Caleb Farmer — OGILVIE

Caleb FarmerC Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION120 act + 80 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .262 / .264

PA80

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	156	22	5	0	3	10	84	3	0	0	141	207	231	438	90	268	49	6	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	151	28	6	0	4	15	59	3	0	0	185	272	305	577	119	267	34	9	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	214	30	6	1	2	15	79	8	3	1	140	224	206	429	65	211	33	6	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	203	37	6	2	3	26	60	8	3	1	182	300	276	575	94	243	25	11	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	101	93	9	2	2	1	4	39	3	0	0	97	160	194	354	97	151	39	4	156	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	101	91	11	2	2	2	6	27	3	0	0	121	200	253	453	132	145	27	6	207	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	A+	WSH	—	120	103	19	5	0	2	11	35	4	1	0	184	288	291	579	107	250	29	9	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
YTD	26	A+	WSH	—	120	96	23	6	0	3	17	26	4	1	0	240	373	396	769	156	290	22	14	345	122	+3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.9
ROS	26	A+	WSH	0%	80	72	13	3	0	1	6	23	2	1	0	181	263	264	526	83	257	29	8	254	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	238	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	26	A+	WSH	—	120	104	19	5	0	2	11	35	4	1	0	183	288	288	577	106	246	29	9	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
TOT	26	A+	WSH	—	200	175	32	8	0	3	17	58	6	2	0	183	278	280	558	97	250	29	8	263	59	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	WSH	26%	209	188	38	8	1	4	15	58	4	3	1	202	275	319	595	117	261	28	7	262	58	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2028	28	MLB	WSH	39%	276	249	49	10	1	5	20	76	5	4	1	197	270	305	575	108	263	28	7	265	61	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.0
2029	29	MLB	WSH	44%	310	279	56	12	1	6	23	85	5	4	1	201	274	315	589	115	264	27	7	266	62	-13	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.0
2027	27	MLB	WSH	26%	54	49	9	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	184	259	286	545	102	261	28	7	248	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	WSH	39%	109	98	19	4	0	2	8	30	2	2	0	194	269	296	564	102	263	28	7	252	51	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	WSH	44%	138	125	25	5	1	2	10	38	2	2	0	200	270	304	574	104	264	28	7	254	52	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	301	273	53	11	1	5	22	83	5	5	0	194	268	297	564	103	257	28	7	252	51	-17	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	115	24	2	11	48	179	11	11	0	195	269	298	568	103	257	28	7	252	51	-36	+2	-2	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	1386	1251	217	46	6	22	93	444	30	15	4	173	247	273	520	99	247	32	7	236	39	-96	+1	-2	+25	+39	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	102	22	3	10	44	208	14	7	2	174	248	273	521	99	247	32	7	236	39	-45	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	151	28	6	0	4	15	59	3	0	0	185	272	305	577	119	267	34	9	260	57	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	203	37	6	2	3	26	60	8	3	1	182	300	276	575	94	243	25	11	273	67	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2025	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	18	16	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	214	11	6	211	19	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	75	8	1	2	2	5	25	3	0	0	107	193	253	446	147	125	30	6	206	16	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	302	5	4	200	271	311	+5	+4	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	12	9	200	271	311	+11.9	+8.8	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Farmer (OGILVIE)	26	26	37	44	45	183/278/280	97	250	3	2	29%	8%	59	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	36	43→45	43→30	39	187/243/298	110	248	11	5	29%	5%	46	-2.0	186/244/314	128	236	16	4	28%	6%	51	-1.7	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	193/245/318	125	242	13	7	26%	5%	52	-1.6	210/257/336	126	284	14	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	192/227/334	142	252	20	17	33%	4%	45	-0.4
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Corey Myers 2006 · AAA	26	42	40	44→45	42	206/250/298	92	263	8	5	25%	6%	47	-1.9	219/275/307	88	271	9	7	21%	7%	61	-1.0	221/283/285	64	266	7	5	19%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Joe Hudson 2017 · AA	26	39	40→45	46→40	44	191/260/284	93	262	8	3	29%	8%	50	-1.8	188/245/285	97	263	8	3	30%	7%	43	-2.2	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Greg Thissen 2007 · AAA	26	39	41→45	41→45	44	195/249/291	96	244	10	6	24%	6%	46	-2.0	213/285/314	101	291	8	9	28%	8%	67	-0.5	208/292/304	96	295	7	8	29%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	38→47	41→45	47→50	40	190/243/283	93	253	8	12	28%	6%	41	-2.3	200/261/306	106	256	12	12	26%	7%	56	-1.3	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Tres Barrera 2021 · AA	26	44→42	42→45	44→40	43	217/268/321	105	271	10	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	212/281/318	106	269	11	3	24%	8%	67	-0.5	199/272/301	102	248	12	1	24%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	41	38→30	46→30	41	201/247/275	74	255	6	4	24%	5%	40	-2.4	207/263/283	76	264	6	5	23%	5%	50	-1.8	199/267/230	31	253	2	0	20%	5%	36	-0.7
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	42	38→40	47→50	43	204/265/279	75	266	7	12	25%	6%	50	-1.7	216/287/315	99	282	11	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	204/282/295	91	265	12	18	26%	9%	58	-0.5