Estarlyn Morales
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 20 | ROKAZL Mariners | 203 | .258/.328/.346 | 2 | 2 | 31 | — | .180/.229/.228 |
| 2014 | 21 | ROKPulaski Marin… | 245 | .303/.388/.495 | 6 | 17 | 73 | — | .220/.283/.358 |
| 2015 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 483 | .248/.299/.344 | 5 | 20 | 36 | — | .195/.235/.269 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 102 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 167 | 300 | 262 | 562 | 95 | 232 | 26 | 13 | 264 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 192 | 165 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 230 | 328 | 309 | 637 | 79 | 257 | 10 | 11 | 292 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 258 | 216 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 255 | 357 | 380 | 737 | 125 | 274 | 11 | 13 | 328 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 203 | 182 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 328 | 346 | 675 | 88 | 319 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 245 | 208 | 63 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 46 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 303 | 388 | 495 | 883 | 192 | 352 | 19 | 10 | 378 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 47 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 244 | 457 | 67 | 235 | 23 | 2 | 209 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 436 | 403 | 103 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 97 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 256 | 309 | 355 | 664 | 99 | 325 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 102 | 88 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 102 | 210 | 148 | 358 | 45 | 156 | 32 | 9 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 192 | 171 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 146 | 228 | 181 | 409 | 35 | 169 | 12 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 258 | 229 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 162 | 238 | 227 | 465 | 66 | 175 | 14 | 9 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 203 | 189 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 180 | 229 | 228 | 456 | 48 | 254 | 29 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 245 | 218 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 220 | 283 | 358 | 640 | 138 | 267 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 47 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 170 | 178 | 348 | 44 | 212 | 32 | 2 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 436 | 412 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 138 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 201 | 242 | 279 | 521 | 78 | 285 | 32 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 102 | 88 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 102 | 210 | 148 | 358 | 45 | 164 | 32 | 9 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 102 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 167 | 300 | 262 | 562 | 95 | 232 | 26 | 13 | 264 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 192 | 171 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 146 | 228 | 181 | 409 | 35 | 170 | 12 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 192 | 165 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 230 | 328 | 309 | 637 | 79 | 257 | 10 | 11 | 292 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 258 | 229 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 162 | 238 | 227 | 465 | 66 | 179 | 14 | 9 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 258 | 216 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 255 | 357 | 380 | 737 | 125 | 274 | 11 | 13 | 328 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 203 | 189 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 180 | 229 | 228 | 456 | 48 | 252 | 29 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Mariners | — | 203 | 182 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 258 | 328 | 346 | 675 | 88 | 319 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 245 | 218 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 220 | 283 | 358 | 640 | 138 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 245 | 208 | 63 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 46 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 303 | 388 | 495 | 883 | 192 | 352 | 19 | 10 | 378 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 457 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 153 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 195 | 235 | 269 | 504 | 74 | 282 | 32 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 448 | 111 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 108 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 248 | 299 | 344 | 643 | 96 | 315 | 22 | 6 | 290 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 102 | 89 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 101 | 210 | 146 | 356 | 45 | 156 | 32 | 9 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 192 | 172 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 145 | 228 | 180 | 408 | 35 | 169 | 12 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 258 | 233 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 159 | 238 | 223 | 461 | 64 | 175 | 14 | 9 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 203 | 189 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 180 | 229 | 228 | 456 | 48 | 254 | 29 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 245 | 224 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 214 | 283 | 348 | 631 | 134 | 267 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 456 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 153 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 195 | 235 | 270 | 505 | 75 | 278 | 32 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1483 | 1352 | 242 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 90 | 368 | 18 | 60 | 27 | 179 | 240 | 251 | 491 | 72 | 234 | 25 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -113 | +1 | +0 | -16 | +32 | -9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 161 | 8 | 26 | 12 | 179 | 239 | 251 | 490 | 73 | 234 | 25 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -50 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AClinton LumberKings · 436 PAwOBA .291 → .228 (−63)K% 22.2% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.25% | ÷0.958 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.73% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.990 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×0.990 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×0.990 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.847 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .291 → .228; ISO .099 → .080; BABIP .325 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 47 PAwOBA .203 → .162 (−41)K% 23.4% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.40% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.13% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 1.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 13.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 7.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .203 → .162; ISO .067 → .053; BABIP .235 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKPulaski Mariners · 245 PAwOBA .376 → .276 (−101)K% 18.8% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.972 | ×0.975 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.972 | ×0.975 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.972 | ×0.975 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 2.89% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .376 → .276; ISO .192 → .142; BABIP .352 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Mariners · 203 PAwOBA .299 → .214 (−85)K% 19.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.70% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×0.985 | 21.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.011 | ×0.985 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.011 | ×0.985 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .299 → .214; ISO .088 → .061; BABIP .319 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Mariners · 258 PAwOBA .321 → .213 (−107)K% 11.2% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 13.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.99% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .321 → .213; ISO .125 → .071; BABIP .274 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 DSLDSL Mariners · 192 PAwOBA .285 → .194 (−92)K% 10.4% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 13.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 2.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.32% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .285 → .194; ISO .079 → .047; BABIP .257 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 DSLDSL Mariners · 102 PAwOBA .258 → .174 (−84)K% 26.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.025 | ×1.008 | 11.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.025 | ×1.008 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.025 | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.83% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .258 → .174; ISO .095 → .055; BABIP .232 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).