Ludwing Espinoza

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Cubs Blue170.221/.351/.3431827—.129/.238/.197
202519ROKCHC173.229/.318/.31411913—.150/.214/.206
202620ACHC73.220/.361/.3391365—.194/.306/.306
2027PROJMLE21MLBCHC183.191/.259/.2691450-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCHC40.199/.267/.2910156-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed86
Z-Con%78
K%54
wRC+52
BB%51
Chase%51
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsOmar Hernandez (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21) · Jose Ramos (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .256 / .267
PA52
HR0
K%28
BB%7
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 183158 31931 19486 64 196306310616 114275 2610 287 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 170140 31641 23445 83 221351343694 121309 2614 318 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Cubs — 173153 35621 18402 196 229318314632 85304 2310 292 13 — — — — — —
202620 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7359 13211 9174 30 220361339700 119286 2312 324 65 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 183164 19520 13606 64 116208171378 55180 337 178 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 170147 19321 16555 83 129238197435 68200 329 208 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 173160 24411 11602 196 150214206420 56228 356 188 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7362 12211 6234 30 194306306612 113270 328 265 65 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 183164 19520 13606 64 116208171378 55183 337 178 7 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Red — 183158 31931 19486 64 196306310616 114275 2610 287 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 170147 19321 16555 83 129238197435 68194 329 208 27 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Blue — 170140 31641 23445 83 221351343694 121309 2614 318 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 173160 24411 11602 196 150214206420 56232 356 188 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 173153 35621 18402 196 229318314632 85304 2310 292 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7362 12211 6234 30 194306306612 113282 328 265 65 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7359 13211 9174 30 220361339700 119286 2312 324 65 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 183162 19520 13606 64 117208173380 56180 337 178 7 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 170147 19321 16555 83 129238197435 68200 329 208 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 173158 24411 11602 196 152214209423 57228 356 188 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7363 12211 6234 30 190306302607 111270 328 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 170147 19321 16555 83 129238197435 68200 329 208 27 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 173158 24411 11602 196 152214209423 57228 356 188 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7363 12211 6234 30 190306302607 111270 328 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECHC 0% 183166 31611 13522 41 191259269528 78265 287 242 50 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECHC 34% 117106 21411 8322 31 197265286551 89267 277 252 56 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXCHC 34% 4036 6100 3111 10 199267291558 92271 288 254 56 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4036 6100 3111 10 167250194444 28240 288 254 29 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 971600 4917916 160 166249193442 27239 288 254 29 -34 +3 +0 +7 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 768686 1042074 5824520 4014 152238219457 67227 328 211 29 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 881763 4920717 3412 151238217455 65227 328 211 29 -35 +2 +0 +7 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 73 PAwOBA .321 → .265 (−55)K% 23.3% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.29%÷1.000×1.360——31.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.33%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0158.63%
HBP% /PA5.48%—×0.780—×1.0154.34%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.000×0.920×1.037×1.01520.74%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.830×1.037×1.0154.16%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.000×0.910×1.037×1.0152.28%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0151.93%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .321 → .265; ISO .119 → .099; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Cubs · 173 PAwOBA .285 → .188 (−97)K% 23.1% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.12%÷0.969×1.440——34.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.40%÷0.983×0.620—×0.9956.53%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.720—×0.9950.83%
Singles /BIP23.01%÷1.004×0.820×0.950×0.99517.76%
Doubles /BIP5.31%÷0.973×0.720×0.950×0.9953.71%
Triples /BIP1.77%÷1.089×0.720×0.950×0.9951.11%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷0.868×0.780—×0.9950.79%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 118, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .285 → .188; ISO .085 → .055; BABIP .304 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 170 PAwOBA .314 → .208 (−107)K% 25.9% → 32.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.88%÷0.976×1.220——32.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.53%÷0.968×0.700—×0.9959.73%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.700—×0.9952.05%
Singles /BIP20.83%÷1.008×0.680×1.007×0.99514.08%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.028×0.600×1.007×0.9953.65%
Triples /BIP4.17%÷0.963×0.600×1.007×0.9952.60%
Home runs /BIP1.04%÷0.911×0.470—×0.9950.53%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 93, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .314 → .208; ISO .121 → .071; BABIP .309 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 183 PAwOBA .280 → .178 (−102)K% 26.2% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.23%÷0.979×1.220——32.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.38%÷1.039×0.700—×1.0087.05%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.700—×1.0082.31%
Singles /BIP16.36%÷0.977×0.680×0.993×1.00811.40%
Doubles /BIP8.18%÷0.967×0.600×0.993×1.0085.08%
Triples /BIP2.73%÷1.150×0.600×0.993×1.0081.42%
Home runs /BIP0.91%÷1.090×0.470—×1.0080.39%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 95, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .280 → .178; ISO .114 → .061; BABIP .275 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).