Caleb Farmer — OGILVIE

Caleb FarmerC Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION206 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .235 / .250

PA17

HR0

K%35

BB%6

BABIP246

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT23

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	151	28	6	0	4	15	59	3	0	0	185	272	305	577	119	267	34	9	260	62	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	203	37	6	2	3	26	60	8	3	1	182	300	276	575	94	243	25	11	273	71	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2025	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	18	16	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	214	11	6	211	29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	75	8	1	2	2	5	25	3	0	0	107	193	253	446	147	125	30	6	206	25	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	156	22	5	0	3	10	81	3	0	0	141	207	231	438	90	234	47	6	190	15	-18	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	213	29	5	1	2	16	82	8	3	1	136	224	197	421	61	208	35	7	198	20	-23	+0	—	—	+5	-1.8
2025	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	18	16	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	203	11	6	196	19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	77	6	1	2	1	3	35	3	0	0	78	145	182	326	104	112	42	4	148	-14	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	156	22	5	0	3	10	81	3	0	0	141	207	231	438	90	257	47	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	151	28	6	0	4	15	59	3	0	0	185	272	305	577	119	267	34	9	260	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	213	29	5	1	2	16	82	8	3	1	136	224	197	421	61	209	35	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	203	37	6	2	3	26	60	8	3	1	182	300	276	575	94	243	25	11	273	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	101	93	9	2	2	1	4	37	3	0	0	97	160	194	354	97	145	37	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	101	91	11	2	2	2	6	27	3	0	0	121	200	253	453	132	145	27	6	207	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	158	22	5	0	3	10	81	3	0	0	139	207	228	435	89	234	47	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	211	29	5	1	2	16	82	8	3	1	137	224	199	423	62	208	35	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	101	93	9	2	2	1	4	37	3	0	0	97	160	194	354	97	128	37	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	173	158	22	5	0	3	10	81	3	0	0	139	207	228	435	89	234	47	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	237	211	29	5	1	2	16	82	8	3	1	137	224	199	423	62	208	35	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	101	93	9	2	2	1	4	37	3	0	0	97	160	194	354	97	128	37	4	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	WSH	—	206	180	31	7	1	4	17	66	5	1	0	172	262	289	551	117	237	32	8	246	53	-12	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ RAW	WSH	—	169	138	30	9	0	3	22	43	4	1	0	217	339	348	687	130	281	25	13	310	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA RAW	WSH	—	37	32	7	0	1	2	4	7	1	0	0	219	324	469	793	250	217	19	11	349	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	A+ MLE	WSH	0%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	248	35	6	239	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	A+ MLE	WSH	—	223	196	34	8	1	4	18	72	5	1	0	173	260	286	546	112	242	32	8	246	53	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	26%	209	188	33	7	1	3	15	66	4	2	1	176	251	271	522	96	252	32	7	247	53	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	39%	276	249	46	9	2	5	20	86	5	3	1	185	259	297	556	112	255	31	7	252	57	-14	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	310	278	52	11	2	5	23	96	6	4	1	187	264	295	559	108	256	31	7	254	58	-16	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	26%	54	49	9	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	184	259	286	545	102	250	31	7	231	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	39%	109	98	18	4	0	2	8	34	2	1	0	184	259	286	545	102	253	31	7	236	57	-6	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	138	124	23	5	1	2	10	43	3	2	0	185	263	290	553	105	254	31	7	238	58	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	301	271	50	11	1	5	22	94	6	4	0	185	261	288	549	103	259	31	7	236	39	-16	+1	-1	+5	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	108	24	2	11	48	203	13	9	0	185	262	289	550	104	259	31	7	236	39	-34	+2	-2	+12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1323	1193	194	40	8	19	89	454	29	12	4	163	238	257	495	95	241	34	7	226	39	-43	+1	-2	+14	+18	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	95	20	4	9	44	223	14	6	2	162	238	256	494	94	241	34	7	226	39	-34	+0	-2	+12	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	302	5	4	184	258	292	+5	+4	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	12	8	+11.9	+8.8	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Farmer (OGILVIE)	26	23	36	44	45	171/246/269	99	248	2	1	33%	7%	48	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	176/245/251	75	269	7	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	191/252/281	90	304	8	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	147/204/228	81	243	8	3	41%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Joe Hudson 2017 · AA	26	39	40→45	45→40	44	190/259/284	93	260	8	3	29%	8%	55	-2.0	191/250/287	96	265	8	3	29%	7%	52	-2.2	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	192/238/297	105	260	9	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	174/227/294	120	256	12	5	35%	6%	45	-2.7	145/197/276	131	201	15	3	36%	5%	27	-1.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	194/269/271	78	275	6	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	204/290/309	105	310	9	4	34%	10%	73	-0.6	190/290/293	103	292	10	0	35%	12%	67	-0.4
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	40→36	42→40	46→30	36	201/240/300	99	283	10	2	32%	5%	50	-2.3	221/258/314	93	310	8	3	30%	4%	60	-1.6	240/274/330	90	328	7	1	28%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Grant Koch 2023 · AA	26	35	42→45	44→30	42	181/252/282	100	260	11	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	203/258/296	93	311	9	4	35%	6%	57	-1.8	191/240/272	81	294	9	0	36%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	36	43→45	47→30	44	183/249/294	111	257	10	4	32%	8%	53	-2.1	187/258/290	103	288	9	5	35%	8%	56	-1.9	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	193/247/277	84	283	5	5	32%	4%	49	-2.4	190/240/270	80	296	6	6	36%	5%	44	-2.8	170/217/237	67	275	5	4	38%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	38→37	41→45	38→40	44	189/259/279	91	261	9	2	30%	8%	54	-2.0	210/273/346	136	290	16	4	32%	7%	74	-0.5	196/256/361	165	256	23	2	33%	6%	68	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps