Walin Castillo
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 21
RHP
6'3" / 175 lbs
A
peak 1.0 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 137
ERA6.09
FIP6.09
K%10.7%
BB%15.1%
K-BB%-4.4%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 10 | 9 | 33 | 138 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 90% | 3.3 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 2.70 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 10 | 9 | 33 | 138 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 90% | 3.3 | 26.1% | 6.5% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 2.70 | 2.92 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 9 | 3 | 32 | 128 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 33% | 3.5 | 13.8% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 1.42 | 5.84 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 9 | 3 | 32 | 128 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 33% | 3.5 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 1.42 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 74 | 306 | 53 | 24 | 3 | 78% | 4.1 | 12.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.53 | 4.14 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 14 | 74 | 306 | 53 | 24 | 3 | 78% | 4.1 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 3.53 | 3.17 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 22 | 13 | 85 | 390 | 66 | 45 | 9 | 59% | 3.8 | 12.5% | 13.6% | -1.1% | 2.8% | 6.27 | 5.31 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 22 | 13 | 85 | 390 | 66 | 45 | 9 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.9% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 6.27 | 4.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 15 | 15 | 68 | 305 | 58 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.1% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 3.4% | 5.19 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 59 | 250 | 27 | 38 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 10.7% | 15.1% | -4.4% | 2.9% | 6.09 | 6.09 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.7% | 15.1% | -4.4% | 2.9% | 6.09 | 6.09 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 127 | 555 | 85 | 73 | 15 | — | — | 15.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.61 | 5.77 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 62 | 263 | 37 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.0% | 13.7% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.0% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 48 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.2% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 50 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 49 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.0% | 13.7% | 0.3% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 47 | 198 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.0% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 55 | 232 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.2% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 44 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 65 | 65 | 374 | 1579 | 273 | 197 | 45 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.3% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.77 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 105 | 24 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.3% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 54 | 291 | 1267 | 172 | 149 | 35 | 73% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.96 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 37 | 200 | 870 | 118 | 102 | 24 | 73% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Walin Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.09 | 10.7% | 15.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.35 | 15.8% | 2.8% | 193 | -0.74 | — | — | — |
| Luis Mateo R 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 91 |
| Matt Ager R 2027 · 5.81 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.81 | 10.4% | 15.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 70 | -0.81 | 5.00 | 146 | 88 |
| Moises Ruiz R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.62 | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 104 | 86 |
| Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.03 | 10.6% | 19.0% | 2.6% | .344 | 6.14 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 74 | +0.11 | 4.48 | 227 | 86 |
| Ismael Cabral R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.11 | 11.6% | 15.6% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.40 | 19.5% | 4.1% | 33 | -1.71 | 3.40 | 146 | 86 |
| Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .321 | 5.82 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 130 | +0.20 | 3.31 | 333 | 84 |
| Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 84 |
| Xavier Lopez R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.11 | 10.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 109 | 84 |
| Will Childers R 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 81 |
| Jeury Espinal R 2024 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.08 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 114 | 81 |
| Brooks Auger R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 81 |
| Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 81 |
| Stiven Cruz R 2026 · 6.28 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.28 | 13.6% | 14.8% | 4.5% | .312 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 167 | -1.81 | 2.84 | 401 | 80 |
| Mason Pelio R 2028 · 6.26 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.26 | 13.3% | 17.4% | 3.8% | .255 | 5.74 | 9.0% | -12.8% | 26 | -0.52 | 5.74 | 122 | 80 |
| David Sanchez R 2024 · 5.57 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.57 | 11.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.33 | 110 | 80 |
| Igol Feliz R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.90 | 7.2% | 12.4% | 1.5% | .234 | 5.77 | 6.7% | -2.1% | 73 | +0.87 | 4.90 | 135 | 80 |
| Jefry Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.22 | 9.9% | 14.6% | 2.0% | .286 | 4.04 | 16.6% | 5.2% | 333 | -1.18 | 3.21 | 578 | 80 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.31 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .289 | 7.22 | 13.9% | -0.3% | 19 | +1.91 | 3.66 | 117 | 80 |
| Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.32 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .237 | 4.05 | 20.5% | 4.7% | 73 | -1.27 | 3.79 | 101 | 80 |
| Ofreidy Gómez R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.17 | 12.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .266 | 5.16 | 14.4% | 4.0% | 401 | -0.01 | 3.58 | 649 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 65 | 16.3% | 12.8% | 1.10 | 5.34 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |