Tommy Hawke

OF Lake County Captains
Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 151 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2374ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422ALynchburg Hil…391.263/.383/.34713769—.221/.306/.297
202523A+/A2 orgs286.307/.445/.37306597—.256/.364/.315
202624A+CLE417.291/.420/.37724393—.256/.352/.329
2027PROJMLE25MLBCLE1.225/.323/.2860079-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBCLE72.228/.325/.30514840.0
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBCLE112.228/.324/.30715840.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%94
Chase%93
Speed89
K%87
BB%87
Z-Con%76
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsTony Campana (age 25) · Jacob Hurtubise (age 25) · Jeremy Arocho (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .323 / .286
PA1
HR0
K%23
BB%12
BABIP297
ISO66
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ROKACL Guardians — 2117 4100 460 21 235381294675 59364 2919 323 27 — — — — — —
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats — 391323 851261 59784 3711 263383347730 84339 2015 335 69 — — — — — —
202523 A+Lake County Captains — 1918 5000 140 20 278316278594 357 215 275 36 — — — — — —
202523 ALynchburg Hillcats — 267207 641120 53443 635 309455382836 72388 1620 385 101 — — — — — —
202624 A+Lake County Captains — 417337 981732 72703 438 291420377797 86357 1717 365 93 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2119 3100 290 21 158238211449 53282 4310 208 27 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 391344 761161 381084 3711 221306297602 76304 2810 270 69 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLELake County Captains — 1918 4000 150 20 222263222485 318 265 222 36 — — — — — —
202523 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 267224 581020 37613 635 259371321693 62346 2314 317 101 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 417359 921432 50893 438 256352329681 72323 2112 305 93 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2119 3100 290 21 158238211449 53300 4310 208 27 — — — — — —
202321 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 2117 4100 460 21 235381294675 59364 2919 323 27 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 391344 761161 381084 3711 221306297602 76314 2810 270 69 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 391323 851261 59784 3711 263383347730 84339 2015 335 69 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 286242 621020 38663 655 256364314678 58348 2313 311 96 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 286225 691120 54483 655 307445373819 67385 1719 377 96 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 417359 921432 50893 438 256352329681 72331 2112 305 93 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAWLake County Captains — 417337 981732 72703 438 291420377797 86357 1717 365 93 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 2119 3100 290 21 158238211449 53282 4310 208 27 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 391346 761161 381084 3711 220306295600 75304 2810 270 69 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 286243 621020 38663 655 255364313677 58344 2313 311 96 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 417361 921432 50893 438 255352327679 72323 2112 305 93 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 391346 761161 381084 3711 220306295600 75304 2810 270 69 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 286243 621020 38663 655 255364313677 58344 2313 311 96 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLELake County Captains — 417361 921432 50893 438 255352327679 72323 2112 305 93 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECLE 0% 380329 751331 45863 224 225323288611 63298 2312 285 79 -10 +3 +0 -2 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCLE 0% 11 0000 000 00 225323286609 62297 00 284 79 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECLE 30% 238206 48822 28542 122 228325306632 78298 2312 292 84 -5 +2 +0 -1 +5 0.1
202927 MLB MLECLE 42% 269234 53922 31612 122 228324309633 81297 2312 292 84 -5 +2 +0 -2 +6 0.1
203028 MLB MLECLE 48% 289252 571022 33662 112 227322309631 82296 2311 291 83 -6 +1 -1 -2 +6 -0.1
203129 MLB MLECLE 49% 291254 581023 33682 91 226319308627 82294 2311 289 82 -6 +1 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
203230 MLB MLECLE 50% 291255 581023 32682 71 224315305620 81292 2311 286 80 -7 +1 -2 -2 +6 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXCLE 30% 7263 14201 8161 41 228325305630 76297 2211 291 84 -1 +0 +0 -0 +2 0.0
202927 MLB CTXCLE 42% 11297 23411 13261 51 228324307631 79297 2312 292 84 -2 +1 +0 -1 +2 0.0
203028 MLB CTXCLE 48% 138120 28511 16321 51 227322308629 80296 2312 291 83 -3 +1 -0 -1 +3 -0.0
203129 MLB CTXCLE 49% 143125 28511 16331 41 226319306625 81294 2311 289 82 -3 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
203230 MLB CTXCLE 50% 146128 29511 16341 41 224315304619 80292 2311 286 80 -4 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 611533 1222145 691415 225 229323311634 83299 2311 289 83 -13 +2 -2 -4 +13 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650567 1292245 731505 235 228320307627 79298 2311 289 83 -14 +3 -2 -4 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 27032346 548902216 31063722 21035 234329311640 78311 2411 291 83 -34 +9 -4 -10 +34 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 1322254 751535 508 234329312641 78311 2412 291 83 -14 +4 -2 -4 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 417 PAwOBA .360 → .305 (−55)K% 16.8% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.79%÷1.000×1.270——21.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.27%÷1.000×0.710—×0.98812.11%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.790—×0.9880.56%
Singles /BIP28.46%÷1.000×0.920×1.021×0.98826.43%
Doubles /BIP6.37%÷1.000×0.810×1.021×0.9885.20%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷1.000×0.850×1.021×0.9880.96%
Home runs /BIP0.75%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9880.59%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .360 → .305; ISO .086 → .073; BABIP .357 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 267 PAwOBA .379 → .317 (−62)K% 16.5% → 22.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.48%÷0.989×1.360——22.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.85%÷0.975×0.690—×0.99013.91%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.780—×0.9900.87%
Singles /BIP31.29%÷1.071×0.920×1.040×0.99027.67%
Doubles /BIP6.75%÷0.921×0.830×1.040×0.9906.26%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.020×0.910×1.040×0.9901.13%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.184×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .379 → .317; ISO .072 → .069; BABIP .388 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lake County Captains · 19 PAwOBA .268 → .222 (−46)K% 21.1% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷1.020×1.270——26.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.991×0.710—×0.9983.76%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP35.71%÷1.031×0.920—×0.99831.80%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.138×0.810—×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.011×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .268 → .222; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 391 PAwOBA .330 → .270 (−60)K% 19.9% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.95%÷0.985×1.360——27.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.83%÷1.041×0.690——9.83%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.780——0.80%
Singles /BIP26.94%÷1.056×0.920×1.018—23.89%
Doubles /BIP4.90%÷0.941×0.830×1.018—4.40%
Triples /BIP2.45%÷0.906×0.910×1.018—2.50%
Home runs /BIP0.41%÷0.844×0.800——0.39%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .330 → .270; ISO .084 → .079; BABIP .339 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Guardians · 21 PAwOBA .316 → .208 (−108)K% 28.6% → 41.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.005×1.440——40.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.05%÷1.030×0.620—×0.98511.29%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.024×0.820—×0.98521.52%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷0.967×0.720—×0.9856.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.349×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .316 → .208; ISO .059 → .039; BABIP .364 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).