Wady Mendez

CF Hickory Crawdads
Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 155 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2383ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ADown East Woo…262.233/.336/.29112338—.186/.267/.233
202520A+/ATEX195.209/.332/.31931140—.166/.249/.245
202621ATEX68.193/.324/.2981032—.150/.250/.250
2027PROJMLE22MLBTEX178.198/.281/.2862463-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBTEX37.204/.287/.3061169-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBTEX84.208/.291/.3192273-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%95
BB%71
ISO36
Speed31
wRC+28
Whiff%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsClark Elliott (age 23) · Kier Meredith (age 22) · Cole Roederer (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .279 / .284
PA50
HR1
K%27
BB%9
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT28
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE59
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL TEX Blue — 192169 51974 18484 155 302382509891 207398 259 389 43 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Rangers — 165141 381212 21622 65 270372411783 142462 3813 352 18 — — — — — —
202419 ADown East Wood Ducks — 262227 53811 32933 233 233336291627 57391 3512 295 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers — 6752 8100 14161 51 154343173516 19222 2421 270 18 — — — — — —
202520 AHickory Crawdads — 128111 26423 14321 62 234325387713 153295 2511 316 51 — — — — — —
202621 AHickory Crawdads — 6857 11111 10211 02 193324298622 105286 3115 293 32 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 192175 31542 12614 155 177246286532 109255 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 165149 20601 13952 65 134213195408 60355 588 195 18 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 262236 44611 231243 233 186267233500 47377 479 225 38 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 6758 7100 8201 51 121239138377 17195 3012 195 18 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 128116 22322 9441 62 190254302556 112265 347 243 51 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6860 9111 7291 02 150250250500 100259 4310 215 32 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 192175 31542 12614 155 177246286532 109257 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL TEX Blue — 192169 51974 18484 155 302382509891 207398 259 389 43 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 165149 20601 13952 65 134213195408 60352 588 195 18 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 165141 381212 21622 65 270372411783 142462 3813 352 18 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 262236 44611 231243 233 186267233500 47387 479 225 38 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWDown East Wood Ducks — 262227 53811 32933 233 233336291627 57391 3512 295 38 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 195173 29422 18652 113 168254249502 81250 339 227 39 — — — — — —
202520 A RAW2 teams — 195163 34523 28482 113 209332319651 110272 2514 301 39 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6860 9111 7291 02 150250250500 100267 4310 215 32 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 6857 11111 10211 02 193324298622 105286 3115 293 32 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Blue — 192174 31542 12614 155 178246287533 109255 326 232 43 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 165149 20601 13952 65 134213195408 60355 588 195 18 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 262234 44611 231243 233 188267235502 47377 479 225 38 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 195173 29422 18652 113 168254249502 81241 339 227 39 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6860 9111 7291 02 150250250500 100259 4310 215 32 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 262234 44611 231243 233 188267235502 47377 479 225 38 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 195173 29422 18652 113 168254249502 81241 339 227 39 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 6860 9111 7291 02 150250250500 100259 4310 215 32 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLETEX 0% 178157 31612 17492 41 198281286567 88269 2810 261 63 -8 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLETEX 34% 10896 21412 10291 21 204286303589 100271 279 270 69 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202924 MLB MLETEX 46% 181160 33613 17482 41 208290315606 107273 279 276 73 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB MLETEX 52% 245218 45914 23642 52 211293323616 113274 269 280 76 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203126 MLB MLETEX 54% 300266 581126 28783 72 212294328623 116275 269 283 77 -8 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.0
203227 MLB MLETEX 54% 328291 621226 31853 72 213295330625 117275 269 283 78 -9 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.0
203328 MLB MLETEX 54% 342304 641226 32893 72 211293325618 114274 269 281 76 -10 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.1
203429 MLB MLETEX 58% 340303 641226 31903 62 209290319610 110273 269 277 74 -11 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.3
202823 MLB CTXTEX 34% 3734 7101 3100 10 204287306592 102270 278 271 69 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202924 MLB CTXTEX 46% 8475 16302 8221 21 208291319610 110272 2610 278 73 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXTEX 52% 127113 23412 12331 31 211294327621 116273 269 282 76 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXTEX 54% 163145 31613 15422 41 213295332627 119274 269 285 77 -4 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
203227 MLB CTXTEX 54% 178157 34614 17462 41 214296334629 120275 2610 285 78 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
203328 MLB CTXTEX 54% 186165 35614 17492 41 212294329623 117274 269 283 76 -5 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXTEX 58% 196174 37714 18522 31 210291323614 113273 279 279 74 -6 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 971863 18333520 9025410 216 212294331625 119274 269 282 63 -28 +2 -1 +3 +21 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12222313 601707 144 211293327620 116274 269 282 63 -19 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 27762476 489901941 25087129 9430 197279299578 101284 319 261 63 -56 +3 -2 +7 +41 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 11421410 592047 227 197279298577 102281 319 261 63 -19 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 68 PAwOBA .286 → .215 (−71)K% 30.9% → 42.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.88%÷1.000×1.360——42.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.71%÷1.000×0.690——10.15%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780——1.15%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.920——20.44%
Doubles /BIP2.78%÷1.000×0.830——2.31%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷1.000×0.910——2.53%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷1.000×0.800——2.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .286 → .215; ISO .105 → .078; BABIP .286 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 128 PAwOBA .313 → .243 (−70)K% 25.0% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.981×1.360——34.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.94%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0157.29%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.780—×1.0150.62%
Singles /BIP21.52%÷1.002×0.920×1.013×1.01520.30%
Doubles /BIP5.06%÷1.123×0.830×1.013×1.0153.85%
Triples /BIP2.53%÷1.039×0.910×1.013×1.0152.28%
Home runs /BIP3.80%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0152.97%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .313 → .243; ISO .153 → .115; BABIP .295 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 67 PAwOBA .265 → .195 (−71)K% 23.9% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.88%÷1.026×1.310——30.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.90%÷1.041×0.600—×1.02712.37%
HBP% /PA1.49%—×0.770—×1.0271.18%
Singles /BIP19.44%÷1.020×0.870—×1.02717.03%
Doubles /BIP2.78%÷0.909×0.780—×1.0272.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.215×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .265 → .195; ISO .019 → .018; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 262 PAwOBA .289 → .225 (−64)K% 35.5% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.50%÷1.022×1.360——47.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.21%÷0.983×0.690—×1.0308.83%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.780—×1.0300.92%
Singles /BIP32.09%÷0.973×0.920×1.012×1.03031.60%
Doubles /BIP5.97%÷0.978×0.830×1.012×1.0305.28%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷1.150×0.910×1.012×1.0300.62%
Home runs /BIP0.75%÷1.008×0.800—×1.0300.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .289 → .225; ISO .057 → .041; BABIP .391 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rangers · 165 PAwOBA .344 → .195 (−149)K% 37.6% → 57.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.58%÷0.940×1.440——57.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0087.78%
HBP% /PA1.21%—×0.720—×1.0080.88%
Singles /BIP29.11%÷1.003×0.820×1.001×1.00823.99%
Doubles /BIP15.19%÷1.032×0.720×1.001×1.00810.69%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.114×0.720×1.001×1.0080.82%
Home runs /BIP2.53%÷1.124×0.780—×1.0081.77%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .344 → .195; ISO .142 → .070; BABIP .462 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL TEX Blue · 192 PAwOBA .379 → .232 (−148)K% 25.0% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.964×1.220——31.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.85%÷0.998×0.700—×1.0086.26%
HBP% /PA2.08%—×0.700—×1.0081.47%
Singles /BIP25.62%÷0.982×0.680×0.981×1.00817.54%
Doubles /BIP7.44%÷1.007×0.600×0.981×1.0084.38%
Triples /BIP5.79%÷1.006×0.600×0.981×1.0083.41%
Home runs /BIP3.31%÷1.148×0.470—×1.0081.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .379 → .232; ISO .207 → .105; BABIP .398 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).