Starlyn Caba — OGILVIE

Starlyn CabaSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION373 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP265

ISO68

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$9M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$10M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$15M	+1.8	$9M	+$1M
Totals		$32M		$41M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	164	133	40	2	2	0	28	16	1	16	6	301	426	346	772	45	339	10	17	358	128	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	18	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	95	17	1	0	0	16	15	2	13	4	179	310	189	499	11	207	13	14	247	53	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	225	173	44	6	1	2	51	34	1	37	8	254	427	335	762	81	307	15	23	362	131	+8	+4	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	231	194	43	6	1	1	34	34	0	14	6	222	338	278	616	57	261	15	15	289	82	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2025	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	88	74	22	3	0	2	14	19	0	2	3	297	409	419	828	122	377	22	16	377	141	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	164	144	37	2	2	0	17	24	1	16	6	257	340	299	638	42	290	15	10	281	76	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	99	15	1	0	0	12	22	2	13	4	152	257	162	418	10	191	19	10	212	30	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	225	192	34	4	1	2	32	47	1	37	8	177	298	240	537	62	226	21	14	253	57	-11	+4	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	231	203	39	6	1	1	25	48	0	14	6	192	281	246	527	54	240	21	11	242	50	-14	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	164	144	37	2	2	0	17	24	1	16	6	257	340	299	638	42	306	15	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	164	133	40	2	2	0	28	16	1	16	6	301	426	346	772	45	339	10	17	358	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	340	291	50	5	1	2	44	69	3	50	12	172	287	216	503	45	216	20	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	340	268	61	7	1	2	67	49	3	50	12	228	388	284	671	56	269	14	20	323	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	282	53	8	1	1	34	66	0	16	9	188	275	234	509	46	240	21	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	319	268	65	9	1	3	48	53	0	16	9	243	358	317	675	75	290	17	15	313	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	164	145	37	2	2	0	17	24	1	16	6	255	340	297	636	41	290	15	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	340	290	50	5	1	2	44	69	3	50	12	172	287	217	504	45	214	20	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	282	53	8	1	1	34	66	0	16	9	188	275	234	509	46	240	21	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	164	145	37	2	2	0	17	24	1	16	6	255	340	297	636	41	290	15	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	340	290	50	5	1	2	44	69	3	50	12	172	287	217	504	45	214	20	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	319	282	53	8	1	1	34	66	0	16	9	188	275	234	509	46	240	21	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	MIA	—	373	317	61	11	3	6	50	122	4	21	1	192	310	303	613	110	288	33	13	277	74	-12	+4	+0	+4	+8	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	MIA	—	373	296	70	13	4	7	71	90	4	21	1	236	391	378	769	142	313	24	19	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	MIA	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		272	33	11	271	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	MIA	—	382	325	62	11	3	6	51	125	4	21	1	191	308	298	606	108	286	33	13	277	74	-12	+4	+0	+4	+8	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	385	330	66	11	2	6	49	109	3	15	2	200	309	300	609	100	274	28	13	281	77	-11	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	463	398	83	14	3	9	58	125	4	18	3	209	315	327	642	118	276	27	13	293	84	-9	+2	+6	+5	+10	1.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	68%	509	436	93	16	3	11	63	134	5	20	3	213	319	339	659	126	278	26	12	300	89	-7	+3	+7	+5	+11	2.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	70%	538	461	100	17	3	12	67	140	5	21	3	217	323	345	668	128	279	26	12	304	92	-5	+3	+8	+6	+12	2.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	70%	552	473	102	17	3	13	69	142	5	22	3	216	322	347	668	131	279	26	12	306	93	-4	+3	+8	+6	+12	2.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	558	478	103	17	3	13	70	144	5	22	3	215	322	345	667	130	279	26	13	307	94	-4	+3	+8	+6	+12	2.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	557	476	103	17	3	13	71	144	5	22	3	216	324	347	671	130	279	26	13	307	94	-4	+3	+8	+6	+12	2.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	551	470	102	17	3	13	71	143	5	20	3	217	326	349	675	132	278	26	13	306	94	-4	+3	+7	+6	+12	2.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	67%	541	461	98	16	3	12	70	142	5	19	3	213	323	338	661	126	278	26	13	305	92	-5	+3	+6	+6	+12	2.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	530	452	97	16	3	12	68	140	5	16	3	215	324	343	667	128	277	26	13	302	91	-6	+2	+5	+6	+11	1.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	516	440	92	15	3	11	66	138	5	14	2	209	319	332	651	123	275	27	13	299	88	-7	+2	+4	+6	+11	1.6
2038	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	497	426	88	14	3	10	64	135	4	11	2	207	316	324	640	117	272	27	13	293	85	-9	+1	+3	+5	+11	1.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	468	401	79	12	2	9	60	129	4	8	1	197	308	304	612	107	268	28	13	287	81	-11	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.8
2040	34	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	421	361	70	10	2	8	54	119	3	5	1	194	304	299	603	105	263	28	13	280	75	-12	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	173	148	29	5	1	2	22	49	1	7	1	196	304	284	588	88	267	28	13	270	77	-5	+1	+2	+2	+4	0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	285	245	50	8	2	5	36	77	2	11	2	204	311	314	625	110	269	27	13	280	84	-5	+1	+4	+3	+6	0.9
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	68%	348	299	62	10	2	7	43	92	3	14	2	207	313	324	637	117	270	26	12	286	89	-5	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	70%	375	322	67	11	2	8	47	97	3	15	2	208	315	329	644	121	271	26	13	290	92	-4	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	70%	388	332	70	11	2	9	49	100	4	15	2	211	319	337	657	127	271	26	13	293	93	-3	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	394	337	71	11	2	9	50	102	4	15	2	211	320	335	655	125	271	26	13	293	94	-3	+2	+6	+4	+9	1.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	386	330	70	11	2	9	49	100	4	15	2	212	321	339	661	127	271	26	13	294	94	-3	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	378	324	67	11	2	8	48	98	3	14	2	207	315	327	642	120	271	26	13	293	94	-3	+2	+5	+4	+8	1.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	67%	362	309	64	10	2	8	47	95	3	12	2	207	318	330	648	123	270	26	13	291	92	-3	+2	+4	+4	+8	1.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	349	298	62	10	2	7	45	92	3	11	2	208	318	326	643	117	269	26	13	289	91	-4	+1	+3	+4	+8	1.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	336	287	59	9	2	7	43	90	3	9	1	206	315	324	639	118	267	27	13	286	88	-5	+1	+3	+4	+7	1.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	322	275	55	8	2	6	41	87	3	7	1	200	310	309	619	109	265	27	13	281	85	-6	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.8
2039	33	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	302	258	51	7	2	6	39	84	2	5	1	198	308	310	618	112	261	28	13	275	81	-7	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.5
2040	34	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	253	217	41	6	1	4	32	72	2	3	0	189	299	281	580	92	257	28	13	268	75	-7	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4651	3981	818	128	26	95	591	1235	40	153	22	205	314	322	636	117	270	27	13	286	85	-62	+22	+53	+50	+101	16.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	556	115	18	4	13	83	173	6	21	3	207	316	324	640	117	273	27	13	286	85	-9	+3	+7	+7	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7918	6788	1417	224	43	155	996	2046	67	315	62	209	316	323	639	114	273	26	13	294	85	-98	+33	+80	+76	+154	24.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	117	18	4	13	82	168	6	26	5	210	318	327	645	117	274	26	13	294	85	-9	+3	+7	+7	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	6.3	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
/162	664	17	11	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,665	100	154	212	317	336	+48	+75	13.5	11.5
/162	664	14	22	+6.9	+10.6	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Starlyn Caba (OGILVIE)	20	47→55	31→33	60	63	189/299/275	86	272	3	14	29%	13%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	62	-1.4	233/312/287	54	296	1	25	20%	9%	75	-0.5	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Carlos Willoughby 2009 · A	20	49→44	34→40	59→60	50	223/307/278	55	297	1	25	23%	9%	72	-0.7	227/306/300	73	289	2	26	20%	8%	76	-0.4	220/296/291	72	277	1	27	19%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	70	-0.8	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	74	-0.6	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Wilmer Difo 2012 · A	20	44→54	36→45	57→55	49	205/268/277	72	249	2	21	18%	7%	55	-1.9	221/279/308	87	272	6	20	20%	7%	67	-1.1	251/291/356	104	304	7	26	19%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	75	-0.5	218/283/281	63	275	2	15	19%	8%	62	-1.4	205/243/263	58	255	0	10	19%	5%	40	-1.0
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	51→61	35→40	57→65	46	237/287/297	60	301	2	26	21%	6%	67	-1.1	261/303/340	79	336	3	30	22%	5%	82	-0.0	270/336/350	80	345	3	41	21%	9%	94	+0.7
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	62	-1.4	218/295/315	97	275	7	13	22%	9%	75	-0.5	227/301/318	90	284	8	11	22%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	63	-1.3	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	65	-1.2	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Chris Garia 2013 · A	20	47→54	35→40	54→60	45	216/281/273	57	295	2	21	26%	7%	60	-1.6	218/262/298	80	296	4	24	27%	4%	57	-1.8	232/271/341	109	306	8	32	26%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Everth Cabrera 2007 · A	20	45→55	34→40	50→65	47	206/280/258	52	296	2	16	29%	9%	56	-1.9	231/298/311	80	319	4	27	26%	8%	74	-0.5	263/328/345	82	334	3	54	21%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Carlos Garcia 2012 · A	20	44→50	34→40	55	49	203/271/262	59	254	1	22	20%	8%	54	-2.0	230/280/297	67	287	3	17	20%	6%	64	-1.3	245/292/307	62	302	3	21	19%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Randy Ventura 2017 · A	20	50→54	35→30	58→60	49	234/291/292	58	287	2	26	19%	7%	68	-1.0	231/275/273	42	322	1	19	27%	5%	56	-1.9	226/270/255	28	324	1	19	29%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	213/279/311	99	296	6	21	29%	8%	68	-1.0	250/308/354	104	323	7	26	23%	7%	88	+0.4	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps