Dayne Leonard — OGILVIE

Dayne LeonardC Louisville Bats

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP308

ISO111

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	25	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	18	14	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	214	389	214	603		250	11	22	306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	25	ROK	ACL Reds	—	45	38	15	4	1	0	6	8	1	0	0	395	489	553	1.042	158	500	18	13	460	198	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	25	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	18	15	3	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	200	333	200	533		235	17	17	259	61	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	45	40	12	3	1	0	4	11	1	0	0	300	378	425	803	125	384	24	9	322	104	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	63	55	14	3	1	0	7	14	1	0	0	255	349	345	695	91	341	22	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	63	52	18	4	1	0	10	10	1	0	0	346	460	462	922	115	429	16	16	416	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	63	55	14	3	1	0	7	14	1	0	0	255	349	345	695	91	341	22	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	63	55	14	3	1	0	7	14	1	0	0	255	349	345	695	91	341	22	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	CIN	—	114	98	20	1	0	0	8	46	5	1	0	204	297	214	512	10	377	40	7	235	45	-7	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	CIN	—	114	94	21	1	0	0	12	38	5	1	0	223	342	234	576	11	368	33	11	276	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	CIN	10%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		305	33	7	271	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						308	50	0	260	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CIN	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	260	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	CIN	—	129	112	22	1	0	0	9	51	5	1	0	196	286	205	491	9	355	40	7	239	48	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	262	234	50	8	1	4	21	80	5	4	1	214	292	308	600	94	303	31	8	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	314	281	60	10	1	5	25	94	5	5	1	214	289	310	599	96	302	30	8	279	75	-9	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	335	299	65	11	1	6	27	100	6	5	1	217	295	321	616	104	300	30	8	280	75	-10	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	350	313	67	11	1	6	28	104	6	4	1	214	291	313	604	99	299	30	8	278	74	-11	+0	-2	+6	+8	0.1
2031	31	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	331	295	62	10	1	5	27	100	6	4	1	210	290	302	591	92	296	30	8	274	71	-11	+0	-3	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	98	88	19	3	0	2	8	30	2	2	0	216	296	318	614	102	306	31	8	268	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	163	146	32	5	1	3	13	49	3	2	1	219	296	329	625	110	305	30	8	271	75	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	191	171	38	6	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	222	296	339	635	117	303	30	8	271	75	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	210	187	41	7	1	4	17	63	4	3	1	219	298	332	630	112	302	30	8	270	74	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2031	31	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	205	183	41	7	1	4	17	62	3	2	1	224	300	339	639	115	299	30	8	266	71	-7	+0	-2	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	869	777	171	28	4	17	70	262	15	12	4	220	297	332	629	112	307	30	8	269	75	-27	+1	-4	+16	+19	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	128	21	3	13	52	196	11	9	3	220	296	334	630	114	307	30	8	269	75	-20	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1670	1491	320	53	6	26	136	497	29	22	5	215	293	311	603	96	301	30	8	278	75	-50	+2	-7	+29	+35	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	124	21	2	10	53	193	11	9	2	214	292	309	601	95	299	30	8	278	75	-20	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	885	15	12	216	290	318	+16	+12	1.3	1.3
/162	664	11	9	+11.9	+9.0	1.0	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayne Leonard (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	210/285/301	91	305	3	3	31%	8%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕William Simoneit 2022 · A	25	47	45	50→45	43	227/294/347	120	319	12	8	31%	8%	82	+0.0	211/286/326	115	312	11	6	33%	8%	75	-0.5	189/269/301	112	290	11	4	36%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	41→39	43→45	51→50	43	201/265/317	115	273	10	13	29%	7%	64	-1.3	192/253/305	113	274	11	13	32%	7%	57	-1.8	160/217/269	108	224	11	18	33%	6%	32	-1.8
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	80	-0.2	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	74	-0.5	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	44	-0.5
✕Seth Bynum 2006 · A	25	45→43	43→50	50	44	218/278/336	118	287	10	9	27%	7%	74	-0.6	212/267/313	101	290	9	8	28%	6%	63	-1.3	215/257/351	136	285	16	5	30%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Brent Diaz 2021 · A	25	43	42→40	47→45	46	206/287/311	105	296	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	206/275/320	114	300	12	8	34%	6%	70	-0.8	181/252/284	103	266	13	7	35%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Kenny Piper 2023 · A	25	42	47→50	50	48	209/296/341	131	288	15	12	31%	10%	82	+0.0	185/263/329	144	258	17	8	34%	7%	68	-1.0	176/256/312	136	246	15	14	34%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Wynston Sawyer 2017 · A	25	46	42→45	46→45	50	224/303/331	107	281	9	6	23%	9%	82	+0.0	223/294/327	104	296	8	5	26%	7%	78	-0.3	213/277/309	96	294	6	1	28%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Andy Atwood 2023 · A	26	43	43→40	50	42	214/275/319	105	291	11	14	29%	7%	68	-1.0	199/252/283	84	301	6	13	34%	5%	51	-2.2	159/203/210	51	260	0	16	37%	3%	14	-1.5
✕Brian O'Keefe 2019 · A	26	43	47→55	45→40	47	217/285/358	141	273	14	4	26%	8%	82	-0.0	214/278/348	134	277	16	4	28%	8%	77	-0.3	196/260/359	163	245	20	1	28%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	44→45	45→50	47→50	44	215/284/339	124	297	13	11	31%	8%	76	-0.4	211/272/327	116	317	12	9	35%	7%	70	-0.9	200/257/300	100	312	9	7	37%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	41→37	47→50	46→50	37	205/267/344	139	294	15	11	34%	6%	72	-0.7	219/294/369	150	305	17	8	32%	8%	88	+0.4	210/308/381	171	273	23	2	30%	11%	98	+0.4
✕Tyler Payne 2019 · A	26	44	43→45	49→40	42	219/266/327	108	282	11	5	26%	6%	67	-1.1	214/256/329	115	280	11	4	27%	4%	63	-1.3	237/276/339	101	332	7	1	29%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Vito Friscia 2022 · A	25	46	42→45	51→40	44	213/292/319	106	330	10	6	36%	9%	75	-0.5	212/295/333	121	309	12	4	32%	10%	80	-0.2	192/283/316	124	270	13	0	31%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→47	44→45	48→40	42	209/277/328	119	296	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	228/284/344	116	308	11	5	28%	6%	78	-0.3	232/290/345	114	313	10	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	202/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	63	-1.4	220/287/341	121	307	13	4	31%	8%	78	-0.3	213/285/332	119	296	14	1	31%	9%	73	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps