Trey Cooper — OGILVIE

Trey Cooper P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%22.5%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	37	1	51	234	64	38	5	3%	1.4	20.6%	18.9%	1.8%	2.7%	4.21	5.25	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	37	1	51	234	64	38	5	3%	1.4	20.6%	18.9%	1.8%	2.7%	4.21	5.25	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	CWS	13	1	27	111	34	14	3	8%	2.1	30.6%	12.6%	18.0%	2.7%	3.04	3.59	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	CWS	24	0	25	123	30	24	2	0%	1.0	24.4%	19.5%	4.9%	1.6%	5.47	4.40	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	49	0	52	218	50	26	6	0%	1.1	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.0%	4.76	4.68	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	52	220	52	24	6	0%	1.0	23.5%	11.1%	12.4%	2.9%	4.60	4.52	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	52	220	52	24	7	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.0%	12.8%	3.0%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	49	0	51	217	51	24	7	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	21	0	22	93	22	11	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.1%	11.1%	3.0%	4.76	4.68	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	33	0	35	148	35	16	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	11.1%	12.4%	2.9%	4.60	4.52	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	39	0	41	173	41	19	5	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.0%	12.8%	3.0%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	42	0	44	186	44	20	6	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		135	0	142	599	141	67	18	0%	1.1	23.6%	11.2%	12.4%	3.0%	4.58	4.15	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	94	25	0%	1.1	23.6%	11.2%	12.4%	3.0%	4.58	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		37	1	51	234	48	44	6	3%	1.4	20.6%	18.9%	1.8%	2.7%	4.21	5.25	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	4	200	912	188	172	25	3%	1.4	20.6%	18.9%	1.8%	2.7%	4.21	5.25	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey Cooper (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	22.5%	13.6%	3.0%	—	4.56	23.5%	12.1%	156	-0.38	—	—	—
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	91
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	90
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	90
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	88
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	88
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	87
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	87
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	86
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	84
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	84
Chazz Martinez L 2023 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	22.2%	12.7%	1.7%	.361	3.43	20.5%	7.7%	135	-0.33	3.09	199	83
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	83
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	83
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	83
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	82
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	82
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	82
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	81
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	49	23.4%	11.6%	1.15	4.65
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33