Fidel Ulloa — OGILVIE

Fidel Ulloa P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.26

FIP4.26

K%24.1%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%14.3%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	11	0	12	51	15	8	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	18.5%	3.3%	7.6%	4.50	7.79	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	11	0	12	51	15	8	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	18.5%	3.3%	7.6%	4.50	7.79	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	11	0	12	51	15	8	3	0%	1.1	29.4%	15.7%	13.7%	5.9%	4.50	5.85	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	0	56	223	72	16	2	0%	1.4	24.4%	8.9%	15.5%	1.3%	1.46	2.87	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	0	56	223	72	16	2	0%	1.4	24.4%	8.9%	15.5%	1.3%	1.46	2.87	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	0	56	223	72	16	2	0%	1.4	32.3%	7.2%	25.1%	0.9%	1.46	1.84	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	0	46	204	49	26	5	0%	1.3	19.5%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	3.72	4.85	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	0	46	204	49	26	5	0%	1.3	19.5%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	3.72	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	COL	36	0	46	204	49	26	5	0%	1.3	24.0%	12.7%	11.3%	2.5%	3.72	4.03	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	49	0	51	217	53	20	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.3%	15.3%	2.8%	4.19	4.14	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	50	0	52	220	55	20	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.0%	15.8%	2.8%	4.13	4.08	+0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	50	0	52	220	55	20	6	0%	1.0	25.0%	9.0%	16.0%	2.8%	4.10	4.07	+0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	49	0	51	216	54	20	6	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.0%	15.9%	2.9%	4.11	4.12	+0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	22	0	23	97	24	9	3	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.3%	15.3%	2.8%	4.19	4.14	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	33	0	35	148	37	13	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	9.0%	15.8%	2.8%	4.13	4.08	+0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	39	0	41	173	43	16	5	0%	1.1	25.0%	9.0%	16.0%	2.8%	4.10	4.07	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	42	0	44	186	46	17	5	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.0%	15.9%	2.9%	4.11	4.12	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		136	0	142	601	149	54	17	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.1%	15.8%	2.9%	4.12	3.72	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	76	24	0%	1.1	24.8%	9.1%	15.8%	2.9%	4.12	3.72	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		88	0	114	478	105	58	13	0%	1.3	22.0%	12.1%	9.9%	2.7%	2.69	4.24	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	841	185	102	22	0%	1.3	22.0%	12.1%	9.9%	2.7%	2.69	4.24	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fidel Ulloa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.26	24.1%	9.8%	2.9%	—	4.10	24.8%	15.7%	155	-0.16	—	—	—
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	91
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	91
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	90
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	89
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	89
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	89
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	88
Carlos Navas R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	22.0%	8.4%	2.5%	.283	3.52	22.0%	16.1%	229	-0.15	2.98	385	88
Justin Yeager R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SU	3.59	26.6%	12.3%	2.1%	.281	3.96	25.4%	12.6%	103	+0.37	3.32	262	88
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.32	286	87
Donovan Benoit R 2022 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	25.3%	12.4%	1.9%	.284	4.43	17.6%	4.3%	138	+0.85	3.58	183	87
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	87
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	86
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	86
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.56	249	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	86
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	86
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	86
Taylor Floyd R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	23	SU	3.48	27.7%	12.1%	2.2%	.291	4.30	19.4%	6.5%	183	+0.82	3.48	359	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	24.7%	9.2%	1.11	4.15
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58