Dub Gleed — OGILVIE

Dub GleedSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION295 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .347

PA196

HR4

K%25

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$14M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	274	236	51	14	0	2	28	65	8	5	3	216	320	301	621	85	288	24	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	274	220	56	15	0	2	42	48	8	5	3	255	390	350	740	95	316	18	15	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	TOR	—	295	263	55	11	1	8	20	79	7	0	2	209	283	350	633	141	261	27	7	275	69	-10	-1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
YTD	23	A+	TOR	—	295	252	66	14	1	10	31	58	7	0	2	262	359	444	803	183	298	20	11	353	129	+10	-1	+0	+3	+8	2.1
ROS	23	A+	TOR	0%	196	175	39	8	1	4	15	49	4	2	1	222	298	347	645	125	275	25	8	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						277	0	0	273	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	A+	TOR	—	296	264	55	11	1	8	20	79	7	0	2	208	282	348	630	140	260	27	7	275	69	-10	-1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
TOT	23	A+	TOR	—	491	438	94	19	2	12	35	128	11	2	3	214	289	349	638	134	270	26	7	279	72	-16	-1	+0	+5	+14	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	38%	392	352	79	16	2	9	31	96	6	3	2	224	298	358	656	134	278	24	8	292	82	-8	-0	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2028	25	MLB	TOR	55%	429	385	87	18	2	10	34	104	7	4	3	226	300	361	662	135	279	24	8	297	85	-7	-0	+0	+5	+12	0.9
2029	26	MLB	TOR	64%	451	405	92	19	2	11	36	108	7	4	3	227	301	365	667	138	280	24	8	299	87	-7	-0	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2030	27	MLB	TOR	66%	455	408	92	19	2	11	37	110	7	4	3	225	301	363	664	137	280	24	8	300	87	-6	-0	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2031	28	MLB	TOR	67%	455	407	92	19	2	11	38	110	7	4	3	226	303	364	667	138	279	24	8	299	87	-7	-0	-1	+5	+13	1.0
2032	29	MLB	TOR	66%	447	400	90	18	2	11	37	109	7	3	2	225	302	362	664	137	279	24	8	297	85	-7	-0	-1	+5	+13	0.9
2027	24	MLB	TOR	38%	149	134	30	6	1	3	12	36	2	1	1	224	297	351	648	127	279	24	8	281	73	-4	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TOR	55%	238	213	49	10	1	6	19	57	4	2	1	230	305	371	676	141	280	24	8	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2029	26	MLB	TOR	64%	287	257	58	12	1	7	23	69	5	2	2	226	302	362	664	136	281	24	8	288	79	-7	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2030	27	MLB	TOR	66%	299	268	60	12	1	7	24	72	5	3	2	224	300	354	654	131	281	24	8	289	79	-7	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB	TOR	67%	304	271	61	13	1	7	25	74	5	2	2	225	302	358	660	133	281	24	8	288	79	-7	-0	-0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB	TOR	66%	294	263	59	12	1	7	24	72	5	2	2	224	301	357	659	133	280	24	8	286	77	-8	-0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1572	1407	317	65	6	37	127	380	26	12	10	225	301	359	660	134	281	24	8	287	78	-39	-2	-1	+17	+45	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	27	2	15	53	157	11	5	4	223	301	354	655	131	278	24	8	287	78	-16	-1	-1	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3099	2768	622	131	13	69	256	751	53	29	20	225	303	356	659	131	282	24	8	295	84	-57	-2	-2	+33	+88	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	27	3	14	54	157	11	6	4	224	302	353	655	129	281	24	8	295	84	-12	-0	-0	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	102	87	24	7	1	11	20	1	1	3	276	360	391	751	115	343	20	11	333	113	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	126	101	24	4	1	19	24	5	2	0	238	381	307	688	69	303	19	15	328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	46	32	8	4	0	12	4	2	2	0	250	478	375	853	125	286	9	26	404	168	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,572	38	13	226	299	363	+17	+12	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	16	5	226	299	363	+7.1	+5.1	1.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dub Gleed (OGILVIE)	23	41→46	40→45	44→49	54	214/289/349	134	270	12	2	26%	7%	72	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	46→50	42→45	50→45	45	221/296/333	112	299	9	8	28%	8%	78	+0.2	196/271/298	102	276	9	9	30%	8%	58	-1.2	174/252/267	93	244	10	9	31%	9%	39	-1.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA	24	43→49	45→50	48→45	46	216/277/342	126	275	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	233/304/373	140	288	16	8	23%	9%	91	+1.1	234/306/379	145	288	18	7	24%	9%	90	+1.0
✕Jeremy Lucas 2014 · AA	23	47→42	44→50	51→30	54	226/312/350	124	287	10	4	23%	10%	89	+0.9	223/292/355	132	275	14	3	23%	8%	82	+0.5	217/287/350	133	263	15	1	23%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Quincy McAfee 2022 · AA	24	42	43→45	48→45	50	204/300/321	117	266	10	10	26%	10%	77	+0.1	193/276/316	123	255	13	8	28%	8%	66	-0.6	179/261/302	123	229	15	8	28%	7%	53	-0.9
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Zelous Wheeler 2010 · A	23	47→52	42→50	47→45	47	228/298/335	107	291	9	9	24%	8%	79	+0.3	238/311/361	123	287	11	8	20%	8%	91	+1.1	239/314/372	132	281	13	7	19%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA	22	50	39→45	48→50	48	235/305/324	89	283	6	8	19%	7%	79	+0.3	210/269/326	116	284	12	9	29%	6%	64	-0.8	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
●Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	45→55	44→50	51→50	47	220/282/343	123	279	11	11	25%	8%	73	-0.1	233/296/347	114	304	11	9	25%	8%	80	+0.4	244/304/360	116	311	11	6	24%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Chris Nelson 2009 · AA	23	45→52	45→50	51→50	44	223/277/355	131	281	12	12	24%	6%	75	-0.0	231/280/360	129	283	13	11	22%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/369	125	306	12	6	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	44→54	43→50	53→50	44	216/281/329	114	290	9	11	28%	7%	70	-0.3	243/299/384	141	299	12	10	22%	7%	91	+1.1	247/310/396	149	300	13	11	21%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Domingo Leyba 2019 · AA	23	48→50	42→50	47→45	47	234/285/336	102	275	9	7	18%	6%	72	-0.2	225/272/364	139	264	15	4	21%	5%	75	-0.0	230/290/372	142	257	18	6	18%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Steve Tolleson 2007 · A	23	46→53	42→45	44→50	51	225/299/332	107	273	9	9	21%	9%	78	+0.2	242/309/344	102	308	8	14	22%	8%	85	+0.7	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Curt Casali 2012 · A	23	45	45→50	49→30	50	221/286/354	133	255	12	7	19%	8%	79	+0.3	238/309/373	135	285	13	3	20%	8%	93	+1.3	237/318/363	126	291	12	1	22%	9%	91	+0.7