Albert Polanco — OGILVIE

Albert Polanco P FCL Marlins

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 174 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 22 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%23.2%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	0	23	94	31	6	0	0%	3.3	22.4%	8.0%	14.4%	0.0%	1.57	2.22	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	7	0	23	94	31	6	0	0%	3.3	33.0%	6.4%	26.6%	0.0%	1.57	1.19	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	6	36	154	36	14	2	50%	3.0	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	1.4%	5.30	3.97	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	12	6	36	154	36	14	2	50%	3.0	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	1.3%	5.30	2.99	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	10	40	176	45	29	1	91%	3.7	17.4%	20.6%	-3.2%	0.4%	2.68	4.48	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	10	40	176	45	29	1	91%	3.7	17.4%	20.6%	-3.2%	0.4%	2.68	4.48	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	10	40	176	45	29	1	91%	3.7	25.6%	16.5%	9.1%	0.6%	2.68	3.35	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	0	36	155	56	15	5	0%	3.0	24.6%	12.1%	12.5%	3.3%	4.54	4.35	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	12	0	36	155	56	15	5	0%	3.0	24.6%	12.1%	12.5%	3.3%	4.54	4.35	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	12	0	36	155	56	15	5	0%	3.0	36.1%	9.7%	26.5%	3.2%	4.54	3.04	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	2	0	0	8	0	4	1	0%	0.2	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	12.5%	108.00	16.29	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	2	0	0	8	0	4	1	0%	0.2	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	12.5%	108.00	16.29	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	2	0	0	8	0	4	1	0%	0.2	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	12.5%	108.00	78.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	21	0	22	93	22	12	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.79	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	32	0	33	141	34	16	4	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.52	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	15	0	16	68	16	8	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	17	8	2	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.14	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	98	24	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.61	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		44	16	135	587	114	84	9	36%	3.1	19.5%	14.3%	5.2%	1.5%	3.93	4.11	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	24	200	870	169	124	13	36%	3.1	19.5%	14.3%	5.2%	1.5%	3.93	4.11	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Albert Polanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	23.2%	12.8%	3.0%	—	4.52	23.9%	12.5%	33	-0.27	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	78
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	78
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	77
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	77
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	77
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	77
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	77
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	76
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	76
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	76
Austin Vernon R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	26.6%	14.9%	3.0%	.234	4.62	22.7%	7.9%	182	+0.24	3.37	261	76
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	76
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	76
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	76
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	76
Daniel Hudson R 2009 · 5.06 FIP	22	SW	5.06	17.1%	11.0%	3.7%	.232	3.42	19.4%	13.6%	363	-1.64	1.68	850	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	23.6%	12.0%	1.14	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99