Julio HenriquezOF Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 92 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .261 / .265
PA92
HR1
K%27
BB%8
BABIP246
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +6.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.7-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.426283031
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 39
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER39
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED65
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Marlins 192162 32531 145012 43 198309284592 86270 267 259 56
202217 ROKDSL Marlins 192153 39731 233612 43 255394359753 105317 1912 344 122
202318 ROKFCL Marlins 144129 23400 9296 41 178264209473 31230 206 210 19
202318 ROKFCL Marlins 144124 29600 13206 41 234333282616 48279 149 292 81
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 190164 40713 17439 288 244347354701 110314 239 305 92
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 190153 46913 28299 288 301437431868 131355 1515 397 162
202520 A2 teams 142123 18501 9508 112 146250211461 65230 356 224 29
202520 A2 teams 142118 22601 14368 112 186314263577 76253 2510 275 68
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AMIA 138120 251011 12443 52 208296333630 125312 329 275 69 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
YTD21 AMIA 138116 281111 16313 52 241348379727 138314 2212 324 106 +1 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.4
ROS21 AMIA 0% 9283 15401 7252 21 181261265526 84244 278 250 49 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
ROS21 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 240 230 34 +0 -0
FULL21 AMIA 138121 251011 12443 52 207296331627 124308 329 275 69 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
TOT21 AMIA 230203 401412 19695 73 197282305587 108284 308 265 61 -10 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBMIA 34% 268239 451114 21706 62 188271293564 105248 268 261 58 -13 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.6
202823 MLBMIA 48% 363324 651527 29927 82 201281324605 123252 258 270 65 -14 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.6
202924 MLBMIA 53% 428383 771828 341088 103 201280321601 120255 258 276 69 -15 +1 +0 -3 +12 -0.5
203025 MLBMIA 55% 463413 842029 381169 103 203285327612 123256 258 279 71 -15 +1 +0 -3 +13 -0.4
203126 MLBMIA 56% 482431 8720210 391209 113 202282327609 125256 258 279 72 -15 +1 +0 -3 +14 -0.4
202722 MLBMIA 34% 9283 15401 7242 21 181261265526 84244 268 242 44 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202823 MLBMIA 48% 176156 30713 14454 41 192276308584 115248 268 252 51 -10 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
202924 MLBMIA 53% 226202 39914 18574 51 193272307579 114251 258 257 55 -11 +1 +0 -1 +6 -0.6
203025 MLBMIA 55% 253225 441015 21635 62 196279316594 120252 258 260 57 -12 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.6
203126 MLBMIA 56% 268239 471115 22675 62 197278314592 117252 258 261 58 -13 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 1015906 17541418 8225620 237 193275307582 114247 258 257 55 -52 +2 +0 -6 +29 -2.8
/ 162G 650580 11326312 5316413 154 195278312590 117248 258 257 55 -33 +1 +0 -4 +18 -1.8
Career 27642451 4861091344 21770376 9428 198284307591 109257 258 269 64 -113 +8 +0 -17 +78 -4.5
/ 162G 650576 11426310 5116518 227 198284306589 108257 258 269 64 -27 +2 +0 -4 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Marlins 192153 39731 233612 43 255394359753 105317 1912 344 122 +5 -0 +5 1.0
202318 ROKFCL Marlins 144124 29600 13206 41 234333282616 48279 149 292 81 -3 +0 +4 0.1
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 190153 46913 28299 288 301437431868 131355 1515 397 162 +13 +2 +5 2.2
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads 122104 16400 9347 92 154267192459 38222 287 225 30 -10 +1 +3 -0.5
202520 ROKFCL Marlins 2014 6201 521 20 4296007861.386 357455 1025 579 301 +5 +0 +1 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,1752226198276317-7+0-1.9-1.0
/1626641215-4.0+0.0-1.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Julio Henriquez (OGILVIE) 21 35→40 34→39 60→65 54 197/282/305 108284 27 30% 8% 61 -0.5
Kristopher Negrón
2007 · A
21 43→51 39→45 56→55 44 206/262/291 85252 612 20% 5% 52 -1.6 214/276/298 84281 618 24% 6% 59 -1.1 230/293/33310329492323%6%72-0.2
Luke Williams
2018 · A
21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Junior Boni
2012 · A
21 44 37→40 55 48 204/278/285 80264 216 22% 8% 57 -1.2 200/272/276 76269 312 25% 8% 52 -1.6 146/233/1914420401325%9%11-0.9
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
Chris Roller
2018 · A
21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Johan Lopez
2021 · A
21 46 38→45 56→55 49 217/278/308 90250 417 15% 6% 63 -0.9 198/273/301 103304 913 35% 8% 60 -1.0 178/259/27597279101437%8%47-0.8
Troy Stokes Jr.
2017 · A
21 44→38 39→50 54→55 45 207/278/296 88274 519 25% 7% 59 -1.1 198/271/329 131274 1318 31% 8% 66 -0.6 184/263/319135258141933%8%58-1.0
Manuel Hilario
2014 · A
22 44 40→45 57→55 47 209/283/310 101272 618 24% 8% 66 -0.6 206/261/285 79284 510 28% 6% 50 -1.8 167/216/2084122441026%4%8-0.8
Jonatan Santana
2009 · A
21 43 36→40 53→55 49 203/268/269 66250 214 19% 8% 48 -1.9 199/251/270 71254 410 22% 6% 41 -2.3 182/226/239572343722%4%18-1.1
Ryan Vega
2017 · A
20 44 40 54→45 41 212/260/305 93270 89 24% 5% 54 -1.4 213/273/302 89289 87 27% 6% 59 -1.1 191/259/271812698630%7%44-1.2
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Anthony Jimenez
2017 · A
21 47→45 38→45 56→55 41 223/272/312 90286 520 23% 5% 60 -1.0 220/264/327 107331 918 35% 4% 62 -0.9 211/256/320109324101936%4%52-0.8
Lane Adams
2011 · A
21 44→46 37→50 57→60 40 206/257/280 74300 414 31% 6% 46 -2.0 213/262/320 107298 914 30% 6% 58 -1.2 228/279/363136311163631%6%74-0.0
Noel Cuevas
2013 · A
21 45→49 39→45 55 41 216/259/307 91271 619 22% 4% 53 -1.5 220/262/324 104287 820 25% 5% 59 -1.1 241/274/3409930471222%3%65-0.5
Albertson Asigen
2023 · A
21 48 35→40 57→55 48 221/293/288 67304 212 26% 8% 63 -0.8 222/301/309 87344 720 34% 9% 73 -0.1 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
Antony Fuentes
2017 · A
21 46 38→40 56→50 46 214/260/300 86238 413 13% 4% 52 -1.6 218/268/318 100283 88 25% 5% 61 -1.0 218/267/32811029111628%4%60-0.3
Glenn Santiago
2021 · A
20 43 37→40 55→45 46 200/274/277 78262 313 23% 7% 54 -1.4 206/269/298 92281 79 27% 7% 56 -1.3 184/247/261772747833%7%35-1.1
Jeter Downs
2019 · A
21 41→40 42→50 52→55 42 203/265/309 106263 1018 26% 6% 58 -1.2 207/272/357 150272 1718 30% 7% 74 -0.1 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Victor Soto
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
Robert Del Rosario
2013 · A
21 40 36→40 53→55 45 191/251/257 67255 415 26% 7% 38 -2.6 212/263/277 65287 313 26% 6% 47 -1.9 226/270/2694330301724%4%46-0.7