Nathan Blasick — OGILVIE

Nathan Blasick P Spokane Indians

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%20.9%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	5	23	8	5	0	0%	1.1	34.8%	21.7%	13.0%	0.0%	1.69	2.92	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	5	23	8	5	0	0%	1.1	34.8%	21.7%	13.0%	0.0%	1.69	2.92	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	5	23	8	5	0	0%	1.1	34.8%	21.7%	13.0%	0.0%	1.69	2.91	—
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	43	0	53	230	66	27	3	0%	1.2	21.2%	13.9%	7.4%	1.9%	3.59	4.13	—
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	43	0	53	230	66	27	3	0%	1.2	21.2%	13.9%	7.4%	1.9%	3.59	4.13	—
2025	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	43	0	53	230	66	27	3	0%	1.2	28.7%	11.7%	17.0%	1.3%	3.59	2.87	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	38	0	64	275	69	30	4	0%	1.7	19.5%	12.3%	7.2%	1.8%	3.50	4.00	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	38	0	64	275	69	30	4	0%	1.7	19.5%	12.3%	7.2%	1.8%	3.50	4.00	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	COL	27	0	49	206	55	19	3	0%	1.8	26.7%	9.2%	17.5%	1.5%	3.10	2.81	—
2026	25	AA RAW	COL	11	0	15	69	14	11	1	0%	1.4	20.3%	15.9%	4.3%	1.4%	4.80	4.20	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	6	4	1	0%	1.1	20.9%	14.6%	6.3%	2.9%	5.14	5.14	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	71	302	75	34	5	—	—	24.7%	11.2%	13.5%	1.6%	3.64	4.10	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	67	0	70	296	63	41	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	2.9%	5.05	5.04	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	63	40	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.8%	7.8%	2.9%	5.01	5.02	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	61	39	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.7%	7.8%	3.1%	5.03	5.07	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	58	37	9	0%	1.0	21.3%	13.8%	7.5%	3.2%	5.11	5.18	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	29	0	30	127	27	18	4	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	2.9%	5.05	5.04	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	41	0	43	182	39	25	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.8%	7.8%	2.9%	5.01	5.02	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	48	0	50	211	45	29	6	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.7%	7.8%	3.1%	5.03	5.07	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	50	0	52	220	47	30	7	0%	1.0	21.3%	13.8%	7.5%	3.2%	5.11	5.18	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		168	0	176	743	159	102	23	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.8%	7.7%	3.0%	5.05	4.71	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	116	26	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.8%	7.7%	3.0%	5.05	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		86	0	122	528	111	71	9	0%	1.4	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	1.8%	3.46	4.01	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	863	181	116	15	0%	1.4	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	1.8%	3.46	4.01	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nathan Blasick (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	20.9%	14.6%	2.9%	—	5.04	21.5%	7.7%	206	-0.10	—	—	—
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	94
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	92
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	91
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	90
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	90
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	89
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	88
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	88
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	88
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	88
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	86
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	86
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	86
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	21.3%	14.0%	1.16	5.07
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91