Brandon Nigh — OGILVIE

Brandon Nigh3B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 R/R A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .277 / .295

PA142

HR2

K%32

BB%8

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	63	52	11	1	0	0	9	24	2	2	0	212	349	231	580	19	393	38	14	287	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	65	11	2	1	1	18	22	2	2	1	169	360	277	637	108	233	25	21	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	63	56	9	1	0	0	5	31	2	2	0	161	254	179	433	18	338	49	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	72	10	2	1	1	12	30	2	2	1	139	279	236	515	97	196	34	14	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	127	18	2	1	1	18	61	4	4	1	142	268	197	465	55	258	41	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	150	117	22	3	1	1	27	46	4	4	1	188	356	256	612	68	296	31	18	298	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	127	18	2	1	1	18	61	4	4	1	142	268	197	465	55	256	41	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	127	18	2	1	1	18	61	4	4	1	142	268	197	465	55	256	41	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	260	233	47	8	2	4	22	82	3	4	1	201	279	298	577	96	290	32	8	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	214	191	39	7	1	3	18	66	3	4	1	205	283	308	591	103	291	31	8	269	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	301	269	56	10	2	5	25	92	4	5	1	208	285	316	601	108	291	31	8	274	71	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	361	323	68	12	2	7	31	109	4	6	2	210	287	322	610	113	291	30	9	277	73	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	390	349	73	13	2	7	33	117	5	6	2	211	288	324	612	113	290	30	8	278	74	-12	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	407	364	76	13	2	8	35	121	5	5	2	210	287	323	611	113	289	30	9	277	74	-13	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	207	285	311	596	104	295	31	8	272	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	133	119	24	4	1	2	11	41	2	2	1	210	287	319	607	109	295	31	8	276	71	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	183	163	34	6	1	3	16	55	2	3	1	212	289	325	615	113	295	30	9	279	73	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	204	183	39	7	1	4	17	61	2	3	1	213	290	327	617	114	294	30	8	280	74	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	217	194	42	8	1	4	18	65	3	3	1	213	289	326	616	114	293	30	8	279	74	-7	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	801	717	150	27	4	14	67	242	10	12	4	209	286	317	602	107	292	30	8	278	69	-26	+1	-0	+3	+17	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	121	22	3	11	54	196	8	10	3	208	284	313	596	105	291	30	8	278	69	-21	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1965	1750	355	61	11	33	172	611	27	32	10	203	284	307	591	104	288	31	9	270	69	-60	+2	-1	+6	+39	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	118	20	4	11	57	202	9	11	3	204	286	309	595	105	289	31	9	270	69	-22	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	944	17	14	209	283	319	+3	+2	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	12	10	+2.4	+1.1	-0.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Nigh (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	199/277/295	96	290	2	2	32%	8%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	206/285/309	103	308	10	15	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/279/312	115	290	12	22	34%	9%	70	-0.9	181/270/293	112	261	13	29	33%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2024 · A	23	44	40	50→45	43	209/272/301	92	295	8	8	30%	7%	63	-1.3	199/260/287	88	290	8	9	32%	7%	55	-1.9	146/208/202	56	213	6	8	33%	6%	15	-1.6
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	44→45	50	37	203/257/328	125	309	11	8	36%	6%	64	-1.3	224/268/345	121	328	14	5	34%	5%	72	-0.7	230/268/353	123	329	17	1	34%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→48	41→45	44→50	44	200/272/294	94	288	9	7	32%	8%	62	-1.4	226/280/344	118	285	12	7	24%	6%	76	-0.4	220/276/336	116	280	10	6	24%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Jose Peroza 2023 · A	23	44→46	43→45	49→45	41	211/277/323	112	307	11	5	33%	7%	71	-0.8	220/288/342	122	335	12	5	35%	7%	79	-0.2	215/290/349	135	332	13	4	36%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	41→47	43→45	48→45	47	203/269/312	108	262	11	6	26%	8%	65	-1.2	220/290/337	117	281	12	7	25%	9%	78	-0.3	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	38→48	41→40	51→50	43	187/258/284	97	272	8	13	32%	8%	55	-2.0	202/275/294	92	293	7	12	31%	8%	63	-1.4	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	214/267/303	89	277	7	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	38→47	44→45	52→55	40	192/259/316	124	275	10	12	33%	7%	62	-1.4	224/270/327	103	312	8	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	233/272/321	88	320	6	8	28%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Jake Rucker 2023 · AAA	23	42	41→45	48→50	44	205/278/313	108	281	8	12	28%	7%	69	-0.9	206/265/307	101	267	9	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Kody Huff 2024 · A	23	45→42	39→45	48→45	44	210/281/297	86	301	6	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	212/281/318	106	292	10	7	29%	8%	71	-0.8	208/282/330	122	275	12	8	27%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Andrew Pintar 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→45	42→60	40	211/269/301	90	297	7	10	30%	6%	62	-1.4	221/284/327	106	309	9	23	29%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/331	108	311	10	31	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→50	40→45	48→45	37	199/248/295	96	286	8	8	32%	5%	52	-2.2	221/269/341	120	301	12	6	29%	5%	71	-0.8	222/288/333	111	299	11	7	28%	7%	74	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps