Ludwing EspinozaSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 92 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .272 / .298
PA92
HR1
K%26
BB%7
BABIP271
ISO95
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.80.90.9+$29M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $7M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 183166 21611 11726 64 127208193400 66215 396 182 -2 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 183158 31931 19486 64 196306310616 114275 2610 287 77 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 170148 22431 15665 83 149250236486 88253 399 216 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 170140 31641 23445 83 221351343694 121309 2614 318 102 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Cubs — 173159 24411 12612 196 151220208427 57237 357 188 2 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Cubs — 173153 35621 18402 196 229318314632 85304 2310 292 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ACHC — 7059 13211 6204 30 220333339672 119308 299 276 69 -2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.1
YTD20 ACHC — 7056 13211 9144 30 232377357734 125286 2013 338 116 +1 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.5
ROS20 ACHC 0% 9284 17311 6242 20 202272298569 95271 267 254 52 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
ROS20 MLBCHC 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 272 —— 240 42 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL20 ACHC — 7060 13211 6204 30 217333333667 117300 299 276 69 -2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.1
TOT20 ACHC — 162143 30522 12446 50 210298315613 105286 277 263 60 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBCHC 34% 252227 47923 18645 61 207280304584 97271 257 265 61 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
202822 MLBCHC 48% 365329 701336 26917 92 213285325610 112274 257 275 69 -13 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
202923 MLBCHC 54% 440397 861638 321098 113 217288332621 116275 257 281 73 -13 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.5
203024 MLBCHC 55% 489441 951839 361209 123 215288331619 116277 257 285 76 -13 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.7
203125 MLBCHC 56% 516463 10219410 391269 133 220294343637 123277 248 286 77 -13 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203226 MLBCHC 60% 531477 10620411 401309 133 222295350645 128277 248 287 77 -14 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.9
203327 MLBCHC 62% 536481 10620411 411319 133 220294347641 127277 248 287 78 -14 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.9
202721 MLBCHC 34% 8779 16311 6222 20 203276304580 101272 257 253 52 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBCHC 48% 177159 35713 13443 41 220291333625 113275 257 263 59 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202923 MLBCHC 54% 239215 47924 18594 61 219291335626 116277 258 269 64 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203024 MLBCHC 55% 271244 531025 20665 72 217290336626 119278 247 273 67 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203125 MLBCHC 56% 289260 581126 22715 72 223296350646 127278 258 274 68 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.2
203226 MLBCHC 60% 319286 631226 24786 82 220294339633 119278 248 275 69 -11 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.2
203327 MLBCHC 62% 332298 661327 25816 82 221295349644 128278 248 275 69 -12 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17141542 338651232 12842131 4210 219292339632 120279 257 271 66 -66 +4 +0 +18 +49 0.5
/ 162G— — 650585 12925512 4916012 164 221295342636 121281 258 271 66 -25 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.2
Career— — 37473372 6961322962 27699471 11231 206280318598 112272 277 269 64 -151 +10 +0 +40 +106 0.5
/ 162G— — 650585 12123511 4817212 195 207281320600 113272 267 269 64 -26 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 183158 31931 19486 64 196306310616 114275 2610 287 77 -5 -0 — — +5 0.0
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 170140 31641 23445 83 221351343694 121309 2614 318 102 +0 +0 — — +5 0.6
202519 ROKACL Cubs — 173153 35621 18402 196 229318314632 85304 2310 292 82 -4 +1 — — +5 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,8753345217286332+20+152.02.1
/1626641216+7.1+5.30.7pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ludwing Espinoza (OGILVIE) 20 30 20 60 35 210/298/315 105286 25 27% 7% 60 -0.0 ————————— —————————
✕Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A 		20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
✕Mikey Edie
2017 · A 		20 43 34→30 50 36 201/262/254 53296 214 31% 4% 42 -2.3 217/267/280 63316 213 30% 4% 50 -1.7 206/255/265592903728%3%37-1.3
✕Robedluis Fuentes
2008 · A 		19 41 37→30 53→45 45 197/263/267 70262 412 25% 7% 46 -2.0 230/290/284 54281 37 18% 6% 61 -1.0 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
✕Glenn Santiago
2021 · A 		20 43 37→40 55→45 46 200/274/277 78262 313 23% 7% 54 -1.4 206/269/298 92281 79 27% 7% 56 -1.3 184/247/261772747833%7%35-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu
2011 · A 		20 43 37→40 52→55 44 204/258/281 77261 310 22% 6% 46 -2.0 205/283/290 85253 715 20% 9% 61 -1.0 194/284/2748023182019%10%56-0.4
✕Jesus Castillo
2022 · A 		19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A 		20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A 		20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
✕Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A 		19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
✕Emilio King
2010 · A 		20 40 37→45 51→40 43 190/274/270 79258 49 26% 6% 53 -1.5 203/253/290 87301 64 33% 4% 47 -1.9 213/250/309963117233%3%47-1.0
✕Victor Tademo
2018 · A 		19 39 37→40 52→55 37 189/240/263 74277 414 32% 5% 34 -2.8 195/241/256 61285 37 31% 5% 33 -2.9 181/217/201202520327%4%6-1.4
✕Jose Astudillo
2023 · A 		19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
✕Albert Laboy
2007 · A 		20 40→38 38→40 48→45 41 193/236/269 76242 510 22% 5% 34 -2.8 216/262/306 90258 97 19% 5% 55 -1.4 213/261/2988524810618%5%51-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A 		20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
✕Johnni Turbo
2009 · A 		20 37→47 37→40 54→55 36 184/222/257 73263 413 31% 4% 24 -3.5 210/246/289 79308 416 32% 4% 43 -2.2 240/277/3046429831820%4%56-0.4
✕Melvin Santana
2012 · A 		20 43 36→45 52→50 48 199/264/271 72248 210 19% 7% 47 -1.9 207/259/291 84265 311 22% 6% 50 -1.8 203/250/2908725931422%5%43-0.6
✕Grenny Cumana
2016 · A 		20 43 35→30 53→50 43 197/238/259 61232 213 16% 4% 32 -3.0 235/271/299 64271 314 14% 3% 56 -1.3 251/283/316652834212%3%60-0.3
✕Albertson Asigen
2022 · A 		20 43 39→40 53→55 44 205/260/298 92275 56 27% 7% 52 -1.6 224/299/302 78328 517 30% 8% 70 -0.3 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
✕Ramon Beltre
2017 · A 		20 44→28 38→40 52→50 46 210/263/288 79254 511 19% 6% 50 -1.7 208/242/295 87282 78 28% 4% 43 -2.2 190/215/273832717732%3%23-2.0
✕Alex Gonzalez
2011 · A 		20 43 34→30 54→60 43 201/261/250 48284 119 28% 7% 40 -2.4 213/281/271 58289 212 25% 7% 54 -1.4 206/278/2554927311223%7%47-0.7