Felnin Celesten — OGILVIE

Felnin CelestenSS Everett AquaSox

Age 20 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 3.2 · 2032

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .288 / .343

PA320

HR7

SB11

K%28

BB%8

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

24↗47

PWR

31↗49

SPD

52↗56

FLD

38↗54

EYE

46↗53

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$25M	+$24M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.0	$28M	+$27M
2032	Arb-1	$6M	+3.2	$31M	+$24M
2033	Arb-2	$11M	+3.1	$31M	+$20M
2034	Arb-3	$15M	+3.0	$30M	+$15M
Totals		$35M		$166M	+$131M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	144	131	35	7	2	3	12	42	0	5	2	.267	.329	.420	.749	.153	.368	29	8	.329	110	+2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.8
2025	19	A	3 teams	491	451	101	14	2	7	34	150	2	21	9	.224	.281	.310	.592	.086	.315	31	7	.261	58	-23	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	71	63	12	2	1	1	7	21	0	4	1	.190	.271	.302	.573	.111	.262	30	10	.248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	SEA	249	225	48	9	1	5	21	71	1	7	2	.213	.283	.329	.612	.116	.287	29	8	.282	74	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.3
TOT	20	MLB	SEA	320	288	60	11	2	6	28	92	1	11	3	.208	.281	.323	.604	.115	.281	29	9	.275	68	-11	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 15%	SEA	547	489	110	20	3	13	49	144	4	15	4	.225	.301	.358	.659	.133	.288	26	9	.296	85	-9	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.3
2028	22	MLB 31%	SEA	599	534	123	23	3	16	55	152	5	16	4	.230	.308	.375	.683	.144	.289	25	9	.306	93	-5	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.9
2029	23	MLB 51%	SEA	636	565	132	24	4	18	61	158	5	16	4	.234	.314	.386	.700	.152	.290	25	10	.314	98	-1	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.5
2030	24	MLB 70%	SEA	660	586	139	25	4	20	64	161	5	16	4	.237	.318	.396	.713	.159	.290	24	10	.318	102	+1	+2	-1	+7	+19	2.8
2031	25	MLB 86%	SEA	672	595	142	26	4	21	67	163	5	16	4	.239	.321	.402	.723	.163	.291	24	10	.321	104	+3	+2	-1	+7	+19	3.0
2032	26	MLB	SEA	677	597	143	26	4	21	69	164	6	16	4	.240	.324	.402	.726	.162	.291	24	10	.323	105	+4	+2	-1	+7	+19	3.2
2033	27	MLB	SEA	676	596	143	26	4	21	69	165	6	15	4	.240	.325	.403	.728	.163	.291	24	10	.323	105	+4	+1	-1	+7	+19	3.1
2034	28	MLB	SEA	670	591	140	25	4	21	69	165	5	15	3	.237	.322	.399	.721	.162	.291	25	10	.322	105	+3	+2	-2	+7	+19	3.0
2035	29	MLB	SEA	659	580	136	25	3	20	69	164	5	14	3	.234	.321	.391	.712	.157	.290	25	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-2	+7	+19	2.8
2036	30	MLB	SEA	648	570	132	24	3	19	68	163	5	13	2	.232	.319	.384	.703	.153	.289	25	10	.317	101	+0	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.5
2037	31	MLB	SEA	634	558	128	23	3	18	66	162	5	11	1	.229	.316	.378	.695	.149	.287	26	10	.313	98	-2	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.1
2038	32	MLB	SEA	615	541	123	22	3	17	64	161	5	10	1	.227	.315	.373	.688	.146	.286	26	10	.308	94	-4	+2	-4	+7	+17	1.7
2039	33	MLB	SEA	586	516	115	20	3	16	61	157	4	9	0	.223	.310	.366	.676	.143	.284	27	10	.303	90	-7	+2	-5	+6	+17	1.3
2040	34	MLB	SEA	537	473	104	18	3	14	55	149	4	9	0	.220	.306	.359	.666	.140	.282	28	10	.296	85	-9	+2	-6	+6	+15	0.8
2041	35	MLB	SEA	480	425	88	15	2	11	49	138	3	8	0	.207	.294	.329	.623	.122	.280	29	10	.288	79	-11	+2	-6	+5	+14	0.3
2042	36	MLB	SEA	418	370	76	13	2	9	42	124	3	7	0	.205	.292	.324	.616	.119	.277	30	10	.279	72	-13	+1	-7	+4	+12	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	SEA	352	312	62	10	2	7	35	108	2	6	0	.199	.284	.311	.595	.112	.273	31	10	.270	64	-14	+1	-8	+4	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10950	9705	2220	395	59	297	1079	2861	80	245	51	.229	.311	.373	.684	.145	.291	26	10	.307	93	-87	+29	-55	+117	+310	32.1
/ 162G	—			650	576	132	23	4	18	64	170	5	15	3	.229	.312	.377	.688	.148	.292	26	10	.307	93	-5	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	144	125	44	10	4	3	18	28	0	5	2	.352	.434	.568	1.002	.216	.432	19	12	.434	190	+15	+0	—	—	+4	1.9
2025	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	48	38	6	0	1	1	9	15	0	1	1	.158	.319	.289	.609	.132	.217	31	19	.283	75	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	A	Modesto Nuts	424	383	109	19	2	5	37	96	2	20	8	.285	.351	.384	.735	.099	.366	23	9	.331	112	+6	+1	—	—	+12	1.9
2025	19	INTL	Toros del Este	19	18	4	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	.222	.222	.556	.778	.333	.133	11	0	.314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felnin Celesten (OGILVIE)	20	24→47	31→49	52→56	53	.219/.288/.343	.124	.292	7	7	28%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	43→53	46→50	56→60	43	.209/.282/.339	.129	.315	13	19	36%	8%	73	-0.1	.236/.308/.376	.140	.328	16	27	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.249/.323/.390	.141	.333	16	33	28%	10%	99	+1.2
✕Francisco Mejía 2016 · A	20	43→53	41→55	47→40	43	.211/.267/.303	.093	.260	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.250/.290/.373	.123	.301	13	4	21%	5%	85	+0.7	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→48	45→50	48→50	46	.219/.283/.344	.126	.277	12	11	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.225/.282/.353	.128	.282	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.224/.278/.351	.127	.277	13	10	23%	6%	72	-0.2
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	41→42	47→50	48→30	42	.204/.274/.345	.141	.294	15	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	.210/.296/.377	.167	.308	20	3	35%	10%	89	+1.0	.196/.287/.351	.155	.286	19	1	36%	11%	75	-0.0
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Dylan Carlson 2020 · AAA	21	43→53	47→55	48→50	46	.219/.289/.359	.140	.282	15	10	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.237/.308/.399	.162	.299	16	8	25%	8%	99	+1.7	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)