Shai RobinsonSS
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 22
R/R
6'1" / 195 lbs
A
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.2 · 2031
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .267 / .315
PA51
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.9M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $7M | $33M | +$26M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .071 | .235 | .071 | .307 | .000 | .200 | 53 | 18 | .152 | -25 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | MIN | 51 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .255 | .312 | .567 | .104 | .291 | 31 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | MIN | 150 | 137 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .212 | .275 | .328 | .604 | .117 | .292 | 30 | 7 | .280 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | MIN | 269 | 243 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .292 | .362 | .654 | .140 | .293 | 29 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | MIN | 345 | 312 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .221 | .289 | .359 | .648 | .138 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | MIN | 394 | 355 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 112 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .228 | .299 | .377 | .677 | .149 | .295 | 28 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | MIN | 419 | 377 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 120 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .228 | .300 | .379 | .680 | .151 | .295 | 29 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | MIN | 431 | 388 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 124 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .227 | .299 | .374 | .673 | .147 | .295 | 29 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | MIN | 431 | 388 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 125 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .297 | .371 | .668 | .147 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 427 | 384 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 125 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .219 | .292 | .357 | .649 | .138 | .293 | 29 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 417 | 375 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .221 | .295 | .363 | .657 | .141 | .291 | 30 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 401 | 360 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 121 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .289 | .344 | .633 | .131 | .290 | 30 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 373 | 336 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 116 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .284 | .339 | .623 | .128 | .288 | 31 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 329 | 296 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .279 | .324 | .603 | .118 | .286 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4454 | 4013 | 881 | 150 | 29 | 115 | 367 | 1319 | 41 | 51 | 7 | .220 | .292 | .357 | .649 | .138 | .295 | 30 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -99 | +7 | -20 | +48 | +126 | 6.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 586 | 129 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 54 | 192 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .220 | .293 | .358 | .651 | .138 | .295 | 30 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 17 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .077 | .294 | .077 | .371 | .000 | .143 | 35 | 24 | .217 | 25 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Shai Robinson (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .206/.267/.315 | .109 | .291 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 61 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Alonzo Harris 2011 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 42→55 | 51→60 | 36 | .196/.232/.300 | .103 | .263 | 10 | 13 | 30% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .219/.261/.311 | .092 | .282 | 7 | 18 | 24% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .240/.296/.401 | .161 | .286 | 19 | 35 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 39→55 | 52→50 | 33 | .186/.233/.270 | .084 | .294 | 7 | 8 | 38% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .226/.276/.390 | .164 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .235/.283/.404 | .168 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 30% | 5% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 50 | 43 | .189/.254/.283 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.272/.298 | .087 | .290 | 7 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.305/.377 | .151 | .297 | 15 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A |
22 | 38→43 | 42→55 | 52→50 | 34 | .194/.230/.300 | .106 | .280 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .207/.256/.324 | .117 | .303 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .199/.278/.357 | .158 | .302 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 43→50 | 46→45 | 35 | .188/.235/.293 | .105 | .267 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .221/.258/.346 | .125 | .263 | 15 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A |
22 | 41→38 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .205/.252/.313 | .108 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .220/.270/.333 | .113 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.275/.335 | .112 | .290 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Zach Green 2016 · A |
22 | 42→43 | 41→60 | 49→40 | 39 | .207/.246/.303 | .096 | .275 | 8 | 7 | 28% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .203/.257/.334 | .131 | .315 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .196/.262/.382 | .186 | .299 | 23 | 1 | 41% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Michael A. Taylor 2013 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 41→55 | 48→60 | 36 | .188/.234/.290 | .102 | .278 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .212/.267/.337 | .125 | .319 | 12 | 25 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .236/.294/.379 | .143 | .303 | 19 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A |
22 | 35→45 | 43→50 | 49→45 | 33 | .180/.219/.289 | .109 | .264 | 10 | 8 | 36% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .210/.250/.354 | .144 | .278 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.258/.358 | .144 | .280 | 15 | 8 | 29% | 5% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 41→55 | 44→55 | 41 | .185/.244/.280 | .095 | .257 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .218/.280/.374 | .156 | .279 | 17 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2019 · A |
23 | 38→44 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 37 | .196/.244/.314 | .117 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |
|
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A |
21 | 36→46 | 45→60 | 46→45 | 34 | .189/.233/.308 | .119 | .271 | 13 | 6 | 35% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .224/.274/.401 | .177 | .296 | 23 | 4 | 32% | 5% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.292/.438 | .203 | .304 | 29 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 100 | +1.1 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→50 | 37 | .204/.244/.308 | .104 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 48 | -1.9 | .223/.274/.359 | .136 | .280 | 13 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .257/.301/.387 | .130 | .311 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A |
22 | 40→43 | 45→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .201/.261/.328 | .127 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.262/.357 | .142 | .295 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Keon Broxton 2011 · A |
21 | 38→48 | 41→55 | 53→60 | 36 | .184/.238/.293 | .109 | .299 | 7 | 10 | 39% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .196/.253/.296 | .100 | .314 | 9 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .225/.301/.390 | .165 | .341 | 17 | 38 | 36% | 9% | 92 | +1.0 |
|
✕Bubba Starling 2015 · A |
22 | 39→46 | 43→45 | 54→50 | 37 | .193/.251/.299 | .106 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .192/.240/.305 | .113 | .286 | 11 | 10 | 35% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .216/.256/.333 | .117 | .281 | 14 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A |
22 | 40→45 | 41→55 | 52→50 | 37 | .196/.247/.291 | .094 | .295 | 8 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.250/.306 | .106 | .278 | 11 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .216/.275/.377 | .161 | .291 | 21 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Brandon Barnes 2008 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 38→55 | 46→50 | 37 | .181/.232/.260 | .079 | .269 | 5 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .197/.236/.309 | .112 | .291 | 11 | 6 | 35% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .244/.289/.369 | .125 | .331 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .194/.258/.283 | .089 | .288 | 5 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .206/.290/.322 | .116 | .364 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.284/.307 | .117 | .346 | 12 | 2 | 44% | 11% | 63 | -0.4 |