Dayne Leonard — OGILVIE

Dayne LeonardC Louisville Bats

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .265 / .267

PA98

HR1

K%33

BB%7

BABIP298

ISO67

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	ROK	2 teams	—	63	54	14	3	1	0	8	14	1	0	0	259	365	352	717	93	350	22	13	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK	2 teams	—	63	52	18	4	1	0	10	10	1	0	0	346	460	462	922	115	429	16	16	416	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	CIN	—	72	64	14	1	0	0	6	34	2	1	0	219	306	234	540	16	467	47	8	248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	26	AAA	CIN	—	72	61	16	1	0	0	9	28	2	1	0	262	375	279	654	16	485	39	12	314	98	-0	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	26	AAA	CIN	10%	98	90	18	3	0	1	7	32	1	2	0	200	265	267	532	67	311	33	7	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	26	MLB	CIN	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		313	30	10	260	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	CIN	—	82	73	15	1	0	0	7	37	2	1	0	205	293	219	512	14	417	45	9	249	49	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	26	AAA	CIN	—	170	154	32	4	0	1	13	66	3	3	0	208	282	253	536	45	356	39	8	259	57	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CIN	31%	262	235	50	8	1	4	21	83	4	4	1	213	288	306	595	94	308	32	8	273	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2028	28	MLB	CIN	42%	314	282	60	10	1	5	25	97	4	5	1	213	286	309	595	96	306	31	8	276	69	-11	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2029	29	MLB	CIN	46%	335	301	65	11	1	6	27	103	4	5	1	216	289	319	608	103	305	31	8	277	70	-11	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.3
2030	30	MLB	CIN	48%	350	315	67	11	1	6	28	108	4	4	1	213	285	311	596	98	303	31	8	275	69	-12	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.2
2027	27	MLB	CIN	31%	81	74	16	3	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	216	284	297	581	81	311	32	7	266	62	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB	CIN	42%	132	118	26	4	1	2	11	41	2	2	0	220	298	322	620	102	309	31	8	269	64	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB	CIN	46%	154	139	31	5	1	3	12	47	2	2	1	223	294	338	632	115	307	31	8	270	64	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
2030	30	MLB	CIN	48%	169	151	34	6	1	3	14	52	2	2	1	225	299	338	637	113	306	31	8	268	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	546	491	108	18	3	9	44	169	7	7	2	220	293	324	617	104	313	31	8	268	63	-23	+1	-2	+10	+15	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	21	4	11	52	201	8	8	2	221	293	326	620	106	313	31	8	268	63	-27	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1422	1277	274	46	5	22	116	437	18	20	4	215	289	310	599	96	305	31	8	276	69	-49	+2	-4	+25	+40	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	125	21	2	10	53	200	8	9	2	214	288	308	597	94	305	31	8	276	69	-22	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	18	14	3	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	214	389	214	603		250	11	22	306	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	25	ROK	ACL Reds	—	45	38	15	4	1	0	6	8	1	0	0	395	489	553	1.042	158	500	18	13	460	211	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	554	9	8	216	287	317	+10	+8	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	11	9	216	287	317	+11.9	+9.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayne Leonard (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	208/282/253	45	356	1	3	39%	8%	57	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	40→37	43→45	51→50	43	199/265/315	116	270	10	13	29%	7%	59	-1.1	193/255/312	119	275	12	13	32%	7%	54	-1.4	161/219/278	117	225	13	18	34%	6%	27	-1.6
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A	25	42	43→40	47→30	41	209/266/319	110	288	11	6	31%	7%	61	-1.0	198/262/288	90	315	7	8	36%	8%	51	-1.7	188/264/255	66	326	0	0	38%	8%	41	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	51	-1.7	209/280/310	101	283	7	8	27%	8%	64	-0.8	206/280/308	102	277	6	6	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	46→50	50→55	36	206/261/341	135	291	12	10	32%	5%	65	-0.7	210/273/338	128	287	13	14	30%	5%	69	-0.4	189/260/326	136	245	16	21	29%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Brent Diaz 2021 · A	25	43	42→45	47→45	46	205/289/307	102	297	9	9	32%	9%	69	-0.4	204/273/326	122	305	14	8	36%	6%	66	-0.6	173/243/285	112	262	15	7	38%	5%	40	-0.8
✕J.D. Osborne 2021 · A	26	42	43→45	50→40	36	207/256/317	110	286	11	6	31%	4%	56	-1.3	208/268/323	115	330	12	5	38%	6%	63	-0.8	184/249/292	108	304	13	0	41%	5%	43	-0.5
✕Gioskar Amaya 2019 · AA	26	42→48	41→40	48→50	40	202/263/301	98	301	8	9	34%	7%	54	-1.4	201/246/287	86	296	5	6	32%	4%	43	-2.2	180/219/252	72	270	3	2	33%	3%	20	-1.9
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Steve Holm 2006 · AA	26	42	42→50	47→40	43	209/268/311	102	266	11	6	25%	6%	59	-1.1	226/294/375	149	273	18	4	24%	7%	88	+0.9	229/306/383	154	269	18	2	22%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Tyler Payne 2019 · A	26	44	44→45	49→40	42	221/268/337	115	281	13	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	216/256/334	118	284	12	4	27%	4%	60	-1.0	241/278/349	108	341	8	1	31%	4%	69	-0.1