Felnin Celesten — OGILVIE

Felnin CelestenSS Everett AquaSox

Age 20 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION498 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$16M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	144	125	44	10	4	3	18	28	0	5	2	352	434	568	1.002	216	432	19	12	434	180	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	48	38	6	0	1	1	9	15	0	1	1	158	319	289	609	132	217	31	19	283	78	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	424	383	109	19	2	5	37	96	2	20	8	285	351	384	735	99	366	23	9	331	110	+5	+1	—	—	+9	1.5
2025	19	INTL	Toros del Este	—	19	18	4	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	222	222	556	778	333	133	11	0	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	144	131	35	7	2	3	12	41	0	5	2	267	329	420	749	153	363	28	8	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	19	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	48	41	5	0	1	1	6	22	0	1	1	122	234	244	478	122	180	46	12	192	16	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	424	393	92	14	1	6	27	123	2	20	8	234	287	321	607	87	321	29	6	267	67	-17	+1	—	—	+9	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	144	131	35	7	2	3	12	41	0	5	2	267	329	420	749	153	364	28	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	144	125	44	10	4	3	18	28	0	5	2	352	434	568	1.002	216	432	19	12	434	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	491	451	100	14	2	7	34	151	2	21	9	222	279	308	587	86	313	31	7	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	491	439	119	19	3	8	46	113	2	21	9	271	343	383	726	112	345	23	9	326	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	144	131	35	7	2	3	12	41	0	5	2	267	329	420	749	153	363	28	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	491	452	100	14	2	7	34	151	2	21	9	221	279	308	587	86	307	31	7	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	144	131	35	7	2	3	12	41	0	5	2	267	329	420	749	153	363	28	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	491	452	100	14	2	7	34	151	2	21	9	221	279	308	587	86	307	31	7	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	SEA	—	498	453	95	18	3	12	33	160	9	25	7	210	277	342	619	132	292	32	7	272	70	-18	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	SEA	—	364	309	97	21	4	13	45	75	7	18	4	314	413	534	947	220	375	21	12	413	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA RAW	SEA	—	134	123	21	3	0	3	9	45	2	7	3	171	239	268	507	98	240	34	7	234	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	SEA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		292	33	11	272	70	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	SEA	—	507	461	96	18	3	12	34	163	9	25	7	208	276	338	614	130	291	32	7	272	70	-18	+2	-0	+5	+11	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SEA	35%	538	489	105	19	3	13	38	166	6	15	5	215	280	346	625	131	292	31	7	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	49%	581	526	116	21	3	16	43	172	7	16	5	221	288	363	651	143	292	30	7	292	84	-11	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	615	557	126	22	3	19	46	177	7	16	5	226	293	379	672	153	293	29	7	300	89	-8	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	627	567	131	23	4	20	48	177	7	16	5	231	299	392	691	160	294	28	8	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	634	573	132	23	4	20	49	178	7	16	5	230	299	389	688	159	294	28	8	307	94	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	639	576	133	23	4	21	50	179	8	16	5	231	301	394	695	163	294	28	8	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	637	573	133	23	4	21	51	179	8	15	5	232	304	396	700	164	294	28	8	308	95	-4	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	631	568	129	23	3	20	51	178	7	14	4	227	299	384	683	157	293	28	8	307	94	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	621	558	127	22	3	20	51	177	7	13	4	228	300	385	686	158	293	29	8	305	93	-5	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	609	547	123	21	3	19	50	175	7	12	4	225	298	378	676	154	292	29	8	303	91	-7	+1	-3	+7	+13	1.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	595	535	119	21	3	18	48	173	7	11	3	222	295	374	669	151	290	29	8	299	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+13	0.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	576	518	113	19	3	17	47	170	6	10	3	218	291	365	656	147	286	30	8	294	85	-10	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.5
2039	33	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	547	492	105	17	3	15	44	164	6	8	3	213	286	352	638	138	283	30	8	287	80	-13	+0	-5	+6	+12	0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	SEA	50%	499	451	93	15	2	13	40	153	5	7	2	206	278	335	613	129	277	31	8	278	75	-15	+1	-6	+5	+11	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	SEA	35%	186	169	36	6	1	5	13	57	2	5	2	213	277	349	626	136	289	31	7	270	76	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	49%	282	256	57	10	2	8	21	83	3	8	2	223	289	371	660	148	290	29	7	281	84	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	334	302	68	12	2	10	25	96	4	9	3	225	293	377	671	152	290	29	7	288	89	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	348	314	71	12	2	11	27	98	4	9	3	226	296	382	678	156	291	28	8	292	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	355	320	73	13	2	11	28	100	4	9	3	228	298	384	683	156	291	28	8	295	94	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	359	324	74	13	2	11	28	101	4	9	3	228	298	383	680	154	291	28	8	296	94	-2	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	352	317	71	12	2	11	28	99	4	8	3	224	295	379	674	155	291	28	8	296	95	-2	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	346	311	71	12	2	11	28	98	4	8	2	228	300	386	686	158	291	28	8	295	94	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.9
2035	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	332	298	68	12	2	10	27	95	4	7	2	228	301	383	683	154	290	29	8	293	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	320	287	65	11	2	10	26	92	4	6	2	226	300	383	683	157	289	29	8	291	91	-3	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	310	278	62	11	2	9	25	90	4	6	2	223	296	374	671	151	287	29	8	287	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	324	291	64	11	2	9	26	95	4	6	2	220	293	364	657	144	284	29	8	282	85	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	297	268	56	9	1	8	24	89	3	5	1	209	281	340	621	131	280	30	8	276	80	-7	+1	-3	+3	+6	0.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	SEA	50%	248	223	45	7	1	6	20	76	3	3	1	202	276	323	599	121	275	31	8	268	75	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4393	3958	881	151	25	130	346	1269	51	98	31	223	293	372	665	149	291	29	8	288	87	-59	+7	-16	+47	+95	7.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	130	22	4	19	51	188	8	15	5	222	293	370	664	148	290	29	8	288	87	-9	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8993	8120	1821	313	49	262	703	2613	97	211	69	224	294	372	666	147	295	29	8	297	87	-117	+14	-30	+90	+181	14.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	133	23	4	19	51	189	7	15	5	227	296	376	673	150	298	29	8	297	87	-9	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.6	4,394	134	97	225	292	378	+45	+10	11.3	9.6
/162	664	20	15	+6.8	+1.5	1.7	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felnin Celesten (OGILVIE)	20	20→47	30→49	50→56	52	207/272/327	120	292	7	12	32%	7%	70	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2015 · A	20	40→50	40→60	54→65	34	197/229/289	92	281	7	14	32%	4%	43	-2.8	210/242/330	120	295	11	25	32%	4%	57	-1.8	254/287/434	180	335	19	58	29%	4%	98	+0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Abraham Almonte 2009 · A	20	40→50	41→55	53→55	44	197/254/300	103	259	9	18	27%	7%	56	-1.9	228/273/323	95	302	6	20	25%	6%	68	-1.0	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	44→51	40→50	51→55	44	213/273/305	91	288	7	15	28%	7%	64	-1.3	202/271/287	85	292	7	17	31%	8%	59	-1.6	226/309/352	126	299	12	25	27%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→51	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	58	-1.7	228/267/375	147	291	14	19	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	44→53	45→50	56→60	43	209/284/338	129	316	12	20	36%	9%	76	-0.4	235/307/369	134	322	15	28	29%	9%	92	+0.7	243/318/375	132	322	15	33	28%	10%	94	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	42→47	40→45	50	44	204/268/288	84	276	8	14	28%	7%	59	-1.7	208/274/318	110	300	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/284/316	101	292	11	15	28%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
●Danny Santana 2011 · A	20	42→52	39→55	54→55	35	204/238/296	92	280	6	15	29%	4%	48	-2.5	226/262/320	94	303	6	16	26%	4%	62	-1.4	240/285/441	201	301	25	22	29%	5%	97	+0.7
✕Niko Goodrum 2013 · A	21	40→50	39→55	52→55	42	193/256/287	94	283	5	7	32%	7%	53	-2.1	210/277/296	86	310	5	17	31%	8%	63	-1.3	240/314/421	180	324	18	16	30%	9%	104	+1.0
✕Henry Ramos 2012 · A	20	44→54	41→50	50	36	215/249/311	97	294	8	14	29%	4%	56	-1.9	219/263/325	106	294	9	9	27%	5%	65	-1.2	252/313/388	135	315	15	7	24%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A	20	42→52	36→40	50→60	41	198/262/265	67	281	4	11	29%	6%	51	-2.2	215/291/269	54	299	1	24	26%	7%	63	-1.3	260/321/357	97	322	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps