Sam Antonacci — OGILVIE

Sam AntonacciSS Chicago White Sox

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 193 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION371 act + 247 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†126

AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .371 / .402

PA247

HR5

SB13

K%17

BB%9

BABIP316

ISO132

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT58

xwOBA

900.367

POWER40

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

3269.4

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED48

Sprint

6828.2

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.6	$12M	+$12M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.3	$32M	+$31M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.3	$30M	+$29M
2029	Arb-1	$9M	+4.3	$27M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$16M	+4.2	$25M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$23M	+4.0	$22M	+$8M
Totals		$50M		$148M	+$115M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	102	86	26	5	1	0	12	19	4	7	2	302	412	384	795	81	388	19	12	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	102	81	27	6	1	0	17	13	4	7	2	333	471	432	903	99	397	13	17	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	598	496	139	19	6	7	54	111	39	59	12	280	394	385	779	105	346	19	9	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	598	468	140	21	6	8	82	80	39	59	12	299	443	421	864	122	345	13	14	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	CWS	—	371	314	90	14	2	8	32	56	21	18	5	287	390	420	810	134	327	15	9	360	134	+14	+2	+0	-4	+11	2.3
YTD	23	MLB	CWS	—	371	309	90	14	2	8	37	54	21	18	5	291	403	427	830	136	331	15	10	374	145	+19	+2	+0	-4	+11	2.7
ROS	23	MLB	CWS	100%	247	211	57	9	2	5	22	43	12	13	3	270	371	402	773	132	313	17	9	350	126	+7	+1	-2	+3	+7	1.7
ROS	23	MLB	CWS	100%	247	211	57	9	2	5	22	42	12	13	3	270	371	403	774	133	314	17	9	314	99	-0	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.9
FULL	23	MLB	CWS	—	618	525	147	23	4	13	54	98	33	31	8	280	382	413	796	133	322	16	9	342	120	+14	+3	-2	-1	+18	3.2
TOT	23	MLB	CWS	—	618	525	147	23	4	13	54	99	33	31	8	280	382	413	795	133	323	16	9	356	130	+21	+3	-2	-1	+18	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CWS	100%	615	525	143	22	4	13	54	105	31	32	8	272	374	404	778	131	314	17	9	351	127	+19	+3	-5	+7	+17	4.2
2028	25	MLB	CWS	100%	602	514	140	21	4	13	53	101	30	31	8	272	374	405	778	132	314	17	9	354	129	+20	+3	-5	+6	+17	4.2
2029	26	MLB	CWS	100%	590	503	137	21	4	13	52	99	30	30	8	272	374	408	782	135	314	17	9	355	130	+20	+3	-5	+6	+17	4.2
2030	27	MLB	CWS	100%	579	493	135	21	4	13	52	98	29	30	8	274	376	412	788	138	314	17	9	355	130	+19	+3	-5	+6	+16	4.1
2031	28	MLB	CWS	100%	567	482	131	20	3	13	52	97	28	28	7	272	375	407	782	135	314	17	9	354	129	+19	+3	-5	+6	+16	3.9
2032	29	MLB	CWS	100%	556	472	127	19	3	12	51	96	28	25	6	269	374	398	772	129	314	17	9	352	128	+17	+3	-6	+6	+16	3.7
2033	30	MLB	CWS	100%	545	463	125	19	3	12	50	95	27	22	6	270	374	402	776	132	313	17	9	350	126	+16	+2	-6	+6	+15	3.3
2034	31	MLB	CWS	100%	534	453	121	18	3	11	49	95	27	19	5	267	372	393	765	126	311	18	9	346	123	+14	+2	-7	+6	+15	3.0
2035	32	MLB	CWS	100%	523	444	116	17	3	10	48	95	26	16	4	261	367	381	747	119	308	18	9	340	119	+11	+2	-8	+6	+15	2.6
2036	33	MLB	CWS	100%	451	385	98	14	2	8	41	84	22	10	3	255	359	364	723	109	305	19	9	334	114	+7	+1	-8	+5	+13	1.8
2037	34	MLB	CWS	96%	399	340	84	11	2	7	36	77	20	7	2	247	354	353	706	106	300	19	9	325	107	+3	+1	-8	+4	+11	1.2
2038	35	MLB	CWS	91%	345	294	71	9	2	5	31	69	17	4	1	241	348	337	685	95	294	20	9	316	100	-0	+0	-8	+4	+10	0.6
2039	36	MLB	CWS	82%	286	245	57	7	1	4	25	60	14	2	1	233	338	318	656	86	289	21	9	306	92	-2	+0	-9	+3	+8	0.0
2040	37	MLB	CWS	73%	223	191	43	5	1	3	19	48	11	1	0	225	330	309	639	84	283	22	9	295	84	-4	+0	-9	+2	+6	-0.4
2041	38	MLB	CWS	59%	155	134	29	3	1	2	13	34	7	0	0	216	318	299	617	82	277	22	8	285	76	-4	+0	-9	+2	+4	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	CWS	100%	615	525	143	22	4	13	54	105	31	32	8	272	374	404	778	131	315	17	9	316	100	-0	+3	-5	+7	+17	2.3
2028	25	MLB	CWS	100%	602	514	142	22	4	14	53	101	30	31	8	276	377	416	793	140	315	17	9	318	102	+1	+3	-5	+6	+17	2.3
2029	26	MLB	CWS	100%	590	503	138	21	4	14	52	99	30	30	8	274	376	416	792	141	315	17	9	319	102	+2	+3	-5	+6	+17	2.3
2030	27	MLB	CWS	100%	579	493	135	21	4	13	52	98	29	30	8	274	376	412	788	138	315	17	9	319	102	+2	+3	-5	+6	+16	2.3
2031	28	MLB	CWS	100%	567	482	131	20	3	13	52	97	28	28	7	272	375	407	782	135	315	17	9	318	102	+1	+3	-5	+6	+16	2.1
2032	29	MLB	CWS	100%	556	472	128	20	3	12	51	96	28	25	6	271	376	403	778	131	314	17	9	317	101	+0	+3	-6	+6	+16	1.9
2033	30	MLB	CWS	100%	545	463	125	19	3	12	50	95	27	22	6	270	374	402	776	132	314	17	9	314	99	-1	+2	-6	+6	+15	1.6
2034	31	MLB	CWS	100%	534	453	121	18	3	11	49	95	27	19	5	267	372	393	765	126	312	18	9	310	96	-3	+2	-7	+6	+15	1.3
2035	32	MLB	CWS	100%	523	444	116	17	3	10	48	95	26	16	4	261	367	381	747	119	309	18	9	305	92	-5	+2	-8	+6	+15	1.0
2036	33	MLB	CWS	100%	451	385	98	14	2	8	41	84	22	10	3	255	359	364	723	109	305	19	9	299	87	-7	+1	-8	+5	+13	0.4
2037	34	MLB	CWS	96%	381	325	81	11	2	7	34	74	19	6	2	249	354	360	714	111	300	19	9	290	80	-8	+0	-8	+4	+11	-0.1
2038	35	MLB	CWS	91%	314	268	65	8	2	5	28	63	15	4	1	243	347	343	691	101	295	20	9	281	73	-9	+0	-8	+3	+9	-0.5
2039	36	MLB	CWS	82%	235	201	47	6	1	3	21	49	11	2	0	234	339	318	657	85	290	21	9	271	66	-9	+0	-7	+3	+7	-0.7
2040	37	MLB	CWS	73%	163	140	32	4	1	2	14	35	8	1	0	229	333	314	648	86	283	21	9	261	58	-8	+0	-6	+2	+5	-0.8
2041	38	MLB	CWS	59%	91	79	17	2	0	1	8	20	4	0	0	215	319	278	597	63	277	22	9	250	50	-5	+0	-5	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6993	5958	1576	234	41	143	629	1248	347	269	69	265	368	390	758	125	311	18	9	308	94	-50	+26	-95	+75	+198	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	147	22	4	13	58	116	32	25	6	265	367	390	757	125	313	18	9	308	94	-5	+3	-9	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	7917	6731	1779	260	49	151	714	1426	402	336	84	264	369	385	754	120	313	18	9	342	120	+176	+34	-104	+85	+224	42.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	553	145	21	4	12	59	117	33	28	7	262	367	380	747	118	311	18	9	342	120	+14	+3	-9	+7	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	102	81	27	6	1	0	17	13	4	7	2	333	471	432	903	99	397	13	17	414	175	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	217	168	49	8	2	1	28	32	16	21	2	292	439	381	820	89	350	15	13	375	145	+11	+3	—	—	+6	2.1
2025	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	288	226	63	10	4	4	39	37	19	27	7	279	426	412	838	133	317	13	14	380	149	+16	+3	—	—	+8	2.7
2025	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	93	74	28	3	0	3	15	11	4	11	3	378	505	541	1.046	162	417	12	16	467	215	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	7,558	153	298	265	364	390	+71	+1	48.8	39.9
	/162	664	13	26	265	364	390	+6.2	+0.1	4.3	pk7: 31
#1Rafael Furcallast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,200 PA	13	7,200	113	314	281	346	403	+51	+30	41.2	36.6
	/162	664	10	29	281	346	403	+4.7	+2.8	3.8	pk7: 32
#2Brian Robertslast yr '14 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,253 PA	14	6,253	97	285	276	347	409	+18	+42	36.5	35.5
	/162	664	10	30	276	347	409	+1.9	+4.5	3.9	pk7: 34
#3Edgar Renterialast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,671 PA	12	6,671	117	168	286	344	409	+41	+45	38.1	34.4
	/162	664	12	17	286	344	409	+4.1	+4.4	3.8	pk7: 31
#4Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#5Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	12	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
	/162	664	12	24	281	327	401	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#6Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Antonacci (OGILVIE)	23	58	36→40	50→48	60	280/382/413	133	323	13	31	16%	9%	130	+3.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→65	43→45	54→55	51	271/357/391	119	329	9	21	19%	8%	118	+3.0	279/348/386	107	335	6	23	17%	7%	111	+2.5	285/357/412	127	339	9	15	17%	8%	119	+3.3
★Jacoby Ellsbury 2007 · AA	23	56→66	41→55	57→65	48	267/320/373	106	304	8	28	15%	6%	96	+1.5	287/337/394	107	326	7	42	13%	6%	108	+2.3	288/343/447	160	315	16	37	14%	7%	123	+3.1
✕Garin Cecchini 2014 · AA	23	57→62	41→45	56→55	51	269/339/379	110	344	6	21	22%	9%	106	+2.2	229/285/318	89	303	7	13	25%	6%	68	-0.5	210/259/285	76	275	6	12	25%	5%	46	-1.6
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	56→65	48→50	54→55	47	278/340/417	140	325	15	19	19%	6%	118	+3.0	262/325/389	127	314	12	15	19%	7%	104	+2.0	253/318/377	123	304	11	13	20%	7%	94	+1.0
●Starlin Castro 2013 · MLB	23	59→63	44→50	53→50	47	289/329/422	134	323	10	18	14%	5%	113	+2.6	267/307/390	123	309	11	10	17%	5%	96	+1.5	284/326/431	147	328	17	3	18%	5%	111	+2.5
●Jackie Bradley Jr. 2013 · AA	23	51→54	43→55	50	51	244/325/363	118	308	9	16	22%	9%	97	+1.5	231/300/354	123	300	10	11	25%	8%	85	+0.7	254/332/441	188	303	20	8	23%	9%	115	+2.7
●Rafael Furcal 2002 · MLB	24	57→63	40→50	57→60	56	272/346/370	98	315	7	35	16%	10%	107	+2.2	277/334/402	125	312	10	24	14%	8%	110	+2.4	284/352/424	140	310	12	33	12%	9%	118	+3.4
●Dexter Fowler 2009 · MLB	23	57→63	43→55	54→55	48	268/335/395	127	349	8	20	24%	8%	108	+2.3	246/331/376	130	324	6	19	23%	11%	102	+1.9	258/363/436	178	317	16	14	22%	13%	127	+3.5
●Desmond Jennings 2010 · AAA	23	55→59	45→50	63→60	51	268/330/405	136	307	11	34	16%	8%	109	+2.4	247/316/380	133	296	12	33	19%	8%	97	+1.5	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	49→52	51→45	56→50	48	247/333/412	165	303	18	23	24%	8%	114	+2.7	229/320/355	126	286	12	13	23%	9%	94	+1.3	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2007 · MLB	24	53→58	49→55	58→55	48	259/346/417	158	321	16	22	23%	8%	121	+3.2	247/353/423	176	301	17	22	22%	12%	124	+3.4	259/353/453	194	315	22	11	24%	10%	129	+4.0
★Jean Segura 2014 · MLB	24	56→63	43→50	61→60	44	274/312/387	113	313	9	35	16%	5%	96	+1.5	269/307/378	109	305	9	26	15%	4%	92	+1.2	306/353/448	141	340	13	24	13%	6%	126	+3.7
●Russell Martin 2006 · AA	23	57→60	43→55	47→50	55	274/357/380	107	325	11	13	18%	10%	115	+2.7	279/360/418	139	314	13	15	14%	11%	125	+3.5	281/371/425	144	310	14	16	13%	12%	125	+3.5
●Matt Duffy 2014 · A	23	51→61	46→45	53→50	50	253/313/385	132	289	14	16	18%	8%	97	+1.5	278/324/394	116	330	9	15	18%	6%	103	+1.9	283/337/389	106	328	9	12	16%	6%	105	+1.8
●Mark Kotsay 2001 · MLB	25	58→63	47→50	51→50	54	284/336/429	145	293	13	18	9%	7%	118	+3.0	284/351/431	147	311	13	13	13%	9%	124	+3.4	289/356/430	141	319	13	8	13%	9%	122	+3.4
✕Gary Brown 2012 · A	23	57→60	47→45	59→55	47	275/337/424	149	320	12	28	18%	6%	118	+3.0	226/281/333	107	285	8	22	23%	5%	70	-0.3	207/260/301	94	268	7	23	25%	5%	50	-1.7
●Julio Lugo 2001 · MLB	25	55→62	47→45	54→60	50	272/335/419	147	324	14	24	20%	8%	115	+2.7	260/323/387	127	312	13	15	20%	8%	102	+1.8	279/345/398	119	317	8	28	14%	8%	111	+2.6
●Bo Bichette 2021 · MLB	23	53→62	53→60	52→55	44	266/312/449	183	319	19	20	23%	6%	114	+2.7	290/332/471	181	341	22	15	21%	6%	128	+3.7	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Chris Coghlan 2010 · MLB	25	59→66	44→50	54→55	54	285/352/419	134	322	10	17	14%	9%	122	+3.3	266/333/392	126	311	9	14	16%	8%	107	+2.2	244/330/403	158	294	13	11	20%	10%	103	+1.5
✕Jose Aguilar 2013 · AAA	23	57→61	41→45	52→55	46	271/322/371	100	315	7	16	16%	6%	97	+1.5	277/329/386	109	315	9	16	14%	6%	104	+2.0	284/341/397	113	319	9	16	13%	6%	107	+1.5