Camilo Diaz

SS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKHOU	168	.188/.333/.304	2	16	8	—	.107/.208/.161
2026	20	AHOU	206	.168/.248/.286	6	18	-4	—	.110/.175/.188
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBHOU	316	.182/.246/.281	5	8	48	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBHOU	92	.189/.254/.297	2	2	54	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBHOU	177	.194/.260/.307	4	5	58	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed75

ISO43

Chase%36

BB%21

wRC+9

wOBA8

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJase Bowen (age 21) · Jose Ramos (age 21) · Frankeny Fernandez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 192 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .244 / .278

PA192

HR3

SB5

K%34

BB%7

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	185	31	2	1	6	18	89	2	18	7	168	248	286	534	119	278	43	9	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	166	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	114	242	181	423	66	202	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	191	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	110	175	188	363	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	166	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	114	242	181	423	66	195	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	191	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	110	175	188	363	79	258	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	185	31	2	1	6	18	89	2	18	7	168	248	286	534	119	278	43	9	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	165	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	115	242	182	424	67	202	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	189	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	111	175	190	365	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	189	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	111	175	190	365	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	316	288	52	9	2	5	22	107	3	8	2	182	246	281	526	99	264	34	7	240	48	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	269	245	46	8	2	5	19	89	3	7	2	187	252	294	547	107	266	33	7	248	54	-15	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	365	333	63	11	2	7	26	118	3	10	3	192	258	305	563	113	269	32	7	255	58	-18	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	431	393	77	13	3	9	31	137	4	12	3	196	262	314	576	118	271	32	7	260	62	-19	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	467	426	84	14	3	10	34	146	4	13	3	199	266	320	585	121	272	31	7	264	65	-20	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	487	443	89	15	3	11	36	150	5	14	4	201	268	324	592	123	273	31	7	267	67	-19	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	495	450	90	16	3	11	37	153	5	14	4	200	267	321	588	121	272	31	7	265	66	-20	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	92	85	17	3	1	2	6	30	1	2	1	189	254	297	551	108	270	33	7	250	54	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	177	160	32	6	1	4	13	57	2	5	1	194	260	307	567	114	272	32	7	256	58	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	227	207	40	7	1	5	16	72	2	6	2	198	264	316	580	118	275	32	7	262	62	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	256	233	47	8	2	6	19	80	2	7	2	201	267	322	589	121	276	31	7	266	65	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	271	246	50	9	2	6	20	84	3	8	2	203	270	326	596	123	277	31	7	268	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	272	247	50	9	2	6	20	84	3	7	2	202	269	323	593	122	276	31	7	267	66	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1295	1178	236	42	9	29	94	407	13	35	10	200	267	325	592	125	277	31	7	263	53	-57	+3	+0	+14	+28	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	119	21	5	15	47	204	7	18	5	201	269	330	599	129	277	31	7	263	53	-28	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3275	2971	536	87	21	63	254	1156	30	116	32	180	252	287	539	107	268	35	8	247	53	-123	+7	+0	+29	+59	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	106	17	4	13	50	229	6	23	6	180	251	288	539	108	265	35	8	247	53	-30	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,487	31	41	196	259	313	+16	+12	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	14	18	+7.1	+5.4	-0.3	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camilo Diaz (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	40→45	62→67	48	180/244/278	98	264	3	5	34%	7%	48	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Ryan Spikes 2024 · A	21	36→30	42→45	53→55	35	175/239/277	101	299	10	17	42%	7%	45	-2.7	186/234/300	114	292	13	18	39%	5%	49	-2.4	181/223/300	119	274	14	22	38%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Kelvin Diaz 2024 · A	21	35	39→45	56→60	43	169/256/252	82	263	6	22	35%	8%	47	-2.5	173/234/260	87	302	7	21	42%	6%	40	-3.1	143/195/226	84	252	8	28	45%	5%	17	-1.6
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Travis Witherspoon 2010 · A	21	37→47	42→45	56→55	31	185/227/286	101	289	9	10	39%	4%	42	-2.9	212/258/321	109	300	11	19	32%	5%	62	-1.4	218/269/333	115	295	13	25	29%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	40→45	54→60	41	190/248/278	87	267	9	22	31%	7%	49	-2.4	218/260/323	105	307	10	27	31%	4%	63	-1.3	225/251/334	108	298	10	17	28%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Axel Sanchez 2024 · A	21	37	44→45	52→50	38	185/251/304	119	276	11	15	36%	6%	57	-1.8	181/250/281	100	273	10	14	35%	7%	51	-2.2	166/241/259	93	242	11	16	34%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Jhonny Severino 2024 · A	19	38→31	44→55	55→50	37	195/245/309	114	272	12	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	196/242/348	152	258	18	11	31%	5%	63	-1.3	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	41→45	39→45	54→55	39	199/253/281	82	292	6	21	33%	6%	51	-2.2	214/269/314	100	296	9	16	29%	6%	65	-1.2	214/268/307	93	290	8	15	28%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0

Camilo Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps