Thomas Harrington P Indianapolis Indians
Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 119
ERA5.34
FIP5.28
K%19.0%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP
K: -2.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -8.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-8CONTACTSTAM: +14.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+15STAMTotal WAR: +0.45 (110 IP)+0.5WAR
-0.5-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.4262830
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP45
STUF4550
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†4550
SL+1.1 (20%)
CT-0.9 (10%)
FB-5.5 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202322MIX2 levels26261275261464114100%4.921.1%9.0%12.1%2.6%3.533.91
202322MIX2 levels26261275261464114100%4.927.8%7.8%20.0%2.7%3.533.20
202423MIX3 levels222111745811519995%5.320.8%4.3%16.5%3.1%2.613.57
202423MIX3 levels222111745811519995%5.325.1%4.1%21.0%2.0%2.612.62
202524MIX2 levels242110546597402388%4.418.5%9.0%9.6%6.4%6.196.16-0.9
202524MIX2 levels242110546597402388%4.420.9%8.6%12.3%4.9%6.195.25+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202625AAAIndianapolis Indians206582715626930%2.918.2%10.1%8.1%3.7%6.524.85-0.2
ROS25MLBPIT490522184117100%1.119.0%7.9%11.1%4.4%5.345.28-0.4
ROS25MLBPIT200218917740%1.119.0%7.9%11.1%4.4%5.345.28-0.2
2026 TOT25MLBPIT11048997431919.9%8.8%11.1%3.8%5.965.05+0.4
2026 FULL25MLBPIT2187177419.0%7.9%11.1%4.4%5.344.90-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBPIT131377325642614100%5.919.9%8.0%11.9%4.2%5.185.14-0.2
202827MLBPIT131376320642613100%5.820.1%8.1%12.0%4.2%5.125.12-0.2
202928MLBPIT121273310622613100%6.120.1%8.3%11.8%4.2%5.135.16-0.3
203029MLBPIT121270296592513100%5.820.0%8.6%11.4%4.4%5.215.27-0.4
202726MLBPIT885021142179100%6.219.9%8.0%11.9%4.2%5.185.14-0.3
202827MLBPIT101058245492010100%5.820.1%8.1%12.0%4.2%5.125.12-0.4
202928MLBPIT101061258522111100%6.120.1%8.3%11.8%4.2%5.135.16-0.4
203029MLBPIT101061258512211100%6.120.0%8.6%11.4%4.4%5.215.27-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career61392591108218944864%4.219.7%8.5%11.2%4.4%5.524.90+1.5
/ 200 IP4730200855168733764%4.219.7%8.5%11.2%4.4%5.524.90+1.2
Career927440717203421366780%4.419.9%7.9%12.0%3.9%4.374.57+3.9
/ 200 IP4536200845168673380%4.419.9%7.9%12.0%3.9%4.374.57+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Thomas Harrington (OGILVIE) 5.28 19.0%7.9%4.4% 5.14 20.0%11.9%226 -0.14
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 75
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 72
Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 17.1%8.6%4.1%.303 5.00 146 71
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 71
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 71
Matthew DeRosier R 2025 · 5.49 FIP 24 SP- 5.49 15.1%9.1%4.6%.248 2.72 200 70
Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.65 FIP 26 SP- 5.65 13.4%9.6%4.5%.354 4.21 14.1%2.8%74 -1.44 4.13 120 70
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 69
Ryan Watson R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SP- 4.26 18.6%4.9%3.9%.342 5.85 13.1%5.4%98 +1.59 4.26 165 69
Deivi Villafana R 2024 · 4.22 FIP 23 SP- 4.22 14.9%6.1%2.9%.303 3.57 109 68
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 68
Jeffrey Passantino R 2026 · 5.13 FIP 25 SP 5.13 18.5%6.8%5.0%.298 4.58 14.8%8.1%41 -0.55 2.02 242 68
Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 25 SP- 4.32 17.5%9.4%2.7%.296 3.59 20.5%9.5%36 -0.73 3.59 327 67
Connor McCullough R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 25 SP 5.20 18.7%6.4%5.2%.217 3.62 20.6%12.2%64 -1.58 3.62 222 67
Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SP- 4.55 16.7%6.5%3.7%.287 3.95 15.0%7.6%193 -0.60 3.53 289 67
Brock Hartson R 2026 · 5.19 FIP 25 SP- 5.19 16.1%9.7%4.0%.264 3.91 299 67
Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SP- 4.98 17.6%11.2%3.6%.282 9.58 19.7%7.1%18 +4.60 4.98 105 66
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SP 5.37 22.4%10.1%5.2%.295 4.67 21.1%13.3%299 -0.70 3.70 776 66
Will Sanders R 2025 · 4.48 FIP 24 SP- 4.48 24.1%9.0%4.1%.304 3.89 259 66
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 4.34 119 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION57019.9%8.2%1.665.19
Adam Morgan ('21)65920.5%7.1%1.564.77
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Austin Voth ('24)65822.2%8.2%1.504.63
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07