Erick Padilla — OGILVIE

Erick Padilla P DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 23 RHP 5'10" / 145 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%21.2%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	16	0	28	122	25	17	0	0%	1.7	13.9%	17.4%	-3.5%	0.0%	4.23	4.13	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	16	0	28	122	25	17	0	0%	1.7	20.5%	13.9%	6.6%	0.0%	4.23	3.14	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	8	0	9	45	4	9	0	0%	1.1	8.9%	20.0%	-11.1%	0.0%	8.31	4.88	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	8	0	9	45	4	9	0	0%	1.1	8.9%	20.0%	-11.1%	0.0%	8.31	5.29	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	17	78	19	15	1	0%	1.3	16.6%	24.0%	-7.5%	1.3%	2.70	5.47	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	17	78	19	15	1	0%	1.3	16.6%	24.0%	-7.5%	1.3%	2.70	5.47	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	13	0	17	78	19	15	1	0%	1.3	24.4%	19.2%	5.1%	1.3%	2.70	4.30	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	15	0	17	103	18	17	0	0%	1.1	11.9%	20.6%	-8.7%	0.0%	11.65	4.71	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	15	0	17	103	18	17	0	0%	1.1	11.9%	20.6%	-8.7%	0.0%	11.65	4.71	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	15	0	17	103	18	17	0	0%	1.1	17.5%	16.5%	1.0%	0.0%	11.65	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PIT	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	16.2%	5.1%	3.0%	5.35	5.35	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	19	12	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.0%	8.0%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	22.0%	14.0%	8.0%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.0%	8.0%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.0%	8.0%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		52	0	70	348	46	70	1	0%	1.3	13.3%	20.2%	-6.9%	0.3%	6.17	4.70	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	0	200	994	132	201	3	0%	1.3	13.3%	20.2%	-6.9%	0.3%	6.17	4.70	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erick Padilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	21.2%	16.2%	3.0%	—	5.00	22.0%	8.0%	20	-0.35	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	93
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	88
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	87
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	87
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	86
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	86
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	86
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	86
David Ellingson R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	23	SU	4.15	20.5%	14.6%	1.7%	.362	3.52	18.0%	10.2%	105	-0.63	3.43	150	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	86
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	85
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	85