Luis Hernandez — OGILVIE

Luis HernandezC Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 R/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .281 / .307

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%7

BABIP288

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	43	38	6	0	0	1	4	15	1	2	0	158	256	237	493	79	227	35	9	236	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	90	70	12	2	1	0	11	24	7	1	0	171	337	229	566	57	255	27	12	279	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	28	7	1	0	1	2	9	3	1	0	250	364	393	756	143	333	27	6	348	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	43	39	5	0	0	1	3	18	1	2	0	128	209	205	414	77	210	42	7	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	90	74	11	2	1	0	8	31	7	1	0	149	292	203	495	54	215	34	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	33	29	6	1	0	1	1	12	3	1	0	207	303	345	648	138	292	36	3	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	166	142	20	2	1	1	12	61	11	4	0	141	261	190	451	49	235	37	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	166	136	25	3	1	2	17	48	11	4	0	184	321	265	586	81	264	29	10	282	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	166	142	20	2	1	1	12	61	11	4	0	141	261	190	451	49	229	37	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	166	142	20	2	1	1	12	61	11	4	0	141	261	190	451	49	229	37	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	216	193	39	7	1	3	16	66	5	4	1	206	281	307	588	101	288	31	7	268	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	206	281	307	588	101	288	0	0	268	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	259	233	48	8	2	4	19	78	5	5	1	208	283	314	597	106	288	30	7	272	70	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	42%	312	280	58	10	2	5	23	93	6	5	1	209	284	316	600	107	288	30	7	273	71	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	346	310	65	11	2	6	26	102	7	5	1	209	284	316	600	107	287	29	8	273	71	-12	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	359	322	67	12	2	6	27	106	7	4	1	208	283	315	597	106	286	30	8	272	70	-13	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	367	330	68	12	2	6	27	108	7	2	1	207	281	311	592	104	284	29	7	270	69	-14	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	78	70	14	3	0	1	6	23	2	1	0	208	283	315	598	107	288	29	8	272	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	42%	130	116	24	4	1	2	10	39	3	2	1	209	284	317	601	108	288	30	8	273	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	165	149	31	5	1	3	12	49	3	2	1	209	284	317	601	108	287	30	7	273	71	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	177	159	33	6	1	3	13	52	3	2	1	208	283	315	598	107	286	29	7	272	70	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	184	165	34	6	1	3	14	54	3	1	0	207	281	312	593	105	284	29	8	270	69	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	734	659	136	24	4	12	55	217	14	8	3	206	282	310	591	103	286	30	7	272	67	-26	+0	-2	+13	+16	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	121	21	4	11	49	192	12	7	3	207	283	313	596	106	286	30	8	272	67	-23	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1972	1764	356	60	12	31	146	597	46	28	6	202	280	302	582	100	283	30	7	267	67	-65	+2	-4	+32	+39	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	117	20	4	10	48	197	15	9	2	201	280	301	581	100	283	30	7	267	67	-23	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	735	13	9	209	280	316	+13	+8	0.7	0.7
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+7.2	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	204/279/304	100	288	3	3	30%	7%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2024 · AA	25	43→38	46→45	49→45	43	212/287/341	128	289	13	5	30%	7%	79	-0.2	201/276/303	102	266	10	8	27%	7%	66	-1.1	163/244/240	77	216	8	6	27%	6%	38	-2.1
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→31	44→55	50→40	44	177/266/294	117	304	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/269/355	164	283	22	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	40	42→40	52→45	49	192/302/304	112	274	9	9	30%	10%	78	-0.3	199/288/291	92	288	7	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	185/275/262	76	274	5	4	31%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Ryan Ortiz 2013 · AA	25	41	43→45	48→40	50	201/289/307	105	266	11	5	27%	10%	72	-0.7	199/288/295	96	278	8	4	29%	10%	69	-0.9	187/284/271	85	264	7	0	29%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	39	42→50	50→40	39	193/251/299	106	278	10	5	33%	6%	55	-1.9	211/268/337	126	277	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	45→32	43→45	51→50	41	218/275/328	110	304	10	15	31%	7%	71	-0.8	198/267/319	121	282	14	14	33%	8%	66	-1.1	186/258/301	115	262	13	13	33%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→36	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/280/359	148	299	17	9	34%	7%	80	-0.1	199/274/363	164	277	21	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→33	43→40	46→50	37	200/262/305	105	305	11	11	36%	6%	61	-1.5	208/281/292	84	329	6	15	36%	8%	65	-1.2	205/287/273	68	334	4	17	36%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→32	45→50	43→40	43	215/289/338	123	285	13	5	28%	7%	79	-0.2	194/269/332	138	249	18	5	29%	8%	71	-0.8	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	36→35	45→50	51→55	39	188/249/303	115	265	13	16	34%	6%	56	-1.9	207/280/333	126	298	13	15	33%	8%	74	-0.5	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps