Yoan Valdez — OGILVIE

Yoan Valdez P FCL Tigers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 187 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%21.4%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	9	38	158	23	10	3	75%	3.2	9.9%	7.9%	2.0%	2.2%	3.79	4.45	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	9	38	158	23	10	3	75%	3.2	14.6%	6.3%	8.2%	1.9%	3.79	3.71	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	0	16	83	24	9	2	0%	1.3	19.7%	13.6%	6.1%	2.9%	6.06	4.77	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	0	16	83	24	9	2	0%	1.3	28.9%	10.8%	18.1%	2.4%	6.06	3.41	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	9	0	16	72	14	8	0	0%	1.8	13.2%	13.9%	-0.7%	0.0%	6.75	3.74	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	9	0	16	72	14	8	0	0%	1.8	13.2%	13.9%	-0.7%	0.0%	6.75	3.74	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	9	0	16	72	14	8	0	0%	1.8	19.4%	11.1%	8.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.85	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	13	0	19	72	14	4	1	0%	1.5	13.2%	6.9%	6.3%	1.9%	2.37	3.88	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	13	0	19	72	14	4	1	0%	1.5	13.2%	6.9%	6.3%	1.9%	2.37	3.88	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	13	0	19	72	14	4	1	0%	1.5	19.4%	5.6%	13.9%	1.4%	2.37	2.94	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	21	109	28	18	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	19.2%	0.9%	10.8%	8.14	9.74	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	21	109	28	18	8	0%	1.1	20.2%	19.2%	0.9%	10.8%	8.14	9.74	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	21	109	28	18	8	0%	1.1	25.7%	16.5%	9.2%	7.3%	8.14	7.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	DET	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	3.2%	5.18	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.82	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	102	20	0%	1.1	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	3.1%	4.93	4.44	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		66	9	110	494	73	60	19	14%	1.7	14.8%	12.1%	2.7%	3.8%	5.14	5.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	16	200	895	132	108	34	14%	1.7	14.8%	12.1%	2.7%	3.8%	5.14	5.49	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yoan Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	21.4%	14.0%	3.2%	—	4.82	22.5%	10.3%	20	-0.36	—	—	—
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	87
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	87
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	86
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	86
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	85
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	85
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	85
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	85
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	85
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	85
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	85
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	84
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	84
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	84