Arnold Prado — OGILVIE

Arnold PradoOF ACL White Sox

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 194 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .257 / .284

PA104

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	105	87	30	5	1	1	16	23	2	2	1	345	457	460	917	115	460	22	15	415	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	154	137	25	5	0	0	12	44	5	6	2	182	273	219	492	36	269	29	8	237	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	163	149	36	4	2	3	9	66	5	8	2	242	307	356	662	114	412	40	6	301	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	80	68	13	2	1	0	10	25	1	1	1	191	304	250	554	59	302	31	12	262	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	84	74	14	0	1	0	10	28	0	8	3	189	286	216	502	27	304	33	12	242	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	105	92	20	3	1	0	11	28	2	2	1	217	314	272	586	54	305	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	154	141	18	3	0	0	8	64	5	6	2	128	201	149	350	21	232	42	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	163	153	20	2	1	2	5	96	5	8	2	131	184	196	380	65	327	59	3	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	80	71	12	2	1	0	7	34	1	1	1	169	253	225	479	56	284	42	9	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	84	78	10	0	1	0	6	40	0	8	3	128	190	154	344	26	262	48	7	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	105	92	20	3	1	0	11	28	2	2	1	217	314	272	586	54	312	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	105	87	30	5	1	1	16	23	2	2	1	345	457	460	917	115	460	22	15	415	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	154	141	18	3	0	0	8	64	5	6	2	128	201	149	350	21	234	42	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	154	137	25	5	0	0	12	44	5	6	2	182	273	219	492	36	269	29	8	237	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	163	153	20	2	1	2	5	96	5	8	2	131	184	196	380	65	327	59	3	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	163	149	36	4	2	3	9	66	5	8	2	242	307	356	662	114	412	40	6	301	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	149	21	2	1	0	13	74	1	9	4	141	215	168	383	27	280	45	8	179	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	164	142	27	2	2	0	20	53	1	9	4	190	294	232	527	42	303	32	12	252	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	105	91	20	3	1	0	11	28	2	2	1	220	314	275	589	55	305	27	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	154	140	18	3	0	0	8	64	5	6	2	129	201	150	351	21	232	42	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	163	152	20	2	1	2	5	96	5	8	2	132	184	197	381	66	327	59	3	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	149	21	2	1	0	13	74	1	9	4	141	215	168	383	27	273	45	8	179	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	163	152	20	2	1	2	5	96	5	8	2	132	184	197	381	66	327	59	3	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	164	149	21	2	1	0	13	74	1	9	4	141	215	168	383	27	273	45	8	179	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	274	250	49	8	2	4	19	91	3	6	2	195	259	287	546	92	286	33	7	248	54	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	154	140	29	5	1	3	11	50	2	4	1	201	265	303	567	102	288	32	7	257	60	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	201	265	305	570	103	288	32	8	258	60	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	300	32	8	258	27	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	123	25	0	12	49	208	12	12	0	209	283	312	595	104	301	32	8	258	27	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	844	770	126	18	5	6	55	347	16	31	11	164	234	223	458	60	286	41	7	208	27	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	98	14	4	5	42	267	12	24	8	165	235	228	463	62	288	41	6	208	27	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arnold Prado (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	194/257/284	91	286	1	2	33%	7%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	41→45	48→45	40	192/249/294	102	277	8	8	32%	7%	53	-2.1	208/259/320	112	312	12	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	200/248/316	117	298	15	10	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	37	39→50	52→55	36	176/239/269	93	301	6	11	41%	7%	43	-2.8	192/243/283	91	330	7	16	41%	6%	48	-2.5	196/254/350	155	346	21	18	47%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Nelson Medina 2023 · A	22	41	40→45	53→50	47	195/282/289	95	292	6	13	32%	10%	65	-1.2	176/236/261	85	335	6	13	46%	7%	40	-3.0	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/254/297	94	272	8	14	28%	6%	55	-1.9	206/263/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/320	130	244	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	38	191/251/283	92	308	7	10	38%	7%	51	-2.2	170/240/276	106	281	10	11	40%	8%	47	-2.6	142/220/248	106	230	11	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Dylan Campbell 2024 · A	22	44→40	40→45	49→60	37	214/258/304	90	295	7	11	29%	4%	58	-1.7	200/257/309	109	267	11	27	28%	7%	59	-1.6	192/252/309	117	251	12	30	28%	7%	55	-1.7
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→35	40→50	51→50	37	183/233/274	90	264	8	14	33%	5%	42	-2.9	191/240/282	91	286	8	10	34%	6%	47	-2.6	142/175/217	75	206	8	2	35%	4%	3	-1.4