Arjun Nimmala — OGILVIE

Arjun NimmalaSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .258 / .343

PA128

HR4

K%31

BB%7

BABIP244

ISO154

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$12M	+$9M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+2.3	$12M	+$8M
2033	Arb-3	$11M	+2.3	$11M	+$5M
Totals		$26M		$63M	+$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	40	30	5	1	1	0	9	11	1	1	0	167	375	267	642	100	263	28	22	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	40	25	5	1	1	0	14	8	1	1	0	200	500	320	820	120	294	20	35	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	391	349	62	16	4	13	30	158	9	9	1	178	260	358	618	181	271	40	8	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	391	340	79	20	7	17	39	120	9	9	1	232	327	482	810	250	301	31	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	543	497	88	25	3	14	31	178	9	17	3	177	238	324	562	147	238	33	6	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	543	473	106	29	3	13	55	116	9	17	3	224	317	381	697	156	266	21	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	TOR	—	193	173	36	10	0	5	16	61	3	5	3	208	286	353	639	145	287	32	8	281	73	-6	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
YTD	20	A+	TOR	—	193	163	44	13	0	6	26	45	3	5	3	270	380	460	840	190	336	23	13	374	144	+10	-0	+0	+2	+5	1.7
ROS	20	A+	TOR	4%	128	116	22	6	0	4	9	40	2	3	1	189	258	343	601	154	245	31	7	264	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	TOR	4%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		246	33	0	253	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	TOR	—	199	179	37	10	0	5	16	63	3	5	3	207	283	346	629	140	286	32	8	280	73	-6	-0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	20	A+	TOR	—	321	289	58	16	0	9	25	101	5	8	4	200	275	349	624	148	270	31	8	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TOR	36%	571	516	100	25	2	17	42	173	8	10	3	194	265	349	614	155	252	30	7	276	69	-20	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.3
2028	22	MLB	TOR	49%	597	538	109	26	2	20	45	176	9	11	4	203	275	370	645	167	257	29	8	288	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.0
2029	23	MLB	TOR	55%	615	554	116	27	2	23	47	176	9	11	4	209	282	390	672	181	260	29	8	298	86	-9	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.6
2030	24	MLB	TOR	56%	627	564	121	27	3	25	49	176	9	11	4	215	288	406	694	191	261	28	8	305	91	-6	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.9
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	634	570	124	28	3	26	50	177	9	12	4	218	291	414	705	196	262	28	8	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.2
2032	26	MLB	TOR	56%	639	574	124	28	3	26	51	179	9	12	4	216	290	411	701	195	262	28	8	310	95	-3	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.3
2033	27	MLB	TOR	55%	637	571	124	28	3	26	52	178	9	12	4	217	293	413	706	196	261	28	8	310	95	-3	+1	+0	+7	+18	2.3
2034	28	MLB	TOR	55%	631	565	121	27	2	26	52	178	9	11	4	214	291	407	698	193	261	28	8	309	95	-4	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.1
2035	29	MLB	TOR	53%	621	556	119	27	2	25	51	176	9	10	3	214	291	405	695	191	260	28	8	308	94	-5	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2036	30	MLB	TOR	53%	609	545	115	26	2	24	50	174	9	9	3	211	288	398	686	187	259	29	8	305	92	-6	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.7
2037	31	MLB	TOR	52%	595	533	111	25	2	23	49	172	8	8	2	208	285	392	677	184	257	29	8	301	89	-8	+1	-3	+6	+17	1.4
2038	32	MLB	TOR	56%	576	516	106	24	2	22	47	169	8	6	2	205	282	388	670	182	254	29	8	296	85	-10	+0	-3	+6	+16	1.0
2039	33	MLB	TOR	59%	547	490	98	21	2	20	45	163	7	4	1	200	277	373	650	173	249	30	8	289	79	-13	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.5
2040	34	MLB	TOR	54%	499	449	87	18	2	18	41	152	6	3	1	194	270	363	633	169	243	30	8	280	72	-16	+0	-5	+5	+14	-0.1
2041	35	MLB	TOR	50%	443	398	73	15	1	15	36	138	6	2	1	183	261	339	601	156	236	31	8	270	64	-18	+0	-6	+5	+13	-0.6
2027	21	MLB	TOR	36%	207	187	37	9	1	6	15	63	3	4	1	198	268	353	621	155	253	30	7	266	62	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	TOR	49%	294	266	54	13	1	10	22	86	4	5	2	203	274	372	646	169	258	29	7	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2029	23	MLB	TOR	55%	335	301	63	15	1	12	26	96	5	6	2	209	283	385	669	176	261	29	8	288	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2030	24	MLB	TOR	56%	348	313	67	15	1	14	27	98	5	6	2	214	287	403	690	188	263	28	8	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	355	319	69	15	2	14	28	99	5	6	2	216	290	408	697	191	263	28	8	298	87	-5	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2032	26	MLB	TOR	56%	360	323	71	16	2	15	29	101	5	7	2	220	294	421	715	201	263	28	8	300	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2033	27	MLB	TOR	55%	352	315	67	15	1	14	29	99	5	6	2	213	289	400	689	187	263	28	8	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2034	28	MLB	TOR	55%	346	310	66	15	1	14	28	97	5	6	2	213	289	403	692	190	262	28	8	299	87	-5	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2035	29	MLB	TOR	53%	332	297	63	14	1	13	27	94	5	5	2	212	289	397	686	185	261	28	8	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2036	30	MLB	TOR	53%	320	287	61	14	1	13	26	91	4	5	2	213	287	404	691	192	260	28	8	295	84	-6	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2037	31	MLB	TOR	52%	310	277	58	13	1	12	26	90	4	4	1	209	287	394	680	184	258	29	8	292	81	-7	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2038	32	MLB	TOR	56%	324	290	59	13	1	12	27	95	4	3	1	203	280	379	660	176	255	29	8	286	77	-8	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2039	33	MLB	TOR	59%	323	290	58	13	1	12	26	96	4	3	1	200	275	376	651	176	250	30	8	280	72	-10	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.0
2040	34	MLB	TOR	54%	272	244	48	10	1	10	22	83	4	2	1	197	274	369	643	172	244	31	8	271	66	-11	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.3
2041	35	MLB	TOR	50%	221	198	36	7	1	7	18	69	3	1	0	182	260	333	594	152	237	31	8	261	58	-11	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4705	4223	878	197	17	178	376	1359	65	69	23	208	283	389	672	181	258	29	8	289	79	-110	+5	-13	+50	+133	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	27	2	25	52	188	9	10	3	208	283	389	672	182	257	29	8	289	79	-15	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	9943	8931	1825	420	41	367	786	2944	145	162	49	204	279	384	663	179	257	30	8	293	82	-198	+13	-24	+107	+282	18.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	119	27	3	24	51	192	9	11	3	204	278	384	661	180	256	30	8	293	82	-13	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	40	25	5	1	1	0	14	8	1	1	0	200	500	320	820	120	294	20	35	403	166	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	18	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	361	319	74	18	6	16	30	113	9	9	1	232	316	476	792	245	301	31	8	345	122	+9	+1	—	—	+10	2.1
2024	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	30	21	5	2	1	1	9	7	0	0	0	238	467	571	1.038	333	308	23	30	448	201	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	543	473	106	29	3	13	55	116	9	17	3	224	317	381	697	156	266	21	10	312	97	-2	+2	—	—	+15	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,714	180	70	209	281	392	+47	+7	11.0	9.5
	/162	664	25	10	209	281	392	+6.6	+1.0	1.5	pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arjun Nimmala (OGILVIE)	20	39→46	49→59	50	51	200/275/349	148	270	9	8	31%	8%	68	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→45	48→55	50	41	195/268/337	143	297	17	12	38%	8%	67	-0.5	211/276/338	127	323	13	9	36%	7%	70	-0.3	226/295/388	162	313	20	6	32%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Ronny Rodríguez 2013 · A	21	38→48	50→55	45→50	34	206/232/358	153	257	18	7	29%	3%	56	-1.3	214/240/338	124	269	13	8	25%	3%	53	-1.5	256/283/425	169	304	22	13	23%	3%	93	+1.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A	21	37→40	47→65	50	34	194/233/333	139	262	14	11	32%	4%	50	-1.7	197/235/330	133	267	14	9	31%	4%	50	-1.7	216/277/454	238	250	36	8	31%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2012 · A	20	39→47	51→60	45→30	38	212/244/366	154	247	21	3	25%	4%	64	-0.8	210/245/350	140	262	16	3	26%	4%	60	-1.0	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
●Alonzo Harris 2010 · A	21	41→51	45→55	50→60	37	208/249/324	116	280	14	12	31%	5%	54	-1.4	215/254/309	94	284	8	15	26%	4%	52	-1.6	235/290/392	157	281	18	35	23%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	71	-0.3	228/294/419	191	283	24	6	28%	8%	99	+1.7	225/292/420	195	273	25	7	27%	8%	97	+1.3
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	47→50	49→50	40	220/272/361	141	293	15	11	30%	6%	74	-0.1	251/300/391	140	316	15	13	24%	6%	94	+1.3	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2013 · A	20	42→52	44→50	45	41	214/256/325	111	264	13	5	24%	5%	58	-1.2	220/262/328	108	272	10	7	22%	5%	61	-1.0	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9
✕Michael Chavis 2016 · A	20	36→46	45→60	45	33	186/228/309	123	283	13	7	38%	5%	42	-2.3	210/257/363	153	289	19	5	33%	5%	69	-0.4	228/283/427	199	296	28	3	33%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	37→45	44→55	43→55	39	188/247/306	118	283	11	4	36%	7%	50	-1.8	225/286/368	143	285	16	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	40→49	44→60	53→55	41	200/261/322	123	284	11	10	32%	7%	59	-1.1	191/252/329	138	303	14	15	39%	7%	58	-1.2	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	41	46→60	47→40	39	209/251/339	130	263	13	5	26%	4%	59	-1.1	226/270/321	95	293	7	3	24%	5%	62	-0.9	211/247/384	172	288	24	3	35%	4%	67	-0.3
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	38→46	41→60	45→50	45	191/254/284	93	244	9	12	26%	7%	46	-2.0	204/249/323	119	290	12	11	33%	5%	54	-1.4	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
●Trayce Thompson 2012 · A	21	35→45	49→65	45→50	36	186/242/333	147	272	16	6	37%	6%	55	-1.4	189/248/339	150	282	17	13	38%	6%	59	-1.1	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	43→50	52→55	37	212/244/323	111	275	11	11	28%	4%	51	-1.7	239/271/370	131	290	14	24	22%	4%	76	+0.0	235/266/368	133	286	15	29	23%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	45→60	49→50	43	209/267/335	126	281	12	13	29%	7%	65	-0.7	223/270/369	146	300	15	12	29%	6%	76	+0.0	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8