Nu'u Contrades

SS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 23 R/R A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ASD	98	.250/.357/.429	3	7	69	—	.205/.286/.330
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSD	208	.217/.282/.344	5	5	76	0.1
2028PROJ22% MLB	24	MLBSD	40	.216/.281/.345	1	1	78	0.0
2029PROJ34% MLB	25	MLBSD	96	.218/.284/.349	2	2	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%75

ISO72

Chase%70

Speed61

BB%60

wOBA56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsKevin Smith (age 23) · Jeferson Morales (age 24) · Ryan Bliss (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 102 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .279 / .341

PA102

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	84	21	6	0	3	13	19	1	7	2	250	357	429	786	179	290	19	13	353	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	88	18	5	0	2	9	26	1	7	2	205	286	330	615	125	254	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	88	18	5	0	2	9	26	1	7	2	205	286	330	615	125	267	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	84	21	6	0	3	13	19	1	7	2	250	357	429	786	179	290	19	13	353	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	88	18	5	0	2	9	26	1	7	2	205	286	330	615	125	254	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	98	88	18	5	0	2	9	26	1	7	2	205	286	330	615	125	254	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	208	189	41	8	1	5	15	58	2	5	1	217	282	344	626	127	285	28	7	281	76	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	22%	185	167	36	7	1	4	14	51	2	4	1	219	285	350	634	130	287	28	8	284	78	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	34%	280	255	56	11	1	7	21	77	2	6	1	221	287	354	641	133	287	28	8	287	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	SD	42%	345	313	70	14	2	8	26	94	3	7	1	222	288	357	645	135	287	27	8	289	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	SD	45%	379	344	76	15	2	9	29	103	3	8	2	222	289	357	646	134	287	27	8	289	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	SD	46%	399	362	80	16	2	9	31	108	3	8	2	222	289	355	644	133	286	27	8	288	81	-9	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	SD	46%	404	367	80	16	2	9	31	111	3	8	2	220	286	349	635	130	285	27	8	285	79	-10	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	SD	46%	404	368	80	16	2	9	30	112	3	7	2	217	283	342	625	125	284	28	7	280	76	-12	+1	-4	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	22%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	216	281	345	626	129	281	28	8	281	78	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	34%	96	88	19	4	0	2	7	26	1	2	0	218	284	349	633	132	281	27	7	284	80	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SD	42%	144	131	29	5	1	4	11	39	1	3	1	219	285	352	637	133	281	27	8	285	82	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	SD	45%	169	153	33	6	1	4	13	46	1	4	1	219	286	352	638	133	281	27	8	286	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	SD	46%	185	167	36	7	1	4	14	50	2	4	1	219	286	351	636	132	281	27	8	285	81	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	SD	46%	187	169	37	7	1	4	14	51	2	3	1	216	283	345	628	128	279	27	7	282	79	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	SD	46%	187	170	36	7	1	4	14	52	1	3	1	214	279	337	617	124	278	28	7	277	76	-5	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1008	915	197	37	5	23	76	275	8	20	5	215	281	342	623	127	280	27	8	283	79	-24	+2	-5	+11	+22	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	127	24	3	15	49	177	5	13	3	215	281	342	623	127	279	27	8	283	79	-16	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2596	2357	516	104	13	59	198	711	21	57	13	219	285	349	634	130	286	27	8	285	79	-61	+6	-13	+27	+54	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	129	26	3	15	50	178	5	14	3	219	285	349	634	131	285	27	8	285	79	-16	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,111	26	23	221	284	353	+12	-7	1.8	1.7
/162	664	15	13	+7.1	-3.9	1.1	pk7: 2
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Gordon Slade'30-'35 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,504 PA	2.3	1,504	8	12	233*	295*	345*	+13	-18	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	4	5	+5.8	-7.9	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nu'u Contrades (OGILVIE)	23	30→45	45→49	55	30	215/279/341	126	285	2	2	28%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	43→45	48→55	53→50	36	219/261/365	146	296	16	15	31%	4%	74	-0.5	205/255/362	157	286	18	14	34%	6%	72	-0.7	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	42→47	47→45	50	39	217/262/353	136	281	15	9	29%	5%	72	-0.7	224/268/346	122	299	12	14	28%	4%	72	-0.7	246/294/365	119	307	12	15	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Sam Mende 2013 · A	23	43→45	47→45	50	36	218/262/356	138	291	13	14	30%	4%	72	-0.7	200/252/296	96	289	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	143/202/193	50	217	0	7	32%	4%	9	-1.4
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→44	45→50	49→40	44	228/280/350	122	288	12	8	25%	6%	77	-0.3	216/283/360	144	273	19	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	212/283/353	141	263	19	2	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	198/274/328	130	264	11	12	28%	8%	71	-0.8	221/290/331	110	310	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	227/301/333	106	317	7	7	28%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Hunter Jones 2015 · A	23	42→52	45→40	55	40	211/270/335	124	290	13	16	31%	6%	70	-0.8	205/262/291	86	278	7	19	27%	6%	57	-1.8	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	44	46→45	48→50	42	221/284/348	127	282	13	11	26%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/327	117	265	13	7	25%	5%	67	-1.1	194/247/303	110	239	13	5	25%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	47→50	49→40	38	203/273/342	139	299	15	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	208/263/337	129	300	13	4	33%	5%	68	-1.0	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jiandido Tromp 2017 · A	23	39→48	49→50	50→45	37	203/245/354	151	266	16	9	30%	5%	65	-1.2	219/264/343	124	295	12	8	29%	5%	70	-0.9	220/265/331	111	298	10	8	29%	5%	64	-0.9

Nu'u Contrades

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps