Aiva Arquette

SS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 220 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #51MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP52ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+MIA	117	.242/.353/.323	1	7	54	—	.194/.284/.262
2026	22	AAMIA	228	.271/.326/.443	10	16	79	—	.241/.278/.380
2026	22	A+MIA	63	.276/.333/.517	2	5	75	—	.220/.270/.390
2027PROJ6% MLB	23	MLBMIA	19	.230/.279/.371	1	1	88	0.1
2028PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBMIA	166	.233/.284/.381	5	4	92	0.5
2029PROJ63% MLB	25	MLBMIA	262	.234/.287/.387	9	6	95	0.8

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$6M2033Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Whiff%79

K%76

Speed72

Z-Con%70

ISO64

wRC+53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 85%

CompsHenry Davis (age 23) · Lewis Brinson (age 23) · Connor Norby (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .279 / .371

PA19

HR1

K%26

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO222

MLB%6%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$12M		$26M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	228	210	57	6	0	10	14	45	3	16	1	271	326	443	769	171	301	20	6	340	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	63	58	16	4	2	2	4	17	1	5	1	276	333	517	851	241	359	27	6	370	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	103	20	4	0	1	13	35	0	7	2	194	284	262	547	68	281	30	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	228	216	52	6	0	8	8	55	3	16	1	241	278	380	657	139	281	24	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	63	59	13	3	2	1	3	22	1	5	1	220	270	390	660	169	312	35	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	103	20	4	0	1	13	35	0	7	2	194	284	262	547	68	279	30	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	99	24	5	0	1	17	27	0	7	2	242	353	323	677	81	319	23	15	313	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	275	65	8	2	10	11	77	4	21	2	236	276	389	665	153	291	26	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	291	268	73	10	2	12	18	62	4	21	2	272	328	459	787	187	313	21	6	347	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	103	20	4	0	1	13	35	0	7	2	194	284	262	547	68	281	30	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	274	65	8	2	10	11	77	4	21	2	237	276	391	666	153	288	26	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	117	103	20	4	0	1	13	35	0	7	2	194	284	262	547	68	281	30	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	274	65	8	2	10	11	77	4	21	2	237	276	391	666	153	288	26	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	6%	401	372	88	15	2	12	22	98	4	11	2	237	286	388	674	150	287	24	5	298	88	-6	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	6%	19	18	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	1	0	230	279	371	650	141	278	26	5	288	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	369	341	82	14	2	12	21	89	4	9	1	241	291	398	689	158	288	24	6	304	92	-3	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	414	383	93	16	2	14	24	99	4	9	2	242	294	405	699	163	289	24	6	309	95	-2	+1	+1	+4	+9	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	442	409	99	17	2	15	26	106	4	9	2	243	296	409	705	166	289	24	6	311	97	-2	+1	+1	+5	+10	1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	74%	452	417	101	17	2	16	28	108	4	9	2	243	297	407	703	164	288	24	6	310	96	-2	+1	+1	+5	+10	1.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	75%	454	419	100	17	2	15	28	109	4	8	1	241	296	402	698	161	288	24	6	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	74%	448	413	99	17	2	15	28	109	4	8	1	239	293	396	690	158	287	24	6	305	93	-4	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	73%	441	407	96	16	2	14	27	109	4	7	1	236	290	389	679	153	285	25	6	301	90	-5	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.9
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	428	395	92	16	2	13	26	107	4	6	2	232	285	380	665	148	283	25	6	295	86	-7	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIA	79%	410	380	86	14	2	12	24	105	3	5	2	227	279	368	647	141	279	26	6	287	81	-9	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIA	83%	381	353	78	13	1	10	22	100	3	4	5	221	272	353	625	132	275	26	6	278	74	-12	-1	-3	+4	+8	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	166	154	36	6	1	5	9	40	2	4	1	233	284	381	665	148	279	24	5	294	92	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	262	242	57	9	1	9	15	63	3	6	1	234	287	387	674	153	279	24	6	298	95	-2	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	317	292	69	11	1	11	19	76	3	7	1	235	289	391	680	156	279	24	6	301	97	-1	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	74%	334	308	72	12	1	11	20	80	3	7	1	234	289	389	678	154	279	24	6	300	96	-2	+1	+1	+4	+7	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	75%	340	313	73	12	1	11	21	82	3	6	1	233	288	385	673	152	278	24	6	298	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	74%	330	304	69	11	1	10	20	81	3	6	1	231	286	379	665	148	277	25	6	295	93	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	73%	321	295	68	11	1	10	20	79	3	5	1	228	283	372	655	144	276	25	6	291	90	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	310	285	64	10	1	9	19	78	3	4	1	225	278	363	642	139	274	25	6	285	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIA	79%	322	297	65	10	1	9	19	82	3	4	2	220	272	352	624	132	270	25	6	278	81	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIA	83%	316	293	63	10	1	8	18	83	2	3	4	214	265	338	604	124	266	26	6	270	74	-10	-1	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3018	2783	636	102	10	93	180	744	28	52	14	229	282	373	655	144	276	25	6	291	88	-37	+5	-6	+32	+65	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	137	22	2	20	39	160	6	11	3	229	283	372	655	144	277	25	6	291	88	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4967	4592	1082	181	23	157	295	1231	45	111	24	236	288	388	676	152	287	25	6	299	88	-55	+9	-6	+49	+99	9.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	142	24	3	21	39	161	6	15	3	236	289	391	680	155	287	25	6	299	88	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#3Kevin Elster'86-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,225 PA	4.9	3,225	88	14	223*	294*	388*	+34	+9	7.9	8.1
/162	664	18	3	+7.0	+1.9	1.6	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,037	98	52	237	287	392	+33	+2	8.0	7.5
/162	664	21	11	+7.1	+0.4	1.8	pk7: 7
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Ernie Johnson'12-'25 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,915 PA	4.4	2,915	19	114	245*	298*	380*	+28	-5	5.1	6.5
/162	664	4	26	+6.4	-1.1	1.2	pk7: 8
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aiva Arquette (OGILVIE)	23	43→49	53→59	53→52	50	235/284/384	149	287	10	9	24%	5%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	48→55	51→55	52→50	40	243/287/408	165	311	18	15	28%	5%	94	+0.9	221/272/370	149	289	16	12	28%	5%	79	-0.2	235/276/408	173	305	22	8	30%	5%	88	+0.2
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	46→51	52→55	49→50	45	236/302/402	166	297	20	12	27%	7%	98	+1.2	247/306/406	159	329	18	11	29%	7%	100	+1.3	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	48→54	48→55	52→55	45	238/301/386	148	304	14	21	26%	7%	94	+0.9	222/284/374	152	291	16	17	28%	7%	85	+0.2	202/265/351	149	268	17	17	30%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	47→55	50→55	58→55	37	238/275/402	164	298	17	19	26%	4%	88	+0.4	245/282/399	154	307	17	23	25%	4%	90	+0.6	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	46→53	52→55	52→55	44	230/294/392	162	319	20	13	33%	8%	93	+0.8	234/299/408	174	324	21	23	32%	8%	99	+1.2	228/297/401	173	313	21	27	33%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	49→50	51→60	55→50	46	248/306/409	161	285	19	19	20%	6%	101	+1.4	236/301/422	186	274	22	15	22%	8%	102	+1.5	227/293/421	194	258	25	15	23%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Craig Stansberry 2006 · AA	24	44→47	51→50	57→50	43	227/284/400	173	287	17	15	27%	6%	91	+0.6	221/292/360	139	275	13	13	23%	8%	84	+0.2	215/294/343	127	265	12	11	22%	9%	79	-0.2
✕German Duran 2008 · AA	23	49→51	50	49→45	43	248/289/407	159	286	17	10	20%	5%	94	+0.9	222/266/336	114	263	11	7	20%	5%	69	-0.9	206/249/284	78	245	7	3	19%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Matt Shaw 2024 · AA	22	52→48	49→55	59→55	41	261/297/413	152	307	16	22	21%	4%	98	+1.2	244/315/408	164	287	19	23	21%	8%	104	+1.6	237/316/404	167	275	19	23	21%	9%	102	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2023 · MLB	24	45→55	51→55	49→50	39	231/277/399	167	302	19	15	30%	5%	88	+0.4	250/293/392	142	322	15	14	26%	5%	92	+0.7	249/300/379	130	313	12	16	24%	6%	91	+0.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	46→51	50→60	47→50	44	231/303/389	157	299	17	12	28%	7%	96	+1.0	241/313/435	194	302	23	11	27%	7%	110	+2.1	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Thomas Saggese 2024 · AAA	22	50→56	50→55	53→50	40	248/301/409	161	329	17	10	29%	6%	99	+1.3	236/290/366	130	316	14	10	28%	6%	85	+0.2	229/286/346	117	307	13	11	28%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A	23	43→53	49→50	52→50	47	223/283/376	152	269	17	14	24%	8%	84	+0.2	234/299/349	115	304	9	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/309/353	112	313	8	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1

Aiva Arquette

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps