Starlyn Caba — OGILVIE

Starlyn CabaSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .302 / .287

PA174

HR2

SB10

K%26

BB%12

BABIP272

ISO87

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE72

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$17M	+$13M
2031	Arb-2	$10M	+2.9	$16M	+$10M
2032	Arb-3	$15M	+3.0	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$33M		$87M	+$67M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	164	144	36	2	1	0	17	25	1	16	6	250	333	278	611	28	300	15	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	164	133	40	2	2	0	28	16	1	16	6	301	426	346	772	45	339	10	17	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	340	289	48	5	1	2	46	67	3	50	12	166	287	211	498	45	207	20	14	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	2 teams	—	340	268	61	7	1	2	67	49	3	50	12	228	388	284	671	56	269	14	20	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	319	282	54	9	1	1	34	65	0	16	9	191	278	241	520	50	243	20	11	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	319	268	65	9	1	3	48	53	0	16	9	243	358	317	675	75	290	17	15	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	MIA	—	261	222	45	9	2	4	34	81	3	19	0	203	317	315	632	113	295	31	13	285	76	-7	+4	+0	+3	+7	0.7
YTD	20	A+	MIA	—	261	208	52	11	2	5	48	60	3	19	0	250	398	394	792	144	324	23	18	361	134	+10	+4	+0	+3	+7	2.5
ROS	20	A+	MIA	4%	174	150	30	5	1	2	21	46	1	10	1	200	302	287	589	87	271	26	12	273	67	-7	+2	+3	+2	+5	0.5
ROS	20	MLB	MIA	4%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		266	25	12	264	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	A+	MIA	—	269	229	46	9	2	4	35	83	3	19	0	201	315	310	625	109	292	31	13	284	76	-7	+4	+0	+3	+8	0.7
TOT	20	A+	MIA	—	435	372	75	14	3	6	55	127	4	29	1	202	311	304	615	102	285	29	13	280	72	-14	+5	+3	+5	+12	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIA	45%	400	345	70	12	2	5	49	104	3	18	3	203	307	293	600	90	273	26	12	282	74	-12	+2	+6	+4	+11	1.3
2028	22	MLB	MIA	62%	474	409	86	15	2	8	58	119	4	21	3	210	314	315	630	105	276	25	12	293	83	-9	+3	+7	+5	+13	2.0
2029	23	MLB	MIA	68%	516	445	97	17	3	10	62	127	4	23	4	218	319	337	656	119	277	25	12	300	88	-7	+3	+8	+6	+15	2.5
2030	24	MLB	MIA	70%	543	467	104	18	3	12	66	131	5	24	4	223	325	351	676	128	278	24	12	304	91	-6	+3	+9	+6	+15	2.8
2031	25	MLB	MIA	70%	555	477	106	18	3	12	68	134	5	25	4	222	325	348	673	126	278	24	12	306	92	-5	+3	+9	+6	+16	2.9
2032	26	MLB	MIA	71%	560	482	107	19	3	12	68	135	5	25	4	222	324	349	673	127	278	24	12	307	93	-4	+3	+9	+6	+16	3.0
2033	27	MLB	MIA	69%	558	479	106	18	3	12	69	135	5	25	4	221	325	347	672	125	278	24	12	307	93	-4	+3	+9	+6	+16	3.0
2034	28	MLB	MIA	69%	552	473	105	18	3	12	69	134	5	24	4	222	327	349	676	127	278	24	12	306	92	-5	+3	+8	+6	+16	2.9
2035	29	MLB	MIA	67%	542	464	103	18	3	12	68	132	5	22	3	222	328	351	679	129	277	24	13	304	91	-5	+3	+7	+6	+15	2.7
2036	30	MLB	MIA	66%	530	455	98	17	2	11	66	131	4	19	3	215	320	334	654	119	276	25	12	302	89	-7	+3	+6	+6	+15	2.3
2037	31	MLB	MIA	65%	516	443	94	16	2	10	64	129	4	16	2	212	317	325	642	113	274	25	12	298	86	-8	+2	+5	+6	+15	2.0
2038	32	MLB	MIA	65%	497	428	89	15	2	9	62	126	4	13	2	208	314	315	629	107	271	25	12	293	82	-10	+2	+4	+5	+14	1.6
2039	33	MLB	MIA	65%	468	403	82	13	2	8	58	121	4	9	1	203	310	305	615	102	268	26	12	287	78	-12	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.1
2040	34	MLB	MIA	60%	421	363	72	11	2	7	52	112	3	6	1	198	304	298	601	99	263	27	12	279	72	-13	+1	+2	+5	+12	0.6
2041	35	MLB	MIA	56%	367	316	60	9	1	6	45	100	3	4	1	190	297	282	578	92	257	27	12	270	65	-15	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.0
2027	21	MLB	MIA	45%	180	155	31	5	1	2	22	47	1	8	1	200	303	284	587	84	269	26	12	273	67	-7	+1	+3	+2	+5	0.4
2028	22	MLB	MIA	62%	292	253	52	9	1	5	35	73	2	13	2	206	307	308	615	103	271	25	12	284	75	-8	+2	+5	+3	+8	1.0
2029	23	MLB	MIA	68%	353	304	65	11	2	7	43	87	3	16	2	214	317	332	649	118	272	25	12	290	80	-8	+2	+6	+4	+10	1.4
2030	24	MLB	MIA	70%	379	327	71	12	2	8	46	92	3	17	3	217	319	339	659	122	274	24	12	294	83	-7	+2	+6	+4	+11	1.6
2031	25	MLB	MIA	70%	390	337	73	13	2	8	47	94	3	18	3	217	318	338	656	122	274	24	12	296	84	-7	+2	+6	+4	+11	1.7
2032	26	MLB	MIA	71%	395	341	75	13	2	9	48	95	3	18	3	220	321	349	670	129	273	24	12	296	85	-7	+2	+6	+4	+11	1.8
2033	27	MLB	MIA	69%	387	333	72	12	2	8	48	93	3	17	3	216	320	336	657	120	273	24	12	297	85	-7	+2	+6	+4	+11	1.7
2034	28	MLB	MIA	69%	379	326	70	12	2	8	47	92	3	16	2	215	319	337	657	123	273	24	12	296	84	-7	+2	+5	+4	+11	1.6
2035	29	MLB	MIA	67%	362	311	67	11	2	8	45	88	3	14	2	215	320	341	661	125	272	24	12	294	83	-7	+2	+5	+4	+10	1.4
2036	30	MLB	MIA	66%	349	299	64	11	2	7	44	86	3	12	2	214	321	334	655	120	272	25	13	292	81	-7	+2	+4	+4	+10	1.2
2037	31	MLB	MIA	65%	336	288	60	10	1	7	42	84	3	10	2	208	315	323	638	115	270	25	12	288	79	-8	+1	+3	+4	+10	1.0
2038	32	MLB	MIA	65%	322	276	57	10	1	6	40	82	3	8	1	207	313	315	629	109	267	25	12	283	75	-9	+1	+3	+3	+9	0.8
2039	33	MLB	MIA	65%	302	259	51	8	1	5	38	78	2	6	1	197	304	293	598	97	263	26	13	278	71	-10	+1	+2	+3	+9	0.5
2040	34	MLB	MIA	60%	253	218	43	7	1	4	31	67	2	4	1	197	303	294	596	96	258	26	12	270	65	-10	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.1
2041	35	MLB	MIA	56%	204	176	33	5	1	3	25	56	1	2	0	188	292	278	570	91	253	27	12	262	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4891	4210	885	149	23	95	602	1216	38	179	28	210	314	324	639	114	270	25	12	288	79	-118	+25	+61	+52	+139	16.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	559	118	20	3	13	80	162	5	24	4	211	315	327	642	116	271	25	12	288	79	-16	+3	+8	+7	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	8496	7314	1547	255	40	151	1042	2073	68	366	71	212	315	319	635	108	272	24	12	292	82	-177	+45	+95	+91	+241	30.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	119	20	3	12	80	159	5	28	5	212	316	323	639	111	273	24	12	292	82	-14	+4	+7	+7	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	164	133	40	2	2	0	28	16	1	16	6	301	426	346	772	45	339	10	17	358	132	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	18	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	95	17	1	0	0	16	15	2	13	4	179	310	189	499	11	207	13	14	247	47	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	225	173	44	6	1	2	51	34	1	37	8	254	427	335	762	81	307	15	23	362	135	+9	+4	—	—	+6	2.0
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	231	194	43	6	1	1	34	34	0	14	6	222	338	278	616	57	261	15	15	289	79	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.2
2025	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	88	74	22	3	0	2	14	19	0	2	3	297	409	419	828	122	377	22	16	377	147	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Adam Everettlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,067 PA	10	3,067	40	66	242	294	346	+31	+108	15.8	16.2
	/162	664	9	14	242	294	346	+6.6	+23.4	3.4	pk7: 17
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,897	98	181	216	316	333	+49	+89	13.2	11.4
	/162	664	13	25	216	316	333	+6.7	+12.1	1.8	pk7: 9
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#6Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Starlyn Caba (OGILVIE)	20	49→55	32	60	63	202/311/304	102	285	6	29	29%	13%	72	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	66	-0.6	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	70	-0.3	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	57	-1.2	233/312/289	56	299	1	25	20%	9%	72	-0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2009 · A	20	49→42	34→40	59→60	50	223/307/278	55	297	1	25	23%	9%	68	-0.5	226/305/299	73	287	2	26	20%	8%	72	-0.2	217/294/290	74	272	2	27	19%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Wilmer Difo 2012 · A	20	44→54	36→45	57→55	49	205/268/277	72	249	2	21	18%	7%	50	-1.8	220/279/308	88	270	6	20	20%	7%	63	-0.9	251/290/357	106	305	8	26	20%	4%	76	+0.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	72	-0.2	217/282/279	62	272	2	15	19%	8%	56	-1.3	200/241/256	56	246	0	10	18%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	59	-1.1	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	60	-1.0	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Randy Ventura 2017 · A	20	50→54	35→30	58→60	49	234/291/292	58	287	2	26	19%	7%	63	-0.8	229/272/270	41	320	1	19	27%	5%	49	-1.8	223/266/250	27	321	1	19	29%	5%	38	-1.7
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	51→61	35→40	57→65	46	237/287/297	60	301	2	26	21%	6%	63	-0.9	260/302/339	79	336	4	30	22%	5%	79	+0.3	273/340/354	81	349	3	41	21%	9%	96	+1.1
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	57	-1.2	217/294/314	97	274	7	13	22%	9%	72	-0.2	222/296/309	88	278	8	11	22%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Carlos Garcia 2012 · A	20	44→49	34→40	55	49	203/271/262	59	254	1	22	20%	8%	48	-1.9	232/282/298	66	289	3	17	20%	6%	61	-1.0	249/295/311	62	306	3	21	19%	5%	66	-0.3
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	71	-0.3	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	52	-1.6	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	-5	-1.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Jesus Galindo 2012 · A	21	45→52	34→40	57→65	50	206/291/259	54	283	2	29	26%	9%	56	-1.3	232/288/296	64	311	2	34	24%	6%	63	-0.9	239/291/307	68	323	2	38	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Jilbert Rosario 2015 · A	20	47	34→30	56→55	50	218/296/267	49	280	2	22	21%	8%	60	-1.0	221/284/281	60	293	2	16	23%	7%	58	-1.2	229/287/274	45	302	0	20	22%	6%	52	-0.6
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	62	-0.9	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	69	-0.4	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Garia 2013 · A	20	47→55	35→40	54→60	45	216/281/273	57	295	2	21	26%	7%	55	-1.4	217/261/298	81	298	4	24	27%	5%	52	-1.6	231/270/343	112	308	8	32	27%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Jared Serna 2022 · A	20	42→49	39→45	56→50	54	198/298/287	89	252	5	22	22%	10%	67	-0.5	215/282/333	118	275	11	17	25%	7%	72	-0.2	214/272/339	125	267	13	15	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	49→51	37→30	57→55	51	228/306/304	77	292	4	19	22%	9%	74	-0.1	235/283/294	59	292	3	15	19%	6%	59	-1.1	236/280/289	53	293	3	15	19%	5%	53	-1.1