Anderson Guevara
P
ACL Mariners
Age 21
RHP
5'10" / 170 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%23.3%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 20 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.0% | 23.6% | -12.6% | 2.5% | 7.54 | 6.51 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 20 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 18 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 18.9% | -2.7% | 1.8% | 7.54 | 5.44 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 9 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 27.3% | -7.5% | 0.0% | 4.63 | 4.88 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 9 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.1% | 21.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 4.63 | 3.44 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 4 | 31 | 129 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 2.4 | 26.4% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 1.45 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 4 | 31 | 129 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 2.4 | 38.8% | 13.2% | 25.6% | 0.8% | 1.45 | 1.94 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 14 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 25 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 27.9% | -7.9% | 0.0% | 7.56 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 14 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 25 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.4% | 22.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.56 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 17 | 0 | 22 | 88 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 34 | 140 | 48 | 14 | 3 | — | — | 34.4% | 10.4% | 24.0% | 2.5% | 3.19 | 1.60 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.85 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 4 | 104 | 468 | 110 | 95 | 6 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 8 | 200 | 903 | 212 | 184 | 12 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anderson Guevara (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.23 | 24.2% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 90 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 89 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 88 |
| Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 87 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 87 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 87 |
| Nic Enright R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.12 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.51 | 0.50 | 249 | 87 |
| Peyton Williams R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 87 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| Justin Meis R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 86 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 85 |
| Collin Kober R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.04 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.35 | 2.40 | 294 | 85 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 85 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .275 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.65 | 140 | 84 |
| Ty Tice R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.29 | 22.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .271 | 3.48 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 108 | -0.81 | 3.24 | 288 | 84 |
| Austin Smith R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 84 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2029 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 84 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 84 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 84 |