Wilmy Sanchez

P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 23 RHP 5'9" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	32	54	3.50	2.19	33.9%	14.0%	—	K 25.4% · BB 16.5% · FIP 3.31
2025	21	AAHOU	46	61	6.05	4.38	25.8%	17.2%	—	K 20.9% · BB 18.9% · FIP 5.02
2026	22	MIX2 levels	41	46	3.74	2.40	34.7%	13.3%	—	K 28.6% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.52
2027PROJ	23	MLBNYY	50	52	5.35	5.35	24.1%	19.1%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBNYY	23	24	5.09	4.99	24.6%	16.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBNYY	36	38	4.87	4.76	24.9%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control20Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJames Acuna (age 23) · Will Varmette (age 21) · CJ Weins (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%24.1%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	12	4	34	145	49	15	2	33%	2.8	23.0%	12.9%	10.0%	2.0%	2.12	3.87	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	12	4	34	145	49	15	2	33%	2.8	33.8%	10.3%	23.4%	1.4%	2.12	2.31	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	2	33	143	34	20	1	20%	3.3	16.2%	17.5%	-1.3%	0.7%	2.43	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	2	33	143	34	20	1	20%	3.3	23.8%	14.0%	9.8%	0.7%	2.43	3.25	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	25.4%	16.5%	8.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.31	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	25.4%	16.5%	8.9%	0.5%	3.50	3.31	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	54	242	82	34	1	0%	1.7	33.9%	14.0%	19.8%	0.4%	3.50	2.19	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	20.9%	18.9%	2.0%	2.3%	6.05	5.02	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	20.9%	18.9%	2.0%	2.3%	6.05	5.02	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	46	0	61	291	75	50	6	0%	1.3	25.8%	17.2%	8.6%	2.1%	6.05	4.38	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	46	196	68	26	2	0%	1.1	28.6%	15.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.74	3.52	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	46	196	68	26	2	0%	1.1	28.6%	15.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.74	3.52	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	46	196	68	26	2	0%	1.1	34.7%	13.3%	21.4%	1.0%	3.74	2.40	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	NYY	50	0	52	220	53	42	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	19.1%	5.1%	2.7%	5.35	5.35	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	54	0	56	238	59	39	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	2.7%	5.09	4.99	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	54	0	57	241	60	36	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.9%	10.0%	2.7%	4.87	4.76	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	23	0	24	101	25	17	3	0%	1.0	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	2.7%	5.09	4.99	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	36	0	38	160	40	24	4	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.9%	10.0%	2.7%	4.87	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	262	65	41	7	0%	1.1	24.8%	15.5%	9.2%	2.7%	4.96	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	132	23	0%	1.1	24.8%	15.5%	9.2%	2.7%	4.96	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		141	6	228	1017	235	169	15	4%	1.6	23.1%	16.6%	6.5%	1.5%	3.87	4.06	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	5	200	892	206	148	13	4%	1.6	23.1%	16.6%	6.5%	1.5%	3.87	4.06	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmy Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	24.1%	19.1%	2.7%	—	4.87	24.8%	9.0%	113	-0.48	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	92
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	90
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	89
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	89
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	88
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	88
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	87
Jacob Wallace R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	24.6%	21.6%	3.4%	.237	4.25	23.1%	10.4%	153	-1.34	3.50	279	87
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	86
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	85
Vin Timpanelli R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	27.4%	19.9%	3.7%	.350	4.72	17.9%	4.0%	69	-0.63	4.01	162	85
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.70	25.5%	12.3%	164	-2.29	3.44	259	85
Michael Cederoth R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	21.6%	18.6%	1.5%	.286	5.60	21.6%	1.7%	35	+1.13	4.10	118	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	85
Eduardo Herrera R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.9%	16.8%	2.5%	.397	4.26	21.8%	3.6%	75	-0.40	4.13	127	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	24.6%	16.8%	1.05	5.10
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*