Wady Mendez — OGILVIE

Wady MendezCF Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 155 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	192	169	51	9	7	4	18	48	4	15	5	302	382	509	891	207	398	25	9	389	150	+11	+1	—	—	+4	1.7
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	165	141	38	12	1	2	21	62	2	6	5	270	372	411	783	142	462	38	13	352	125	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	227	53	8	1	1	32	93	3	23	3	233	336	291	627	57	391	35	12	295	86	-4	+3	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	20	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	67	52	8	1	0	0	14	16	1	5	1	154	343	173	516	19	222	24	21	270	69	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	128	111	26	4	2	3	14	32	1	6	2	234	325	387	713	153	295	25	11	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	192	176	34	6	4	2	11	72	4	15	5	193	257	307	563	114	307	38	6	251	56	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	165	149	20	6	0	1	13	95	2	6	5	134	213	195	408	60	352	58	8	194	17	-16	-1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	239	42	6	1	1	20	129	3	23	3	176	248	222	470	46	373	49	8	212	30	-22	+3	—	—	+6	-1.3
2025	20	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	67	57	7	1	0	0	9	21	1	5	1	123	254	140	394	18	200	31	13	201	22	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	128	117	21	3	1	2	8	46	1	6	2	179	238	274	512	94	263	36	6	237	47	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	192	176	34	6	4	2	11	72	4	15	5	193	257	307	563	114	311	38	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	192	169	51	9	7	4	18	48	4	15	5	302	382	509	891	207	398	25	9	389	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	165	149	20	6	0	1	13	95	2	6	5	134	213	195	408	60	352	58	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	165	141	38	12	1	2	21	62	2	6	5	270	372	411	783	142	462	38	13	352	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	239	42	6	1	1	20	129	3	23	3	176	248	222	470	46	376	49	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	227	53	8	1	1	32	93	3	23	3	233	336	291	627	57	391	35	12	295	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	195	174	28	4	1	2	17	67	2	11	3	161	244	230	473	69	243	34	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	195	163	34	5	2	3	28	48	2	11	3	209	332	319	651	110	272	25	14	301	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	192	175	34	6	4	2	11	72	4	15	5	194	257	309	565	114	307	38	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	165	149	20	6	0	1	13	95	2	6	5	134	213	195	408	60	352	58	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	237	42	6	1	1	20	129	3	23	3	177	248	224	472	46	373	49	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	195	174	28	4	1	2	17	67	2	11	3	161	244	230	473	69	241	34	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	165	149	20	6	0	1	13	95	2	6	5	134	213	195	408	60	352	58	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	262	237	42	6	1	1	20	129	3	23	3	177	248	224	472	46	373	49	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	195	174	28	4	1	2	17	67	2	11	3	161	244	230	473	69	241	34	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	TEX	—	68	61	9	1	1	1	6	30	1	0	2	148	235	246	481	98	267	44	9	209	28	-6	-1	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	TEX	—	68	57	11	1	1	1	10	21	1	0	2	193	324	298	622	105	286	31	15	293	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	TEX	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		267	27	9	249	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	TEX	—	79	71	10	1	1	1	7	33	1	0	2	141	228	225	453	85	243	42	9	215	31	-6	-1	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	261	233	46	9	1	4	23	75	3	6	2	197	278	296	574	99	271	29	9	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	359	320	66	12	2	7	32	100	4	8	3	206	287	322	608	116	274	28	9	274	71	-12	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	426	380	79	15	2	8	38	116	5	10	4	208	288	321	609	113	275	27	9	280	75	-13	+0	+0	+2	+9	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	463	414	87	16	2	10	41	125	5	11	4	210	289	331	620	121	276	27	9	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	485	433	92	17	3	10	44	131	5	12	4	212	293	335	627	122	276	27	9	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	494	441	93	17	3	10	45	134	5	12	4	211	291	331	622	120	276	27	9	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	494	440	92	17	2	10	46	135	5	12	4	209	291	325	616	116	275	27	9	282	77	-13	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	488	435	91	17	2	10	45	134	5	12	4	209	291	326	617	117	275	27	9	281	76	-14	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	480	427	87	16	2	9	45	133	5	11	4	204	287	314	601	110	274	28	9	278	74	-15	+1	-2	+2	+10	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	90	81	15	3	0	1	8	26	1	2	1	185	267	259	526	74	273	29	9	259	65	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	174	155	32	6	1	3	15	48	2	4	1	206	285	316	601	110	276	28	9	269	71	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	225	201	43	8	1	5	20	61	2	5	2	214	291	338	630	124	278	27	9	275	75	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	253	225	48	9	1	6	23	68	3	6	2	213	295	342	637	129	278	27	9	278	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	270	241	51	9	1	6	24	73	3	7	2	212	291	332	623	120	278	27	9	279	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	272	242	51	9	1	6	25	74	3	7	2	211	293	331	623	120	278	27	9	279	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	270	240	50	9	1	6	25	74	3	7	2	208	291	329	620	121	277	27	9	278	77	-7	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	260	231	49	9	1	6	24	71	3	6	2	212	295	338	632	126	277	27	9	277	76	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	252	224	47	9	1	5	23	70	3	6	2	210	292	326	618	116	276	28	9	274	74	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2066	1840	386	71	8	44	187	565	23	50	16	210	291	329	620	119	276	27	9	276	68	-60	+4	-2	+7	+45	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	122	22	3	14	59	178	7	16	5	211	292	332	624	121	277	27	9	276	68	-19	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4775	4271	858	158	25	84	421	1449	53	149	49	201	281	309	589	108	281	30	9	269	68	-116	+6	-4	+14	+86	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	116	22	3	11	57	197	7	20	7	200	279	305	583	105	279	30	9	269	68	-19	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,248	43	55	209	287	324	+8	+15	0.5	0.7
/162	664	13	16	+2.4	+4.4	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wady Mendez (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	33→38	57→62	56	187/266/270	83	267	2	4	30%	9%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	42	-2.9	244/270/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	51	-2.2	195/240/267	72	293	5	9	33%	5%	42	-2.9	148/177/184	36	220	4	12	34%	3%	-3	-1.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	200/264/298	98	277	8	12	29%	7%	59	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	197/268/260	62	262	2	10	23%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Shard Munroe 2017 · A	21	41	38→40	58→50	49	194/268/275	81	255	4	16	24%	8%	55	-1.9	198/267/293	95	283	8	13	30%	8%	59	-1.6	176/250/270	95	256	9	14	33%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	44→45	36→45	50→55	40	207/255/274	67	284	3	14	28%	5%	49	-2.4	200/255/273	73	290	3	12	30%	6%	50	-2.3	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	55	45	208/278/297	89	275	6	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	201/273/331	130	270	13	18	29%	7%	71	-0.8	188/266/323	135	254	14	19	30%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	54	-2.0	190/255/290	100	295	9	6	36%	7%	55	-2.0	163/231/263	100	247	9	3	36%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	212/286/308	96	275	7	10	23%	9%	70	-0.8	208/289/307	99	266	6	10	22%	10%	68	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps