Christian Worley

Christian Worley P Peoria Chiefs

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%19.4%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	48	230	46	37	1	0%	1.4	16.7%	19.0%	-2.3%	0.7%	4.34	4.49	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	48	230	46	37	1	0%	1.4	16.7%	19.0%	-2.3%	0.7%	4.34	4.49	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	48	230	46	37	1	0%	1.4	20.0%	16.1%	3.9%	0.4%	4.34	3.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	43	0	56	249	75	31	8	0%	1.3	23.6%	14.9%	8.7%	3.8%	3.20	5.06	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	43	0	56	249	75	31	8	0%	1.3	23.6%	14.9%	8.7%	3.8%	3.20	5.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	STL	39	0	52	232	71	30	7	0%	1.3	30.6%	12.9%	17.7%	3.0%	3.10	3.81	—
2026	24	AA RAW	STL	4	0	4	17	4	1	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	5.9%	4.50	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	53	0	56	236	48	35	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.7%	5.7%	2.8%	5.25	5.15	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	53	0	56	236	49	34	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.3%	6.6%	2.8%	5.11	5.06	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	23	0	24	101	21	15	3	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.7%	5.7%	2.8%	5.25	5.15	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	35	0	37	156	33	22	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.3%	6.6%	2.8%	5.11	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	61	258	53	37	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.4%	6.2%	2.8%	5.17	4.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	121	23	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.4%	6.2%	2.8%	5.17	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		76	0	104	479	97	81	11	0%	1.4	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.3%	3.72	4.79	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	0	200	921	187	155	21	0%	1.4	20.3%	16.9%	3.4%	2.3%	3.72	4.79	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christian Worley (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	19.4%	17.0%	2.8%	—	5.11	20.6%	6.1%	112	-0.42	—	—	—
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	85
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	85
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	85
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	85
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	84
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	83
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.36	16.0%	6.0%	107	-0.80	3.20	213	83
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	83
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	83
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	83
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	20.4%	14.9%	1.08	5.24
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41