Bradley Frye — OGILVIE

Bradley FryeSS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION289 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .283 / .294

PA192

HR2

SB8

K%29

BB%7

BABIP300

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	45	6	1	0	0	2	22	2	3	0	133	204	156	360	22	261	44	4	152	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	44	7	1	0	0	3	15	2	3	0	159	245	182	427	23	241	30	6	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	SD	—	289	252	61	9	2	2	23	88	7	21	6	242	323	317	640	75	355	30	8	278	71	-9	+2	+0	+3	+8	0.4
YTD	24	A	SD	—	289	242	66	11	2	2	32	66	7	21	6	273	372	360	732	87	360	23	11	329	110	+3	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.7
ROS	24	A	SD	0%	192	173	37	6	1	2	14	56	3	8	2	213	283	294	577	81	302	29	7	267	63	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	SD	—	289	253	61	9	2	2	23	88	7	21	6	241	323	316	639	75	353	30	8	278	71	-9	+2	+0	+3	+8	0.4
TOT	24	A	SD	—	481	425	98	15	3	4	37	144	10	29	8	230	307	308	615	78	333	30	8	274	68	-18	+3	+0	+5	+14	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	30%	532	479	105	18	3	7	40	150	8	14	4	219	290	313	603	94	300	28	8	273	67	-20	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	44%	546	491	109	19	3	8	42	152	8	14	4	222	294	322	616	100	299	28	8	278	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	551	495	109	19	3	8	43	152	8	14	4	220	293	319	612	99	299	28	8	281	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.6
2030	28	MLB	SD	51%	550	493	109	19	3	8	44	152	8	13	3	221	295	320	616	99	298	28	8	281	73	-17	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2031	29	MLB	SD	51%	545	488	108	19	3	8	44	152	8	12	3	221	296	322	618	100	298	28	8	279	72	-17	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.4
2032	30	MLB	SD	51%	539	483	106	18	3	8	43	151	8	12	3	219	294	319	613	99	297	28	8	277	70	-18	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.2
2027	25	MLB	SD	30%	160	145	31	5	1	2	12	45	2	4	1	214	283	303	586	90	296	28	8	259	56	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	44%	241	216	46	8	1	3	19	67	4	6	2	213	289	301	590	88	296	28	8	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	270	243	53	9	1	4	21	75	4	7	2	218	291	313	604	95	295	28	8	267	62	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	SD	51%	283	254	55	10	1	4	23	78	4	7	2	217	292	311	603	94	295	28	8	267	63	-12	+1	-0	+3	+8	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	SD	51%	281	252	54	9	1	4	23	78	4	6	2	214	290	306	596	91	294	28	8	265	61	-12	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.2
2032	30	MLB	SD	51%	277	249	53	9	1	4	22	78	4	6	2	213	287	305	592	92	293	28	8	263	60	-13	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1512	1360	292	50	6	21	120	421	22	36	11	215	289	307	596	92	293	28	8	265	61	-67	+3	-2	+16	+43	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	125	21	3	9	52	181	9	15	5	214	288	306	594	92	291	28	8	265	61	-29	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3505	3147	689	119	19	49	272	987	53	90	23	219	292	315	607	97	300	28	8	276	69	-122	+9	-4	+38	+99	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	128	22	4	9	50	183	10	17	4	219	292	317	609	98	301	28	8	276	69	-23	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	50	44	7	1	0	0	3	15	2	3	0	159	245	182	427	23	241	30	6	206	16	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,688	24	40	219	288	316	+18	+12	0.9	1.0
	/162	664	9	16	219	288	316	+7.1	+4.7	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bradley Frye (OGILVIE)	24	29	32	58	47	230/307/308	78	333	4	29	30%	8%	68	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Mark Thompson 2009 · A	24	43	39→45	52→50	43	207/266/292	85	258	6	12	22%	5%	53	-1.5	218/282/329	111	282	11	11	25%	6%	70	-0.3	215/285/332	117	276	14	11	26%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	36→30	53→50	46	195/260/260	66	263	4	15	26%	8%	43	-2.2	207/272/280	73	299	5	10	30%	8%	53	-1.5	186/262/225	39	288	1	4	32%	9%	32	-1.1
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	41	37→30	54→55	49	193/289/269	76	284	4	18	30%	10%	59	-1.1	181/267/257	76	330	6	12	43%	9%	46	-2.0	143/238/200	56	291	6	12	48%	8%	17	-2.6
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	43	36→30	51→55	46	204/264/272	68	264	3	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	214/293/289	75	298	5	18	27%	8%	65	-0.7	202/296/247	46	288	2	28	27%	8%	54	-0.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Erlin Cerda 2018 · A	24	43	37→40	50→55	36	201/249/283	81	300	4	9	33%	4%	43	-2.2	199/243/274	75	304	4	9	34%	5%	38	-2.6	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Wynston Sawyer 2016 · A	24	43	39→45	53→45	44	209/265/298	89	267	6	7	24%	6%	54	-1.4	221/297/324	103	288	8	6	24%	8%	76	+0.0	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	45	212/266/293	81	256	6	17	20%	6%	53	-1.5	211/270/285	74	267	5	14	22%	6%	53	-1.5	206/268/255	49	259	3	15	20%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	43	38→40	50	50	205/285/287	82	263	6	9	23%	9%	61	-1.0	207/276/302	95	284	8	8	28%	8%	60	-1.0	181/247/265	84	252	9	5	30%	7%	39	-0.9
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→38	38→40	49→50	37	196/245/270	75	262	6	12	27%	4%	39	-2.5	211/265/302	91	297	8	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	210/270/301	91	300	10	8	32%	6%	55	-0.5