Ovis Portes

P Dayton Dragons

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 167 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	15	7	39	3.69	2.77	28.4%	16.5%	—	K 19.4% · BB 22.7% · FIP 4.34
2025	20	ACIN	23	15	61	5.87	4.58	23.3%	17.1%	—	K 17.3% · BB 20.1% · FIP 5.64
2026	21	MIX2 levels	20	18	70	7.20	3.84	27.5%	13.1%	—	K 20.8% · BB 15.2% · FIP 4.92
2027PROJ	22	MLBCIN	10	10	52	6.02	6.02	18.6%	19.6%	-0.6
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCIN	6	6	32	5.67	5.56	19.8%	17.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCIN	8	8	47	5.39	5.27	20.6%	15.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control20Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 85%

CompsKyle Larsen (age 21) · Wilian Bormie (age 22) · Zach Linginfelter (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%18.6%

BB%19.6%

K-BB%-1.0%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	11	1	22	93	28	11	0	9%	2.0	20.5%	14.8%	5.7%	0.0%	1.21	3.24	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	11	1	22	93	28	11	0	9%	2.0	30.1%	11.8%	18.3%	0.0%	1.21	2.07	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	4	4	4	24	9	6	0	100%	1.1	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	12.46	3.10	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	4	4	4	24	9	6	0	100%	1.1	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	12.46	3.10	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	39	176	50	29	0	47%	2.6	19.4%	22.7%	-3.3%	0.0%	3.69	4.34	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	39	176	50	29	0	47%	2.6	19.4%	22.7%	-3.3%	0.0%	3.69	4.34	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	7	39	176	50	29	0	47%	2.6	28.4%	16.5%	11.9%	0.0%	3.69	2.77	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	23	15	61	287	67	49	6	65%	2.7	17.3%	20.1%	-2.9%	2.6%	5.87	5.64	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	23	15	61	287	67	49	6	65%	2.7	17.3%	20.1%	-2.9%	2.6%	5.87	5.64	—
2025	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	23	15	61	287	67	49	6	65%	2.7	23.3%	17.1%	6.3%	2.1%	5.87	4.58	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	70	335	92	44	8	90%	3.5	20.8%	15.2%	5.7%	3.0%	7.20	4.92	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	70	335	92	44	8	90%	3.5	20.8%	15.2%	5.7%	3.0%	7.20	4.92	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	70	335	92	44	8	90%	3.5	27.5%	13.1%	14.3%	2.4%	7.20	3.84	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CIN	10	10	52	220	41	43	6	100%	5.2	18.6%	19.6%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.02	6.02	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	65	276	55	47	8	100%	5.5	19.8%	17.0%	2.8%	2.9%	5.67	5.56	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	67	283	58	43	8	100%	5.6	20.6%	15.3%	5.3%	2.9%	5.39	5.27	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	68	286	60	41	8	100%	5.6	21.1%	14.2%	6.9%	2.9%	5.18	5.08	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	68	286	61	40	8	100%	6.2	21.4%	14.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.09	5.04	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	67	282	60	40	8	100%	6.1	21.4%	14.1%	7.2%	2.9%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	65	274	58	39	8	100%	5.9	21.2%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	5.16	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	6	6	32	135	27	23	4	100%	5.3	19.8%	17.0%	2.8%	2.9%	5.67	5.56	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	8	8	47	198	41	30	6	100%	5.9	20.6%	15.3%	5.3%	2.9%	5.39	5.27	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	9	9	55	232	49	33	7	100%	6.1	21.1%	14.2%	6.9%	2.9%	5.18	5.08	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	59	249	53	35	7	100%	5.9	21.4%	14.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.09	5.04	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	60	253	54	36	7	100%	6.0	21.4%	14.1%	7.2%	2.9%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	60	253	54	36	8	100%	6.0	21.2%	14.3%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	54	313	1324	278	194	39	100%	5.8	21.0%	14.6%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	4.79	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	177	124	25	100%	5.8	21.0%	14.6%	6.4%	2.9%	5.22	4.79	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		73	45	197	915	182	168	18	62%	2.7	19.8%	18.4%	1.4%	1.9%	5.53	4.81	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	46	200	929	184	171	18	62%	2.7	19.8%	18.4%	1.4%	1.9%	5.53	4.81	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ovis Portes (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	18.6%	19.6%	3.0%	—	5.30	20.5%	5.0%	200	-0.72	—	—	—
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	90
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	85
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	85
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	85
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	83
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	82
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	82
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	81
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	81
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	80
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	79
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	79
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	79
Edwin Núñez R 2024 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	16.5%	18.6%	2.0%	.275	6.42	16.4%	-9.0%	64	+1.29	4.31	288	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Alberto Tirado R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	22	SW	5.69	14.7%	18.5%	2.7%	.294	3.82	16.5%	-0.2%	33	-1.87	3.78	247	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	65	20.6%	15.4%	1.13	5.34
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*