Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
—
AMLE
SEA
—
114
98
24
4
1
6
11
35
3
1
1
245
339
490
829
245
305
31
10
351
124
+3
-0
+0
-2
+2
0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD
—
ARAW
SEA
—
114
94
28
5
1
7
15
26
3
1
1
298
411
596
1.006
298
333
23
13
428
124
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
—
AMLE
SEA
0%
15
14
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
0
0
286
333
571
905
286
293
27
7
310
96
-0
+0
+0
-0
+0
-0.0
TOT
—
AMLE
SEA
—
129
112
28
5
1
7
12
39
3
1
1
250
339
500
839
250
309
30
9
346
120
+3
-0
+0
-2
+3
0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
295
265
60
10
2
10
24
84
4
5
2
226
300
392
693
166
291
28
8
311
96
-1
+0
+0
-5
+6
0.0
2028
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
395
354
81
14
3
13
32
111
6
7
3
229
304
395
699
167
291
28
8
312
97
-1
+0
+0
-7
+9
0.0
2029
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
462
415
96
17
3
16
38
128
6
9
3
231
305
402
707
171
291
28
8
313
98
-1
+1
+0
-8
+10
0.1
2030
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
508
454
104
18
3
17
42
140
7
10
3
229
304
394
698
165
291
28
8
313
98
-1
+1
+0
-9
+11
0.1
2031
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
539
481
110
19
3
18
45
149
8
10
4
229
305
393
698
164
290
28
8
313
98
-1
+0
+0
-10
+12
0.1
2032
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
562
502
116
20
4
19
47
155
8
11
4
231
307
400
707
169
290
28
8
313
98
-1
+1
+0
-10
+12
0.1
2033
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
578
517
120
21
4
20
48
160
8
11
4
232
307
404
711
172
290
28
8
313
98
-1
+1
+0
-10
+13
0.2
2034
25
MLBMLE
SEA
0%
591
529
121
21
4
20
49
163
8
11
4
229
304
397
701
168
289
28
8
313
98
-1
+1
+0
-11
+13
0.2
2027
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
289
—
—
297
96
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2028
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
288
—
—
298
97
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2029
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
288
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2030
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
288
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2031
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
288
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2032
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
287
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2033
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
287
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2034
25
MLBCTX
SEA
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
287
—
—
299
98
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
▸ Career Totals
Career
—
MLE
—
3945
3531
812
141
26
134
326
1094
55
74
27
230
305
398
703
169
292
28
8
313
98
-11
+4
+0
-70
+85
0.9
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
582
133
23
4
22
54
180
9
12
4
229
304
395
699
167
290
28
8
313
98
-2
+1
+0
-12
+14
0.1
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection