Felnin CelestenSS Everett AquaSox
Age 20 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .293 / .359
PA230
HR6
SB8
K%27
BB%7
BABIP291
ISO134
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +3.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +6.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +16.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +1.70+1.7WAR
0.01.53.00.01.52.12.52.72.82.92.92.8+$129M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT47
scouting grade only
POWER49
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
DEFENSE53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.5$16M+$15M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.7$16M+$15M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.8$15M+$15M
2032Arb-1$6M+2.9$15M+$12M
2033Arb-2$10M+2.9$14M+$9M
2034Arb-3$14M+2.8$12M+$6M
Totals $33M $88M +$72M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKACL Mariners — 144131 35723 12420 52 267329420749 153368 298 333 113 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Mariners — 144125 441043 18280 52 3524345681.002 216432 1912 434 190 — — — — — —
202519 A3 teams — 491451 10514210 341462 219 233290339629 106318 307 274 68 — — — — — —
202519 A3 teams — 491439 1191938 461132 219 271343383726 112345 239 326 108 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 A+SEA — 346311 7214210 25997 174 232303386689 154302 297 303 90 -4 +2 +0 +4 +10 1.2
YTD20 A+SEA — 346294 9119313 42717 174 310408527935 218366 2112 409 171 +28 +2 +0 +4 +10 4.4
ROS20 A+SEA 0% 230208 47816 17633 82 225293359652 134294 277 295 84 -4 +1 -0 +2 +7 0.5
ROS20 MLBSEA 0% 11 0000 000 00 292 00 282 74 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL20 A+SEA — 347312 7214210 25997 174 231302385687 154301 297 303 90 -4 +2 -0 +4 +10 1.2
TOT20 A+SEA — 576519 11922316 4216210 256 229299375674 146298 287 300 87 -8 +3 -0 +6 +16 1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBSEA 43% 581526 12221316 431557 154 232299375673 143295 277 300 88 -8 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.5
202822 MLBSEA 61% 609551 13023318 461577 164 236303387690 151295 268 309 94 -4 +2 -1 +7 +17 2.1
202923 MLBSEA 68% 627566 13724420 491587 164 242310405715 163296 258 314 99 -1 +2 -1 +7 +18 2.5
203024 MLBSEA 70% 628566 13824420 501567 154 244313406719 163297 258 318 102 +1 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.7
203125 MLBSEA 70% 634571 13924421 511567 154 243313410723 166297 258 321 103 +3 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.8
203226 MLBSEA 71% 639575 14024421 521587 154 243314409723 165297 258 322 104 +3 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.9
203327 MLBSEA 69% 637573 13924421 521587 154 243313408722 166296 258 322 104 +3 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.9
203428 MLBSEA 69% 631567 13724321 521577 144 242313406719 164296 258 321 104 +3 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.8
203529 MLBSEA 67% 621557 13423320 521567 134 241313400714 160296 258 319 102 +2 +1 -2 +7 +18 2.5
203630 MLBSEA 66% 609546 13122320 511547 124 240313401714 161295 258 316 100 +0 +1 -3 +7 +17 2.2
203731 MLBSEA 65% 595533 12722319 501527 113 238312398710 159292 268 313 97 -2 +1 -4 +6 +17 1.9
203832 MLBSEA 65% 576517 12120318 481506 103 234306389695 155290 268 307 93 -4 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.5
203933 MLBSEA 65% 547491 11218316 451456 93 228301375675 147286 278 301 88 -7 +1 -5 +6 +15 1.0
204034 MLBSEA 60% 499450 9916214 411365 72 220292358650 138280 278 292 82 -10 +1 -6 +5 +14 0.4
204135 MLBSEA 56% 443400 8613212 361244 62 215286347634 132274 288 282 74 -13 +0 -6 +5 +13 -0.1
204236 MLBSEA 47% 382345 711029 301104 51 206277325602 119268 298 272 66 -15 +1 -7 +4 +11 -0.6
202721 MLBSEA 43% 252228 52917 19673 72 228296368664 140292 278 288 79 -6 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.4
202822 MLBSEA 61% 371336 7914211 28964 93 235302387689 152293 268 297 86 -6 +1 -0 +4 +11 0.9
202923 MLBSEA 68% 427386 9116213 331085 113 236304389693 153293 258 303 90 -5 +1 -1 +5 +12 1.2
203024 MLBSEA 70% 437394 9416214 351095 113 239309396705 157294 258 307 93 -4 +1 -1 +5 +12 1.4
203125 MLBSEA 70% 445401 9617214 361105 113 239310397706 157294 258 309 94 -3 +1 -1 +5 +13 1.5
203226 MLBSEA 71% 451407 9917315 361115 113 243312410723 167294 258 310 95 -3 +1 -1 +5 +13 1.6
203327 MLBSEA 69% 442398 9416214 361095 103 236308392699 156294 258 310 95 -2 +1 -1 +5 +13 1.5
203428 MLBSEA 69% 433389 9316214 361085 103 239312398710 159293 258 309 95 -3 +1 -1 +5 +12 1.4
203529 MLBSEA 67% 415372 8815213 351045 93 237311392703 156293 258 307 93 -3 +1 -1 +4 +12 1.2
203630 MLBSEA 66% 401359 8514213 341025 82 237312396707 159292 258 305 91 -4 +1 -2 +4 +11 1.1
203731 MLBSEA 65% 388349 8214212 32994 72 235306390696 155290 268 301 89 -5 +1 -2 +4 +11 0.9
203832 MLBSEA 65% 373335 7713211 31974 72 230303379682 149287 268 296 85 -6 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.6
203933 MLBSEA 65% 353317 7212210 29944 62 227300372672 145283 278 290 80 -8 +0 -3 +4 +10 0.3
204034 MLBSEA 60% 300269 58918 25823 41 216290346635 130278 278 281 74 -9 +0 -3 +3 +8 -0.0
204135 MLBSEA 56% 246222 46716 20692 31 207279329608 122272 288 272 66 -9 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.3
204236 MLBSEA 47% 178160 33514 14512 21 206278325603 119266 298 262 59 -8 +0 -3 +2 +5 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 59135323 123921029179 479151666 12637 233304384688 151290 268 300 87 -84 +10 -26 +63 +168 13.4
/ 162G— — 650585 13623320 531677 144 232304385688 152289 268 300 87 -9 +1 -3 +7 +18 1.5
Career— — 101239124 215036155305 8112633107 22867 236305388693 152296 268 308 94 -70 +19 -43 +108 +287 30.7
/ 162G— — 650586 13923420 521697 154 237307392699 155297 268 308 94 -4 +1 -3 +7 +18 2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKACL Mariners — 144125 441043 18280 52 3524345681.002 216432 1912 434 190 +15 +0 — — +4 1.9
202519 A+Everett AquaSox — 4838 6011 9150 11 158319289609 132217 3119 283 75 -1 -0 — — +1 -0.0
202519 AModesto Nuts — 424383 1091925 37962 208 285351384735 99366 239 331 112 +6 +1 — — +12 1.9
202519 INTLToros del Este — 1918 4002 020 00 222222556778 333133 110 314 99 -0 +0 — — +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA
115,944181181263315427+30-425.824.9
/1626642020+3.3-0.42.9pk7: 24
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
105,914184125237305393+58+1420.617.1
/1626642114+6.5+1.62.3pk7: 14
#3Bill Halllast yr '11
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA
93,62112362249308437+22+715.916.6
/1626642311+4.1+1.32.9pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Felnin Celesten (OGILVIE) 20 20→47 30→49 50→56 52 229/299/375 146298 1625 28% 7% 87 +1.7 ————————— —————————
✕Juan Brito
2022 · A 		20 45→49 42→50 47→45 45 219/283/320 101283 1012 26% 7% 68 -0.5 232/313/374 142284 149 22% 10% 95 +1.4 227/311/37414727215921%10%92+1.1
●Royce Lewis
2019 · A 		20 47→49 42→60 53→50 44 231/283/337 106284 1017 22% 6% 72 -0.2 205/251/302 97288 815 30% 5% 50 -1.8 261/322/478218301311424%8%123+1.6
✕Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A 		21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee
2023 · A 		20 48→47 45→55 48→55 46 233/305/357 125310 1212 27% 8% 87 +0.8 242/305/384 142306 1516 25% 7% 94 +1.3 248/306/416169299181623%6%100+1.2
✕Carlos Jimenez
2023 · A 		20 38→43 46→55 53→50 45 188/278/321 133289 1416 37% 10% 68 -0.5 217/294/348 131331 1416 35% 9% 81 +0.4 229/308/399169310211831%9%95+0.9
✕Nick Franklin
2012 · AA 		21 44→50 46→50 53→50 41 221/269/350 128285 1515 28% 6% 69 -0.4 236/295/369 133302 1312 25% 8% 85 +0.7 237/304/370133299131224%8%87+0.8
✕Angel Martínez
2023 · AA 		21 44→47 44→50 48→50 47 218/285/344 126279 1111 25% 8% 76 +0.0 225/282/355 130283 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.1 227/277/371143272151322%5%78+0.1
●Trevor Story
2013 · A 		20 40→49 44→60 53→55 41 200/261/322 123284 1110 32% 7% 59 -1.1 191/252/329 138303 1415 39% 7% 58 -1.2 247/315/451204301242526%8%113+2.3
✕Ravel Santana
2011 · A 		19 43 46→50 51→55 47 216/296/344 128273 1516 26% 8% 81 +0.4 220/281/361 141294 1513 29% 7% 78 +0.2 205/253/387182264221531%6%72-0.1
✕Bryan Rincon
2023 · A 		19 42 45 53→60 45 210/279/333 123274 1211 27% 8% 70 -0.3 194/289/295 101275 922 30% 11% 66 -0.6 172/263/292120248133534%10%51-0.7
✕Francisco Mejía
2015 · A 		19 45→55 44→55 49→40 40 221/266/338 118283 118 26% 5% 66 -0.6 238/283/344 106294 104 22% 5% 73 -0.1 256/302/42817230217121%5%103+1.0
✕Blake Perkins
2018 · A 		21 44→51 40→50 51→55 43 214/270/306 92286 815 27% 7% 59 -1.1 203/268/295 92290 817 31% 8% 56 -1.3 230/313/367137305142527%10%91+0.7
✕Alen Hanson
2013 · A 		20 48→51 46→50 56→60 46 238/294/385 148293 1220 23% 7% 89 +1.0 230/270/363 133289 1122 24% 5% 72 -0.2 252/286/391139300123020%4%83+0.4
✕Jasson Domínguez
2023 · AA 		20 42→52 45→50 56→60 43 204/277/332 129309 1220 36% 8% 69 -0.4 234/307/374 140323 1528 30% 9% 92 +1.2 244/319/382138325163328%10%96+1.1
●Evan Carter
2023 · AA 		20 47→53 45→50 55 52 228/311/364 135289 1021 23% 10% 92 +1.2 235/322/388 153305 1521 26% 10% 102 +1.9 232/325/392160298162426%10%101+1.1
●Dylan Carlson
2019 · A 		20 42→52 45→55 45→50 46 211/281/334 124277 126 28% 8% 72 -0.2 233/300/392 159298 1710 27% 8% 94 +1.3 244/329/39315029814422%9%103+1.5
✕Ronny Simon
2021 · A 		21 46→54 41→50 52→55 46 218/278/329 112273 613 22% 7% 68 -0.5 210/261/359 149274 1819 29% 6% 69 -0.4 261/322/377116323102921%7%95+1.0
✕Jeferson Quero
2023 · A 		20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
●Adael Amador
2022 · A 		19 45→54 41→50 45→55 47 217/279/316 98271 811 23% 7% 65 -0.7 239/313/375 136278 1617 19% 9% 95 +1.4 230/306/371141263182320%9%88+0.7
✕Shawn Zarraga
2009 · A 		20 48 40 51→45 49 226/308/322 96306 77 26% 9% 79 +0.3 223/295/301 78305 56 26% 7% 69 -0.4 277/347/362843224214%8%106+0.8