Wady Mendez
CF Hickory Crawdads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ADown East Woo… | 262 | .233/.336/.291 | 1 | 23 | 38 | — | .186/.267/.233 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/ATEX | 195 | .209/.332/.319 | 3 | 11 | 40 | — | .166/.249/.245 |
| 2026 | 21 | ATEX | 68 | .193/.324/.298 | 1 | 0 | 32 | — | .150/.250/.250 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBTEX | 178 | .198/.281/.286 | 2 | 4 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBTEX | 37 | .204/.287/.306 | 1 | 1 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBTEX | 84 | .208/.291/.319 | 2 | 2 | 73 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | — | 192 | 169 | 51 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 48 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 382 | 509 | 891 | 207 | 398 | 25 | 9 | 389 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 165 | 141 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 270 | 372 | 411 | 783 | 142 | 462 | 38 | 13 | 352 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 227 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 93 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 233 | 336 | 291 | 627 | 57 | 391 | 35 | 12 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 67 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 154 | 343 | 173 | 516 | 19 | 222 | 24 | 21 | 270 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 128 | 111 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 234 | 325 | 387 | 713 | 153 | 295 | 25 | 11 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 193 | 324 | 298 | 622 | 105 | 286 | 31 | 15 | 293 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL TEX Blue | — | 192 | 175 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 61 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 177 | 246 | 286 | 532 | 109 | 255 | 32 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 165 | 149 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 95 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 134 | 213 | 195 | 408 | 60 | 355 | 58 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 236 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 124 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 186 | 267 | 233 | 500 | 47 | 377 | 47 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 67 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 121 | 239 | 138 | 377 | 17 | 195 | 30 | 12 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 128 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 190 | 254 | 302 | 556 | 112 | 265 | 34 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 100 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL TEX Blue | — | 192 | 175 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 61 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 177 | 246 | 286 | 532 | 109 | 257 | 32 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL TEX Blue | — | 192 | 169 | 51 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 48 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 382 | 509 | 891 | 207 | 398 | 25 | 9 | 389 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 165 | 149 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 95 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 134 | 213 | 195 | 408 | 60 | 352 | 58 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Rangers | — | 165 | 141 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 270 | 372 | 411 | 783 | 142 | 462 | 38 | 13 | 352 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 236 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 124 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 186 | 267 | 233 | 500 | 47 | 387 | 47 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 227 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 93 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 233 | 336 | 291 | 627 | 57 | 391 | 35 | 12 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 173 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 168 | 254 | 249 | 502 | 81 | 250 | 33 | 9 | 227 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 195 | 163 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 209 | 332 | 319 | 651 | 110 | 272 | 25 | 14 | 301 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 100 | 267 | 43 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 193 | 324 | 298 | 622 | 105 | 286 | 31 | 15 | 293 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL TEX Blue | — | 192 | 174 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 61 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 178 | 246 | 287 | 533 | 109 | 255 | 32 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 165 | 149 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 95 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 134 | 213 | 195 | 408 | 60 | 355 | 58 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 234 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 124 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 188 | 267 | 235 | 502 | 47 | 377 | 47 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 173 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 168 | 254 | 249 | 502 | 81 | 241 | 33 | 9 | 227 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 100 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 262 | 234 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 124 | 3 | 23 | 3 | 188 | 267 | 235 | 502 | 47 | 377 | 47 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 173 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 168 | 254 | 249 | 502 | 81 | 241 | 33 | 9 | 227 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 68 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 100 | 259 | 43 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | TEX | 0% | 178 | 157 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 198 | 281 | 286 | 567 | 88 | 269 | 28 | 10 | 261 | 63 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | TEX | 34% | 108 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 286 | 303 | 589 | 100 | 271 | 27 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | TEX | 46% | 181 | 160 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 290 | 315 | 606 | 107 | 273 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 52% | 245 | 218 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 211 | 293 | 323 | 616 | 113 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 280 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 300 | 266 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 78 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 212 | 294 | 328 | 623 | 116 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 77 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 328 | 291 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 85 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 213 | 295 | 330 | 625 | 117 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 54% | 342 | 304 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 89 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 211 | 293 | 325 | 618 | 114 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 58% | 340 | 303 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 90 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 209 | 290 | 319 | 610 | 110 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | TEX | 34% | 37 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 287 | 306 | 592 | 102 | 270 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | TEX | 46% | 84 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 291 | 319 | 610 | 110 | 272 | 26 | 10 | 278 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 52% | 127 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 116 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 163 | 145 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 295 | 332 | 627 | 119 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 285 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 178 | 157 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 296 | 334 | 629 | 120 | 275 | 26 | 10 | 285 | 78 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 54% | 186 | 165 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 294 | 329 | 623 | 117 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 76 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 58% | 196 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 291 | 323 | 614 | 113 | 273 | 27 | 9 | 279 | 74 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 971 | 863 | 183 | 33 | 5 | 20 | 90 | 254 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 212 | 294 | 331 | 625 | 119 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 63 | -28 | +2 | -1 | +3 | +21 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 60 | 170 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 211 | 293 | 327 | 620 | 116 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 63 | -19 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2776 | 2476 | 489 | 90 | 19 | 41 | 250 | 871 | 29 | 94 | 30 | 197 | 279 | 299 | 578 | 101 | 284 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | -56 | +3 | -2 | +7 | +41 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 114 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 204 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 197 | 279 | 298 | 577 | 102 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 261 | 63 | -19 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AHickory Crawdads · 68 PAwOBA .286 → .215 (−71)K% 30.9% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | — | 20.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | — | 2.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 2.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .215; ISO .105 → .078; BABIP .286 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 128 PAwOBA .313 → .243 (−70)K% 25.0% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.52% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 20.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.123 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×1.015 | 2.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .313 → .243; ISO .153 → .115; BABIP .295 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 67 PAwOBA .265 → .195 (−71)K% 23.9% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.88% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.90% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 12.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 17.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .265 → .195; ISO .019 → .018; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 262 PAwOBA .289 → .225 (−64)K% 35.5% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.50% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 47.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.21% | ÷0.983 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.09% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.030 | 31.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.030 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×1.030 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .289 → .225; ISO .057 → .041; BABIP .391 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rangers · 165 PAwOBA .344 → .195 (−149)K% 37.6% → 57.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.58% | ÷0.940 | ×1.440 | — | — | 57.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.11% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.19% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 10.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.114 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×1.008 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.124 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .344 → .195; ISO .142 → .070; BABIP .462 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL TEX Blue · 192 PAwOBA .379 → .232 (−148)K% 25.0% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.85% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.62% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 17.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 3.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.148 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.36% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .379 → .232; ISO .207 → .105; BABIP .398 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).