Bradley Frye — OGILVIE

Bradley FryeSS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION420 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP301

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	44	7	1	0	0	3	15	2	3	0	159	245	182	427	23	241	30	6	206	25	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	45	6	1	0	0	2	21	2	3	0	133	204	156	360	22	217	42	4	155	-9	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	45	6	1	0	0	2	21	2	3	0	133	204	156	360	22	250	42	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	44	7	1	0	0	3	15	2	3	0	159	245	182	427	23	241	30	6	206	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	46	6	1	0	0	2	21	2	3	0	130	204	152	356	22	217	42	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	46	6	1	0	0	2	21	2	3	0	130	204	152	356	22	217	42	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A MLE	SD	—	420	368	87	12	3	4	35	127	8	30	7	236	316	318	634	82	343	30	8	282	77	-12	+3	+0	+4	+9	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A RAW	SD	—	350	292	80	12	3	3	41	75	8	25	7	274	377	366	744	92	352	21	12	335	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ RAW	SD	—	70	61	17	3	1	2	8	20	0	5	0	279	362	459	821	180	385	29	11	359	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A MLE	SD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		304	30	10	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A MLE	SD	—	430	377	88	12	3	4	36	130	8	30	7	233	314	313	627	80	339	30	8	282	77	-12	+3	+0	+5	+9	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	30%	303	272	61	10	2	4	24	84	4	9	2	224	297	320	617	96	303	28	8	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	44%	363	326	73	12	2	6	29	99	5	10	2	224	297	328	625	104	302	27	8	286	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	384	344	77	13	2	6	32	104	5	10	2	224	299	326	625	102	302	27	8	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	51%	396	355	80	14	2	7	33	107	5	9	2	225	300	335	635	110	301	27	8	288	81	-9	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	51%	395	354	79	14	2	6	33	108	5	9	2	223	298	325	623	102	301	27	8	287	80	-9	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	56%	393	352	78	13	2	6	33	108	5	9	2	222	297	321	618	99	300	27	8	284	78	-10	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	SD	59%	381	341	75	13	2	6	32	106	5	8	2	220	296	323	619	103	298	28	8	280	76	-11	+1	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	30%	91	83	18	3	1	1	7	25	1	3	1	217	286	313	599	96	300	27	8	269	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	44%	160	144	32	5	1	3	13	43	2	4	1	222	296	333	629	111	299	27	8	274	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	188	167	37	6	1	3	16	51	3	5	1	222	301	323	624	102	299	27	9	277	81	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	51%	204	182	40	7	1	3	17	55	3	5	1	220	297	319	616	99	298	27	8	277	81	-5	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	51%	203	181	40	7	1	3	17	55	3	5	1	221	299	320	619	99	298	27	8	275	80	-5	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	56%	219	196	43	7	1	4	18	60	3	5	1	219	295	327	621	107	297	27	8	273	78	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	SD	59%	223	199	43	7	1	3	19	62	3	5	1	216	294	307	601	90	295	28	9	269	76	-6	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1288	1152	253	42	7	20	107	351	18	32	7	220	296	320	616	101	296	27	8	274	77	-32	+4	-4	+14	+28	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	128	21	4	10	54	177	9	16	4	220	297	322	618	102	297	27	8	274	77	-16	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2675	2398	530	90	14	41	219	740	36	67	14	221	296	322	617	101	300	28	8	283	77	-65	+7	-7	+28	+57	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	129	22	3	10	53	180	9	16	3	221	296	321	617	99	301	28	8	283	77	-16	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,465	22	35	223	295	324	+16	+12	1.8	1.9
/162	664	10	16	+7.1	+5.4	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bradley Frye (OGILVIE)	24	31	34	58	49	217/292/298	81	304	2	8	28%	8%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→45	43→45	53→50	48	203/279/317	114	256	10	15	24%	8%	70	-0.8	227/288/340	113	300	9	10	26%	6%	78	-0.3	236/295/344	109	315	9	9	26%	6%	78	-0.2
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Erlin Cerda 2018 · A	24	42	37→40	50→55	35	200/248/281	81	298	4	9	33%	4%	49	-2.4	199/243/275	76	307	4	9	34%	5%	45	-2.7	164/198/208	44	258	0	8	35%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Mark Thompson 2009 · A	24	43	39→45	52→50	43	207/266/292	85	258	6	12	22%	5%	59	-1.7	218/282/329	111	282	11	11	25%	6%	74	-0.6	215/285/332	117	276	14	11	26%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	46	39→40	56→50	43	221/277/308	87	280	6	12	23%	6%	66	-1.1	219/281/297	78	280	5	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	216/281/280	65	275	3	8	21%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Wynston Sawyer 2016 · A	24	44	39→45	52→45	45	210/266/298	88	268	6	7	24%	6%	60	-1.6	226/301/334	108	290	9	6	24%	8%	82	+0.0	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→37	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/281/360	149	299	17	9	34%	7%	81	-0.1	199/275/365	165	277	21	7	34%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→40	42→45	51→50	47	212/287/316	104	274	9	17	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/267/342	135	274	15	11	29%	6%	72	-0.7	196/253/347	151	253	19	7	30%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Cam Devanney 2021 · A	24	48→41	40→50	52→45	48	227/293/323	95	270	7	15	18%	7%	76	-0.4	197/262/316	119	265	12	5	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→42	39→45	56→50	49	217/284/308	92	271	6	11	22%	8%	69	-0.9	210/297/315	105	263	8	14	22%	9%	76	-0.4	205/296/315	110	257	9	15	22%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→44	42→45	52→65	43	204/264/309	106	268	9	20	27%	6%	62	-1.4	227/285/320	93	311	7	28	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	210/290/289	79	270	5	9	23%	9%	68	-1.0	210/277/303	93	289	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	184/246/269	85	256	9	5	30%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	211/278/271	60	288	4	14	27%	7%	59	-1.7	230/280/302	72	291	4	18	21%	6%	65	-1.2	243/288/302	60	299	2	27	18%	5%	66	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps