Arjun Nimmala

SS Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP45OGV rank#75ETA2028MLB%6%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418A/ROKTOR391.232/.327/.48217964—.177/.255/.356
202519A+TOR543.224/.317/.381131760—.189/.259/.328
202620AA/A+/INTL3 orgs438.260/.378/.4921710107—.222/.305/.414
2027PROJ6% MLB21MLBLAA13.197/.273/.35700770.0
2028PROJ46% MLB22MLBLAA163.205/.281/.38063860.3
2029PROJ62% MLB23MLBLAA313.211/.288/.396126920.8
Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%89
wRC+72
wOBA68
ISO65
K%58
Whiff%44
Career WAR1.4 WAR median (P10 -0.8 / P90 31, comp-based) · star 11% · didn't stick 55%
CompsAgustín Ramírez (age 22) · Bryan Ramos (age 21) · Logan O'Hoppe (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .273 / .357
PA13
HR0
K%31
BB%8
BABIP243
ISO83
MLB%6%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.91.80.00.30.81.11.21.21.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$7M+$6M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.2$7M+$4M
2032Arb-2$7M+1.2$7M+$2M
2033Arb-3$10M+1.2$6M+$0.6M
Totals $25M $31M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 4025 5110 1481 10 200500320820 120294 2035 403 80 — — — — — —
202418 ADunedin Blue Jays — 361319 7418616 301139 91 232316476792 245301 318 345 62 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 3021 5211 970 00 2384675711.038 333308 2330 448 93 — — — — — —
202519 A+Vancouver Canadians — 543473 10629313 551169 173 224317381697 156266 2110 312 60 — — — — — —
202620 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 264226 6118012 34613 55 270373509881 239318 2313 387 105 — — — — — —
202620 A+Vancouver Canadians — 10587 21904 16241 21 241365483848 241283 2315 372 84 — — — — — —
202620 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 6953 13321 15181 30 245420434854 189353 2622 387 148 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4030 5110 9111 10 167375267642 100237 2822 286 80 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 361326 5813412 231489 91 178251353604 175264 416 260 62 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 3025 4111 5100 00 160300400700 240219 3317 305 93 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 543491 9326312 371639 173 189259328587 138244 307 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 264236 5617010 24743 55 237316436752 199300 289 324 105 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 10592 17703 11321 21 185279359638 174246 3010 292 84 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4030 5110 9111 10 167375267642 100263 2822 286 80 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 4025 5110 1481 10 200500320820 120294 2035 403 80 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 391351 6315513 281589 91 179258362620 182273 407 263 64 — — — — — —
202418 A RAW2 teams — 391340 7920717 391209 91 232327482810 250301 3110 353 64 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 543491 9326312 371639 173 189259328587 138252 307 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 A+ RAWVancouver Canadians — 543473 10629313 551169 173 224317381697 156266 2110 312 60 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 438389 8829016 421275 106 226310424734 198290 2910 315 99 — — — — — —
202620 AA RAW3 teams — 438366 9530217 651035 106 260378492870 232315 2415 383 99 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4030 5110 9111 10 167375267642 100237 2822 286 80 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 391351 6315513 281589 91 179258362620 182261 407 263 64 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 543492 9326312 371639 173 189259327586 138244 307 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 438388 8829016 421275 106 227310425735 198285 2910 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLE2 teams — 391351 6315513 281589 91 179258362620 182261 407 263 64 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 543492 9326312 371639 173 189259327586 138244 307 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 438388 8829016 421275 106 227310425735 198285 2910 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAA 6% 479431 8523214 391306 83 199274359633 160246 278 283 77 -13 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXLAA 6% 1312 2100 140 00 197273357630 160243 318 281 77 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAA 46% 357320 6617112 30944 73 207283381664 175249 268 295 86 -6 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.6
202923 MLB MLELAA 62% 506452 9724219 431316 104 213289397686 184252 268 304 92 -5 +0 +1 +5 +11 1.3
203024 MLB MLELAA 67% 518463 10125220 441326 104 217294406700 189255 258 310 96 -3 +0 +1 +6 +11 1.6
203125 MLB MLELAA 69% 522466 10225220 451316 104 220297411708 191258 259 313 98 -1 +0 +1 +6 +11 1.8
203226 MLB MLELAA 70% 518462 10325220 451306 94 221298412711 191259 259 314 99 -1 +0 +1 +6 +11 1.8
203327 MLB MLELAA 69% 511456 10124220 441296 94 220297410707 190259 259 313 98 -1 +0 +1 +5 +11 1.7
203428 MLB MLELAA 69% 501447 9924219 431276 73 218295406701 187258 259 310 96 -2 +0 +1 +5 +11 1.5
203529 MLB MLELAA 67% 490440 9523218 421265 53 216293400692 183257 269 307 94 -4 -0 -0 +5 +11 1.2
203630 MLB MLELAA 66% 480431 9122117 411255 32 213289392682 179255 269 302 91 -5 -0 -1 +5 +10 0.9
203731 MLB MLELAA 65% 448402 8521116 381185 02 209285383668 173252 268 297 87 -7 -1 -2 +5 +10 0.5
203832 MLB MLELAA 65% 427385 7819114 351154 01 204279370649 166248 278 289 82 -9 -0 -2 +5 +9 0.2
203933 MLB MLELAA 65% 390351 7017112 321074 01 198271355626 157243 278 280 75 -11 -0 -3 +4 +8 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXLAA 46% 163146 31816 14432 31 205281380661 175246 269 294 86 -3 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
202923 MLB CTXLAA 62% 313280 6015112 26814 62 211288396684 184250 268 303 92 -3 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.8
203024 MLB CTXLAA 67% 345309 6616113 29884 72 216293405698 190253 268 309 96 -2 +1 +1 +4 +7 1.1
203125 MLB CTXLAA 69% 360322 7017114 31914 73 218295410705 192255 259 312 98 -1 +0 +1 +4 +8 1.2
203226 MLB CTXLAA 70% 362324 7117114 31914 73 220297411708 192256 259 313 99 -1 +0 +1 +4 +8 1.2
203327 MLB CTXLAA 69% 353315 6916114 31894 62 219296409705 190256 259 312 98 -1 +0 +1 +4 +8 1.2
203428 MLB CTXLAA 69% 343306 6716113 30874 52 217294405699 187255 259 309 96 -2 +0 +0 +4 +7 1.0
203529 MLB CTXLAA 67% 327292 6315112 28844 32 215292399690 184254 269 306 94 -2 -0 -0 +4 +7 0.8
203630 MLB CTXLAA 66% 315282 6014112 27823 21 212288391679 179252 269 301 91 -3 +0 -1 +3 +7 0.6
203731 MLB CTXLAA 65% 292262 5513110 25773 01 208284382665 174250 269 296 87 -5 -0 -1 +3 +6 0.4
203832 MLB CTXLAA 65% 277249 511219 23743 01 203277369647 166246 278 288 82 -6 -0 -2 +3 +6 0.1
203933 MLB CTXLAA 65% 252227 451018 21692 01 197270354624 157240 278 279 75 -7 -0 -2 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 37023314 70816912137 31695641 4621 214290396686 182255 269 303 88 -36 +1 -1 +40 +80 8.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 12430224 551687 84 213289395684 182254 268 303 88 -6 +0 -0 +7 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 72906524 137434729254 615198190 11146 211288389677 179259 278 298 88 -62 +0 -1 +63 +127 13.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12331323 551778 104 211289393682 182259 278 298 88 -7 +0 -0 +7 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 264 PAwOBA .378 → .324 (−54)K% 23.1% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.11%÷1.000×1.220——28.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.88%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0509.20%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.840—×1.0501.00%
Singles /BIP18.79%÷1.000×0.920×0.991×1.05017.99%
Doubles /BIP10.91%÷1.000×0.910×0.991×1.05010.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.991×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP7.27%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0506.11%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .378 → .324; ISO .239 → .206; BABIP .318 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 105 PAwOBA .362 → .292 (−71)K% 22.9% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.86%÷1.000×1.350——30.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.710—×1.02710.42%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.810—×1.0270.79%
Singles /BIP12.70%÷1.000×0.910×0.983×1.02711.67%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.830×0.983×1.02711.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820×0.983×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP6.35%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0275.41%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .362 → .292; ISO .241 → .197; BABIP .283 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Vancouver Canadians · 543 PAwOBA .306 → .257 (−48)K% 21.4% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.36%÷0.958×1.350——30.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.76%÷1.039×0.710—×1.0426.95%
HBP% /PA1.66%—×0.810—×1.0421.40%
Singles /BIP17.09%÷1.022×0.910×0.981×1.04215.54%
Doubles /BIP8.12%÷0.898×0.830×0.981×1.0427.67%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷0.939×0.820×0.981×1.0420.75%
Home runs /BIP3.64%÷0.855×0.830—×1.0423.68%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 88, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .306 → .257; ISO .156 → .143; BABIP .266 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 361 PAwOBA .338 → .260 (−78)K% 31.3% → 40.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.30%÷1.041×1.360——40.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.31%÷0.959×0.690—×1.0456.25%
HBP% /PA2.49%—×0.780—×1.0452.03%
Singles /BIP16.50%÷0.962×0.920×0.950×1.04515.66%
Doubles /BIP8.74%÷0.999×0.830×0.950×1.0457.20%
Triples /BIP2.91%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0452.29%
Home runs /BIP7.77%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0456.47%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .260; ISO .245 → .179; BABIP .301 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 30 PAwOBA .438 → .305 (−134)K% 23.3% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.33%÷1.009×1.440——33.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA30.00%÷1.042×0.620—×1.00817.98%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP7.14%÷1.016×0.820—×1.0085.81%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.012×0.720—×1.00810.24%
Triples /BIP7.14%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0084.51%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0086.07%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .438 → .305; ISO .333 → .261; BABIP .308 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 40 PAwOBA .396 → .286 (−110)K% 20.0% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.006×1.440——28.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA35.00%÷1.000×0.620—×1.02222.19%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.720—×1.0221.84%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷0.968×0.820—×1.02215.28%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.008×0.720—×1.0224.29%
Triples /BIP5.88%÷1.042×0.720—×1.0224.16%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.005×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 108, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .396 → .286; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .294 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .