Ricson Gonzalez

C ACL Royals

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKKC	93	.221/.341/.286	0	0	24	—	.160/.253/.210
2026	21	AKC	67	.298/.403/.351	0	1	78	—	.250/.328/.283
2026	21	ROKKC	119	.292/.438/.438	3	2	82	—	.232/.348/.347
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBKC	296	.216/.289/.305	3	4	70	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBKC	83	.217/.291/.313	1	1	74	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBKC	156	.220/.294/.322	2	3	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%98

Whiff%97

Z-Con%92

wOBA66

wRC+63

BB%61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsLuke Shliger (age 22) · Bryan Lavastida (age 22) · Carlos Narváez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .286 / .302

PA174

HR2

K%25

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	101	90	20	4	0	0	7	16	4	1	0	222	307	267	574	44	270	16	7	272	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	113	90	22	6	0	1	16	21	7	0	1	244	398	344	743	100	309	19	14	351	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	117	32	5	1	0	11	21	5	0	2	274	361	333	694	60	320	15	8	311	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	93	77	17	3	1	0	12	22	2	0	1	221	341	286	626	65	304	24	13	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	67	57	17	3	0	0	9	7	1	1	0	298	403	351	754	53	340	10	13	351	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	119	89	26	0	2	3	16	19	7	2	1	292	438	438	876	146	329	16	13	376	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	101	92	13	2	0	0	5	19	4	1	0	141	218	163	381	22	172	19	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	113	95	14	3	0	1	11	26	7	0	1	147	283	211	494	63	194	23	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	121	21	3	1	0	7	26	5	0	2	174	248	215	463	41	200	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	93	81	13	2	1	0	8	32	2	0	1	160	253	210	463	49	242	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	67	60	15	2	0	0	6	10	1	1	0	250	328	283	612	33	296	15	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	119	95	22	0	1	3	10	27	7	2	1	232	348	347	696	116	251	23	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	101	92	13	2	0	0	5	19	4	1	0	141	218	163	381	22	178	19	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Glass	—	101	90	20	4	0	0	7	16	4	1	0	222	307	267	574	44	270	16	7	272	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	113	95	14	3	0	1	11	26	7	0	1	147	283	211	494	63	191	23	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	113	90	22	6	0	1	16	21	7	0	1	244	398	344	743	100	309	19	14	351	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	121	21	3	1	0	7	26	5	0	2	174	248	215	463	41	212	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	117	32	5	1	0	11	21	5	0	2	274	361	333	694	60	320	15	8	311	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	93	81	13	2	1	0	8	32	2	0	1	160	253	210	463	49	260	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	93	77	17	3	1	0	12	22	2	0	1	221	341	286	626	65	304	24	13	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	155	36	2	1	3	16	37	8	3	1	232	335	316	651	84	280	20	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	186	146	43	3	2	3	25	26	8	3	1	295	425	404	829	110	333	14	13	367	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	101	91	13	2	0	0	5	19	4	1	0	143	218	165	383	22	172	19	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	113	94	14	3	0	1	11	26	7	0	1	149	283	213	496	64	194	23	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	125	21	3	1	0	7	26	5	0	2	168	248	208	456	40	200	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	93	83	13	2	1	0	8	32	2	0	1	157	253	205	458	48	242	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	160	36	2	1	3	16	37	8	3	1	225	335	306	641	81	267	20	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	138	125	21	3	1	0	7	26	5	0	2	168	248	208	456	40	200	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	93	83	13	2	1	0	8	32	2	0	1	157	253	205	458	48	242	34	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	160	36	2	1	3	16	37	8	3	1	225	335	306	641	81	267	20	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	0%	296	267	57	9	2	3	23	75	4	4	1	216	289	305	594	89	284	25	8	271	70	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	34%	242	217	48	8	2	3	19	61	4	4	1	219	292	317	610	98	285	25	8	277	74	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	46%	339	304	67	11	2	5	27	84	5	6	2	222	296	327	622	104	286	25	8	282	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	52%	395	355	80	13	3	7	31	98	6	7	2	224	297	333	631	109	287	25	8	286	79	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	54%	430	387	87	14	3	8	34	106	6	7	3	225	299	338	637	113	287	25	8	288	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	54%	446	401	90	15	3	8	36	110	6	8	3	225	299	339	638	114	287	25	8	288	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	54%	451	406	91	15	3	8	36	112	6	7	3	223	297	334	631	111	286	25	8	285	79	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	58%	448	403	90	15	3	8	36	112	6	6	3	221	294	328	621	107	284	25	8	282	77	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	60%	441	397	87	14	3	7	35	112	6	6	3	218	290	320	610	102	282	25	8	277	74	-14	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	KC	62%	416	376	80	13	2	6	32	107	5	4	4	213	285	310	595	96	279	26	8	271	69	-15	-1	-3	+7	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	34%	83	76	17	3	1	1	6	21	1	1	0	217	291	313	603	95	284	25	7	275	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	46%	156	141	30	5	1	2	12	39	2	3	1	220	294	322	615	101	285	25	8	279	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	52%	204	183	40	7	1	3	16	50	3	3	1	222	295	328	623	106	285	25	8	283	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	54%	233	209	47	8	2	4	19	57	3	4	1	223	296	332	628	109	285	24	8	285	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	54%	242	218	49	8	2	4	19	60	3	4	1	223	297	333	629	110	285	25	8	285	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	54%	245	220	49	8	2	4	20	61	3	4	1	221	294	328	622	107	284	25	8	282	79	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	58%	258	232	51	8	2	4	21	65	3	4	2	219	292	322	613	103	282	25	8	279	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	60%	264	238	51	8	2	4	21	67	3	3	2	216	288	314	602	99	280	25	8	274	74	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	KC	62%	256	231	49	8	1	4	20	66	3	3	3	211	283	305	588	93	277	26	8	268	69	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1941	1748	383	63	14	30	154	486	24	29	12	219	291	323	614	104	285	25	8	279	72	-53	+1	-4	+35	+42	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	21	5	10	52	163	8	10	4	219	291	323	615	104	284	25	8	279	72	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4413	3946	850	135	28	66	346	1086	79	61	30	215	292	314	606	99	278	25	8	274	72	-105	+1	-7	+68	+82	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	125	20	4	10	51	160	12	9	4	215	292	315	607	100	277	25	8	274	72	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,116	35	31	222	291	327	+38	+24	3.7	3.5
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+7.5	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricson Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	22	45→50	34→39	44→49	56	214/286/302	89	284	2	2	25%	8%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/290/302	81	298	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	224/291/339	115	293	11	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/278/307	115	300	13	5	37%	9%	68	-1.0	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	42→47	40→45	47→50	52	201/291/303	102	246	6	8	20%	9%	72	-0.7	201/282/330	129	264	13	9	28%	8%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Corey Toups 2015 · A	22	49→50	40→45	54→50	51	231/309/335	104	297	6	8	23%	9%	85	+0.2	226/287/340	114	308	8	16	28%	7%	78	-0.3	219/280/337	118	305	9	18	29%	6%	72	-0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47	40→45	44→45	52	223/301/324	101	288	7	7	24%	10%	79	-0.2	215/285/332	117	275	12	6	25%	9%	76	-0.4	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	45	40	48→45	47	216/287/311	94	272	7	6	22%	7%	72	-0.7	217/271/325	108	273	10	5	24%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/319	110	249	12	1	21%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Brennan Milone 2023 · A	22	50→46	39→45	50→45	46	239/301/325	86	316	7	7	25%	8%	79	-0.2	223/299/352	129	290	14	5	26%	9%	85	+0.2	210/290/338	127	271	14	5	27%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Gioskar Amaya 2015 · A	22	45→49	38→40	48→50	43	213/283/298	85	304	5	11	30%	7%	67	-1.1	202/265/281	79	280	6	10	28%	7%	56	-1.9	188/243/258	70	258	5	7	28%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Juan Fernandez 2021 · A	22	44→54	39→40	46→50	43	211/268/295	84	273	6	6	24%	6%	60	-1.6	234/293/327	93	296	9	9	23%	6%	77	-0.3	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Gunnar Troutwine 2019 · A	23	48	39→45	48→30	48	228/288/311	83	290	6	4	23%	8%	71	-0.8	204/270/290	86	334	6	4	37%	8%	59	-1.6	186/260/274	88	314	8	1	40%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2021 · A	22	47→53	42→45	47→55	45	227/280/331	104	284	9	10	23%	6%	73	-0.6	229/300/329	100	298	8	8	24%	8%	80	-0.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	41→51	40→45	48→45	47	198/282/296	98	266	7	7	27%	8%	67	-1.1	209/273/316	107	317	9	8	35%	6%	68	-1.0	207/270/313	107	315	7	4	34%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	47	40→50	47→40	49	225/304/316	92	279	7	7	21%	8%	79	-0.2	200/273/316	116	271	12	4	29%	7%	68	-1.0	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Luke Maile 2014 · A	23	49→50	39→40	50→40	46	233/281/327	94	283	6	8	20%	6%	72	-0.7	222/273/315	93	277	7	4	21%	6%	66	-1.1	227/310/346	119	311	10	4	28%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Franklin Torres 2019 · A	22	46→41	41→40	52→50	46	222/276/315	93	278	8	8	23%	7%	68	-1.0	208/271/291	83	305	6	5	31%	8%	60	-1.6	192/256/262	70	294	5	1	34%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Jose Cordova 2022 · A	22	48	37→40	52→50	41	224/281/299	74	304	3	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	209/261/278	69	306	3	8	31%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Ethan Murray 2022 · A	22	43→50	42→40	50	46	209/279/313	104	281	9	8	28%	8%	69	-0.9	198/268/292	94	290	7	12	31%	8%	60	-1.6	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0

Ricson Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps