75	6	37	5	258	310	380	690	121	285	18	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	180	26	7	1	2	15	53	11	20	6	144	252	228	480	83	189	25	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	202	35	3	1	1	12	61	1	10	4	173	223	213	436	40	239	28	6	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	217	196	43	4	2	2	18	45	1	10	4	219	288	291	579	71	272	21	8	265	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	130	28	4	0	1	10	28	2	2	1	215	282	269	551	54	267	20	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	142	126	33	5	0	1	14	20	2	2	1	262	345	325	670	63	305	14	10	311	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	526	126	20	4	12	26	103	6	42	6	240	283	361	644	122	271	18	5	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	568	514	144	25	4	14	38	77	6	42	6	280	337	426	763	146	300	14	7	335	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	180	26	7	1	2	15	53	11	20	6	144	252	228	480	83	182	25	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	202	35	3	1	1	12	61	1	10	4	173	223	213	436	40	243	28	6	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	129	28	4	0	1	10	28	2	2	1	217	282	271	553	54	266	20	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	531	126	20	4	12	26	103	6	42	6	237	283	358	641	121	263	18	5	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	202	35	3	1	1	12	61	1	10	4	173	223	213	436	40	243	28	6	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	129	28	4	0	1	10	28	2	2	1	217	282	271	553	54	266	20	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	531	126	20	4	12	26	103	6	42	6	237	283	358	641	121	263	18	5	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	584	546	129	21	3	10	28	103	5	18	3	237	281	343	624	106	273	18	5	278	75	-18	+2	-2	-4	+13	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	25%	541	504	122	20	3	11	28	94	4	17	3	241	287	357	644	116	274	17	5	287	81	-13	+2	-1	-3	+12	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	38%	585	543	133	22	3	13	32	101	5	18	3	244	292	366	658	122	276	17	5	293	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	44%	614	569	139	23	3	14	35	106	5	18	3	246	296	373	669	127	277	17	6	297	87	-9	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	47%	627	580	143	24	3	15	37	110	5	18	3	246	298	377	674	130	278	18	6	300	89	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	635	586	143	24	3	15	39	113	5	17	3	246	299	378	677	132	278	18	6	301	90	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	634	585	143	24	3	15	39	113	5	17	3	245	298	375	673	130	278	18	6	300	89	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	629	581	142	24	3	15	38	114	5	15	3	243	296	371	666	127	277	18	6	297	87	-10	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	619	572	138	23	3	14	37	114	5	13	3	241	293	364	657	123	276	18	6	293	84	-11	+1	-2	-4	+13	-0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	609	563	134	22	3	13	36	114	5	11	2	238	289	356	646	119	274	19	6	288	81	-14	+1	-3	-4	+13	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	25%	135	126	31	5	1	3	7	23	1	4	1	241	287	357	644	116	274	17	5	287	81	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	38%	224	208	50	8	1	5	12	39	2	7	1	244	292	366	658	122	276	17	5	293	85	-4	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	44%	270	251	61	10	1	6	15	47	2	8	1	246	296	373	669	127	277	17	6	297	87	-4	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	47%	296	274	68	11	2	7	17	52	3	8	2	246	298	377	674	130	278	18	6	300	89	-4	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	312	287	72	12	2	8	19	55	3	9	2	246	299	378	677	132	278	18	6	301	90	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	312	287	71	12	2	7	19	56	3	8	2	245	298	375	673	130	278	18	6	300	89	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	309	284	70	12	2	7	19	56	3	7	1	243	296	371	666	127	277	18	6	297	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	298	276	66	11	1	7	18	55	2	6	1	241	293	364	657	123	276	18	6	293	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	316	292	69	11	1	7	19	59	2	6	1	238	289	356	646	119	274	19	6	288	81	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2472	2285	558	92	13	57	145	442	21	63	12	244	295	371	666	126	278	18	6	296	80	-40	+8	-5	-15	+54	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	146	24	3	15	38	116	6	17	3	243	295	368	662	125	277	18	6	296	80	-11	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6948	6419	1524	252	35	147	400	1281	67	228	45	237	289	356	645	119	274	18	6	287	80	-101	+20	-11	-35	+126	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	143	24	3	14	37	120	6	21	4	238	289	358	647	120	274	18	6	287	80	-11	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.2	2,791	62	73	244	291	368	-17	-2	2.0	2.1
/162	664	15	17	-4.0	-0.4	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guanipa (OGILVIE)	21	30→50	35→37	60→62	50	235/278/340	105	273	6	10	18%	5%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	223/276/341	119	284	11	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	237/281/346	109	298	8	37	22%	5%	76	-0.4	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA	21	47→57	42→45	55→50	42	232/279/335	104	289	10	21	23%	5%	73	-0.6	259/311/362	103	308	8	14	18%	6%	91	+0.7	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	43→53	46→55	59→55	39	215/259/351	136	270	13	15	26%	4%	70	-0.9	243/280/401	158	309	17	22	26%	4%	89	+0.5	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	206/261/329	123	273	12	24	28%	7%	65	-1.2	243/296/370	127	297	11	17	21%	6%	88	+0.4	251/305/379	128	300	11	17	19%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Noel Cuevas 2013 · A	21	45→52	39→45	55	41	216/259/307	91	271	6	19	22%	4%	59	-1.6	226/267/331	105	293	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	254/287/363	108	316	8	12	22%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	193/258/302	109	254	8	22	26%	7%	58	-1.7	195/272/314	119	297	11	25	35%	8%	67	-1.1	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→40	58→55	45	214/276/316	101	271	7	21	23%	6%	68	-1.0	239/308/317	78	289	5	20	18%	8%	80	-0.2	245/318/310	65	292	4	22	16%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	45→47	44→55	53→50	41	221/269/340	119	276	11	16	24%	5%	71	-0.8	222/273/353	131	287	13	9	27%	5%	76	-0.4	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕James Triantos 2024 · A	21	51→59	40→45	53→60	46	244/297/337	93	292	7	14	19%	6%	80	-0.2	260/304/360	100	303	7	30	16%	5%	88	+0.4	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	46→54	38→50	52→60	43	219/277/295	75	286	6	17	25%	6%	63	-1.3	241/295/375	134	309	15	28	26%	6%	89	+0.5	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Pablo Reyes 2016 · A	22	44→54	42→50	50→55	48	215/271/324	108	252	10	15	19%	7%	68	-1.0	232/287/343	111	278	9	16	19%	7%	78	-0.3	244/311/361	116	287	11	21	18%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Luis Matos 2023 · A	21	44→54	45→50	49→50	42	221/265/341	120	256	13	12	20%	5%	70	-0.8	240/292/380	140	260	15	12	14%	6%	89	+0.5	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Alexis Hernandez 2024 · A	21	44→50	39→50	52→50	48	209/282/296	87	276	7	15	26%	8%	66	-1.1	216/289/327	111	296	11	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	220/295/346	126	292	14	18	28%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Kristopher Negrón 2007 · A	21	43→49	39→45	56→55	44	206/262/290	84	251	6	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	215/278/300	85	282	6	18	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	47→51	43→50	55→50	46	228/291/347	119	293	10	16	25%	7%	80	-0.1	206/267/305	99	276	8	12	27%	7%	62	-1.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2021 · AAA	21	44→47	40→45	53→50	40	213/255/304	91	272	7	12	24%	4%	57	-1.8	221/276/324	103	305	11	11	29%	6%	70	-0.8	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1

Luis Guanipa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps