Danny Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Danny GonzalezOF FCL Marlins

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .262 / .290

PA63

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	54	39	6	2	1	1	12	14	2	5	1	154	377	333	711	179	200	26	22	332	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	60	49	10	0	0	1	9	16	0	2	0	204	328	265	593	61	265	27	15	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	131	112	25	6	0	4	14	41	5	11	3	223	336	384	720	161	313	31	11	329	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	116	105	27	4	0	2	8	27	3	3	2	257	328	352	680	95	329	23	7	311	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	54	42	3	1	1	0	9	17	2	5	1	71	264	143	407	71	124	31	17	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	60	52	8	0	0	1	6	23	0	2	0	154	241	212	453	58	217	38	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	131	117	16	3	0	3	9	60	5	11	3	137	229	239	468	103	234	46	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	116	108	19	2	0	2	5	39	3	3	2	176	233	250	483	74	249	34	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	54	42	3	1	1	0	9	17	2	5	1	71	264	143	407	71	115	31	17	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	54	39	6	2	1	1	12	14	2	5	1	154	377	333	711	179	200	26	22	332	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	60	52	8	0	0	1	6	23	0	2	0	154	241	212	453	58	233	38	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	60	49	10	0	0	1	9	16	0	2	0	204	328	265	593	61	265	27	15	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	131	117	16	3	0	3	9	60	5	11	3	137	229	239	468	103	241	46	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	131	112	25	6	0	4	14	41	5	11	3	223	336	384	720	161	313	31	11	329	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	116	108	19	2	0	2	5	39	3	3	2	176	233	250	483	74	254	34	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	116	105	27	4	0	2	8	27	3	3	2	257	328	352	680	95	329	23	7	311	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	54	43	3	1	1	0	9	17	2	5	1	70	264	140	404	70	124	31	17	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	60	54	8	0	0	1	6	23	0	2	0	148	241	204	445	56	217	38	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	131	116	16	3	0	3	9	60	5	11	3	138	229	241	470	103	234	46	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	116	107	19	2	0	2	5	39	3	3	2	178	233	252	485	75	249	34	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	131	116	16	3	0	3	9	60	5	11	3	138	229	241	470	103	234	46	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	116	107	19	2	0	2	5	39	3	3	2	178	233	252	485	75	249	34	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	226	206	41	7	1	3	15	73	3	4	1	200	264	292	556	93	287	32	7	253	58	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	109	100	20	3	1	2	7	34	1	2	0	204	269	305	574	101	288	31	6	260	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	37	35	7	1	0	1	2	12	0	1	0	198	263	292	555	95	279	32	5	253	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	35	7	1	0	1	2	12	0	1	0	200	243	314	558	114	273	32	5	253	38	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	615	124	18	0	18	35	211	0	18	0	202	245	319	563	117	275	32	5	253	38	-29	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	533	477	77	11	2	9	40	193	12	24	6	161	244	249	493	88	244	36	8	224	38	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	93	13	2	11	49	235	15	29	7	160	243	246	489	86	240	36	8	224	38	-30	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	198/262/290	92	287	1	1	32%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	41→45	48→45	40	192/249/294	102	277	8	8	32%	7%	53	-2.1	208/259/320	112	312	12	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	200/248/316	117	298	15	10	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2017 · A	22	41→33	45→50	48→50	38	202/262/327	125	304	12	9	36%	6%	65	-1.2	187/231/300	113	287	11	11	37%	4%	48	-2.5	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Yassel Pino 2024 · A	22	37	42→45	48→40	45	186/253/292	105	245	10	5	28%	8%	54	-2.0	208/263/318	110	276	11	8	28%	6%	64	-1.3	205/253/313	109	262	15	10	27%	5%	56	-0.5
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	37	39→50	52→55	36	176/239/269	93	301	6	11	41%	7%	43	-2.8	192/243/283	91	330	7	16	41%	6%	48	-2.5	196/254/350	155	346	21	18	47%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Dylan Campbell 2024 · A	22	44→40	40→45	49→60	37	214/258/304	90	295	7	11	29%	4%	58	-1.7	200/257/309	109	267	11	27	28%	7%	59	-1.6	192/252/309	117	251	12	30	28%	7%	55	-1.7
✕Elio Prado 2024 · A	22	40→37	42→40	46→50	45	199/275/302	103	259	10	9	26%	7%	65	-1.2	190/255/279	89	267	8	14	30%	7%	52	-2.2	168/233/235	68	243	6	17	32%	7%	32	-1.7
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/254/297	94	272	8	14	28%	6%	55	-1.9	206/263/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/320	130	244	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.9