Dee Kennedy — OGILVIE

Dee KennedySS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 22 R/R A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .279 / .308

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP284

ISO125

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	77	11	2	0	1	13	20	2	6	1	143	283	208	490	65	179	22	14	244	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	81	10	2	0	1	9	27	2	6	1	123	228	185	413	62	155	29	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	81	10	2	0	1	9	27	2	6	1	123	228	185	413	62	170	29	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	77	11	2	0	1	13	20	2	6	1	143	283	208	490	65	179	22	14	244	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	81	10	2	0	1	9	27	2	6	1	123	228	185	413	62	155	29	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	92	81	10	2	0	1	9	27	2	6	1	123	228	185	413	62	155	29	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	4%	202	182	37	6	1	3	16	58	2	5	1	207	279	310	589	103	282	29	8	268	67	-8	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	4%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	208	279	308	588	101	284	25	0	267	67	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	36%	186	167	35	6	1	3	15	53	2	4	1	211	282	319	601	108	283	28	8	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	47%	297	269	58	10	2	6	23	83	3	7	1	214	285	327	612	113	284	28	8	277	74	-9	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	52%	364	328	70	12	2	7	29	101	4	8	2	216	288	332	620	117	285	28	8	280	76	-11	+1	+1	+4	+8	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	54%	407	367	79	14	2	8	32	112	5	9	2	217	289	337	626	120	285	28	8	283	77	-11	+1	+1	+4	+9	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	54%	427	385	84	15	2	9	34	117	5	10	2	218	290	338	628	120	285	27	8	283	78	-11	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	54%	437	394	85	15	2	9	35	120	5	9	2	216	288	334	622	118	284	27	8	281	76	-12	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	435	392	84	15	2	9	35	121	5	9	2	214	285	328	613	114	283	28	8	277	74	-14	+1	-0	+5	+9	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	57%	431	390	82	14	2	8	34	121	4	8	2	211	282	320	602	109	281	28	8	273	71	-15	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	36%	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	2	0	211	283	317	599	106	285	28	7	272	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	47%	139	125	27	5	1	2	11	39	2	3	1	214	286	324	609	110	286	28	8	276	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	52%	189	170	38	7	1	4	15	52	2	4	1	216	288	329	617	114	287	28	8	279	76	-5	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	54%	221	198	43	8	1	4	18	61	3	5	1	217	289	334	623	116	287	28	8	281	77	-6	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	54%	232	208	45	8	1	5	19	63	3	5	1	218	290	335	625	117	287	27	8	282	78	-6	+1	+1	+2	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	54%	237	213	45	8	1	4	19	65	3	5	1	216	288	331	619	114	286	27	8	280	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	231	209	44	8	1	4	18	64	2	5	1	214	285	325	610	111	285	28	8	276	74	-7	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	57%	245	222	46	8	1	4	19	69	2	5	1	211	282	318	600	107	283	28	8	272	71	-9	+1	-0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1561	1406	300	54	7	28	124	432	18	34	7	213	286	321	607	108	285	28	8	278	73	-47	+4	+2	+17	+34	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	22	3	12	52	180	7	14	3	214	285	323	608	109	285	28	8	278	73	-19	+2	+1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3173	2861	606	106	16	62	254	883	36	72	15	212	284	325	609	113	282	28	8	276	73	-93	+8	+5	+33	+67	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	124	22	3	13	52	181	7	15	3	212	284	326	610	114	281	28	8	276	73	-20	+2	+1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.4	1,566	31	34	216	284	332	+17	+5	1.7	1.7
/162	664	13	15	+7.1	+2.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dee Kennedy (OGILVIE)	22	30→43	40→50	60→57	40	206/277/308	102	282	2	2	29%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Abreu 2007 · A	22	41→51	43→45	56→55	40	204/251/317	114	269	10	12	28%	5%	59	-1.7	234/253/338	104	268	9	15	16%	2%	63	-1.3	245/260/340	96	276	8	18	14%	1%	63	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Justin Trapp 2013 · A	22	43→45	42→45	54→55	40	210/267/318	107	293	9	17	30%	6%	65	-1.2	216/269/308	92	294	8	15	28%	6%	63	-1.3	213/266/293	80	288	8	16	27%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Tyler Goeddel 2015 · A	22	46→52	41→45	56→55	42	218/276/326	108	307	7	18	30%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	296	9	17	24%	7%	78	-0.3	228/291/335	107	287	8	18	22%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Christopher Bostick 2015 · A	22	43→53	44→45	52→55	40	213/267/336	123	296	11	15	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/277/342	113	302	9	14	26%	5%	74	-0.6	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Peyton Graham 2024 · A	23	42→52	39→45	53→60	42	200/268/288	87	292	7	17	32%	7%	59	-1.6	211/289/307	96	293	7	23	28%	8%	72	-0.7	224/305/325	101	305	8	36	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Kevin Smith 2018 · A	22	39→45	44→55	53→50	34	195/232/312	117	284	11	8	35%	4%	51	-2.3	208/251/356	148	292	17	13	34%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Albert Cartwright 2010 · A	22	43→49	41→45	53→55	40	207/275/306	99	293	8	17	31%	6%	66	-1.1	220/274/332	112	309	8	18	30%	6%	71	-0.8	219/269/317	98	301	6	20	28%	5%	62	-1.2
✕Bubba Starling 2015 · A	22	40→47	42→45	54→50	38	195/255/299	104	294	10	13	36%	6%	57	-1.8	196/243/309	113	289	11	10	34%	5%	54	-2.0	219/258/334	116	284	13	10	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2011 · A	22	42→47	43→45	57→55	34	208/247/314	106	303	11	13	35%	4%	56	-1.9	213/264/325	112	292	12	23	30%	6%	65	-1.2	208/268/334	126	273	14	25	28%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Dakota Harris 2024 · A	22	44→52	40→45	52→55	38	209/272/303	94	305	7	11	32%	6%	64	-1.3	230/277/334	104	296	11	15	25%	5%	73	-0.6	231/281/335	104	291	12	21	24%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Eduardo Diaz 2019 · A	22	43→45	41→50	53→50	35	209/251/310	101	294	8	12	31%	4%	57	-1.8	213/257/334	121	289	12	11	30%	4%	65	-1.2	206/251/336	130	276	14	13	30%	4%	61	-1.1
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	39→46	40→45	55	41	193/250/296	103	263	6	14	28%	6%	54	-2.0	206/262/315	109	276	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.4	220/278/302	82	279	5	24	22%	6%	63	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps