Ludwing Espinoza

Ludwing EspinozaSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .303

PA162

HR2

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

49↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$20M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$19M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.5	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$21M		$114M	+$93M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	183	166	22	6	2	1	11	71	6	6	4	.133	.213	.211	.424	.078	.223	39	6	.183	-2	-21	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	170	148	23	4	3	1	15	65	5	8	3	.155	.256	.243	.499	.088	.262	38	9	.216	24	-15	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	173	160	24	4	1	1	11	60	2	19	6	.150	.214	.206	.420	.056	.232	35	6	.189	3	-19	+1	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	50	41	6	2	1	0	4	14	4	1	0	.146	.286	.244	.530	.098	.214	28	8	.231	35	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	CHC	112	101	19	4	1	1	8	33	2	2	1	.188	.261	.277	.538	.089	.275	29	7	.261	58	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
TOT	20	MLB	CHC	162	142	25	6	2	1	12	47	6	3	1	.176	.269	.268	.536	.092	.250	29	7	.252	51	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CHC	252	223	48	10	2	5	22	64	5	6	1	.215	.300	.345	.645	.130	.269	25	9	.285	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2028	22	MLB 28%	CHC	365	322	69	14	2	8	33	89	7	9	2	.214	.301	.345	.646	.130	.271	24	9	.296	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2029	23	MLB 48%	CHC	440	387	86	17	3	11	42	105	8	11	3	.222	.311	.367	.678	.145	.272	24	10	.303	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.4
2030	24	MLB 62%	CHC	489	430	95	19	3	12	47	115	9	12	3	.221	.311	.363	.673	.142	.273	24	10	.308	94	-3	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.7
2031	25	MLB 80%	CHC	516	450	100	20	3	13	51	120	10	13	3	.222	.315	.367	.682	.144	.274	23	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.0
2032	26	MLB	CHC	531	462	104	21	3	14	54	124	10	13	3	.225	.319	.374	.694	.149	.274	23	10	.313	97	-2	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.1
2033	27	MLB	CHC	536	466	105	21	3	14	55	125	10	13	3	.225	.320	.373	.694	.148	.274	23	10	.313	97	-2	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.1
2034	28	MLB	CHC	535	465	104	21	3	14	55	126	10	13	2	.224	.319	.372	.691	.148	.274	24	10	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.0
2035	29	MLB	CHC	527	458	101	20	3	13	54	126	10	12	2	.221	.316	.362	.679	.142	.273	24	10	.309	95	-3	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.8
2036	30	MLB	CHC	517	448	99	20	3	13	54	125	10	11	2	.221	.318	.366	.684	.145	.271	24	10	.306	93	-4	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.5
2037	31	MLB	CHC	504	438	95	19	3	12	52	124	9	10	1	.217	.313	.356	.669	.139	.270	25	10	.303	90	-6	+2	-3	+5	+14	1.3
2038	32	MLB	CHC	486	424	90	18	3	11	50	122	9	9	0	.212	.308	.347	.655	.134	.268	25	10	.298	86	-8	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.0
2039	33	MLB	CHC	457	399	83	16	3	10	47	118	8	9	0	.208	.304	.338	.642	.130	.266	26	10	.292	82	-9	+2	-4	+5	+13	0.6
2040	34	MLB	CHC	411	359	72	14	2	8	42	110	7	8	0	.201	.297	.318	.614	.117	.264	27	10	.286	77	-11	+2	-5	+4	+12	0.2
2041	35	MLB	CHC	357	312	62	12	2	7	36	99	6	7	0	.199	.294	.317	.611	.119	.262	28	10	.278	71	-12	+1	-6	+4	+10	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	CHC	298	261	50	9	2	5	30	86	5	6	0	.192	.287	.299	.586	.107	.259	29	10	.270	65	-12	+1	-6	+3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7859	6879	1451	289	50	174	769	2007	148	197	39	.211	.304	.343	.647	.132	.270	26	10	.293	83	-153	+24	-31	+84	+223	14.9
/ 162G	—			650	569	120	24	4	14	64	166	12	16	3	.211	.304	.341	.645	.130	.270	26	10	.293	83	-13	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	183	158	31	9	3	1	19	48	6	6	4	.196	.306	.310	.616	.114	.275	26	10	.287	77	-5	-0	—	—	+5	0.0
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	170	140	31	6	4	1	23	44	5	8	3	.221	.351	.343	.694	.121	.309	26	14	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	173	153	35	6	2	1	18	40	2	19	6	.229	.318	.314	.632	.085	.304	23	10	.292	82	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ludwing Espinoza (OGILVIE)	20	30	20	60	35	.202/.270/.303	.101	.283	2	3	30%	7%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	39	40	52→50	40	.191/.251/.288	.097	.267	7	14	30%	6%	46	-2.0	.196/.259/.275	.079	.316	7	10	37%	7%	46	-2.0	.190/.261/.265	.075	.295	9	10	36%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	36	41→45	47→60	41	.181/.239/.272	.091	.247	9	13	30%	6%	37	-2.6	.219/.271/.301	.082	.284	7	20	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.234/.281/.297	.063	.300	5	24	23%	5%	58	-0.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	37	38→40	54→60	42	.177/.252/.256	.078	.282	5	19	36%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.255/.265	.076	.277	5	11	31%	7%	42	-2.3	.172/.238/.215	.043	.239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	.206/.261/.284	.078	.265	4	10	23%	6%	49	-1.8	.204/.281/.290	.086	.252	7	15	21%	9%	60	-1.0	.194/.284/.274	.080	.231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→38	40	52→50	41	.194/.257/.285	.090	.273	7	15	30%	7%	48	-1.9	.199/.267/.276	.077	.296	4	8	31%	8%	50	-1.8	.188/.268/.257	.069	.288	3	7	33%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→30	38→45	51→50	41	.188/.258/.268	.080	.284	5	13	34%	7%	44	-2.1	.208/.274/.312	.104	.324	8	15	36%	7%	62	-0.9	.195/.257/.318	.122	.287	13	16	35%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	42	38→40	49→55	44	.200/.281/.272	.073	.296	6	16	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.200/.259/.281	.081	.332	7	9	39%	6%	47	-1.9	.171/.216/.243	.071	.295	8	2	43%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Paez 2014 · A	20	46	39→45	51→50	38	.218/.263/.312	.093	.303	5	12	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.209/.259/.289	.080	.322	4	10	34%	6%	50	-1.8	.195/.251/.252	.057	.320	4	11	38%	6%	32	-0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	40	36→30	48→50	45	.190/.258/.255	.065	.266	4	12	28%	8%	41	-2.3	.207/.263/.250	.043	.259	1	14	19%	7%	40	-2.4	.233/.291/.254	.020	.278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	45	36→40	53→60	39	.207/.265/.281	.074	.316	3	18	33%	6%	50	-1.7	.209/.262/.281	.072	.334	3	12	36%	6%	48	-1.9	.184/.230/.216	.032	.334	0	4	42%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	.212/.278/.308	.097	.264	8	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.227/.291/.336	.109	.276	10	14	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.227/.291/.331	.104	.281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	40	39→45	50	41	.198/.251/.283	.085	.260	7	13	26%	6%	45	-2.1	.224/.280/.352	.128	.278	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.279/.356	.128	.281	14	8	24%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→35	41→45	47→50	40	.199/.265/.295	.096	.286	9	10	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.204/.294/.305	.101	.301	9	8	32%	10%	70	-0.3	.186/.292/.283	.097	.277	9	10	33%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	40	39→40	50	47	.189/.277/.272	.083	.292	6	12	34%	10%	54	-1.4	.193/.265/.266	.073	.318	4	10	37%	8%	46	-2.0	.140/.204/.175	.034	.267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	.200/.274/.277	.078	.262	3	13	23%	7%	54	-1.4	.204/.269/.296	.092	.279	7	9	28%	7%	56	-1.3	.183/.248/.264	.081	.272	7	8	34%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	43	40	54→45	41	.211/.259/.301	.090	.269	7	9	24%	5%	53	-1.5	.215/.274/.304	.089	.288	7	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.193/.261/.272	.079	.271	7	6	30%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)