Jackson Brockett
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 23
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.2%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 19 | 1 | 56 | 212 | 55 | 15 | 5 | 5% | 2.9 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 1.62 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 95 | 377 | 93 | 30 | 10 | — | — | 24.7% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 2.73 | 4.19 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 41 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 41 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 41 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 0 | 145 | 612 | 148 | 53 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 73 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 1 | 56 | 212 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 5% | 2.9 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 1.62 | 4.09 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 4 | 200 | 762 | 151 | 63 | 22 | 5% | 2.9 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 1.62 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Brockett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.18 | 24.0% | 15.4% | 121 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.25 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 39 | +1.48 | 3.77 | 132 | 85 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 83 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 82 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Jake Rice L 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.29 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.56 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 130 | +1.27 | 3.29 | 199 | 79 |
| Brandon Walter L 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.51 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .270 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 23.0% | 139 | -0.51 | 2.94 | 391 | 79 |
| Josh Simpson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 78 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.89 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.81 | 4.08 | 212 | 77 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 77 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .259 | 4.09 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 106 | +0.55 | 3.54 | 206 | 77 |
| Austin Drury L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | .275 | 5.23 | 12.9% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.30 | 2.54 | 187 | 77 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .307 | 3.80 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 123 | -0.51 | 3.77 | 200 | 76 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 76 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 76 |
| Christian Jones L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.30 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.5% | .319 | 4.09 | 15.0% | 3.7% | 89 | +0.79 | 3.30 | 161 | 76 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 75 |
| Felix Polanco L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.64 | 18.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 105 | 75 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.49 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .349 | 5.57 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 100 | +2.08 | 3.49 | 219 | 75 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 40 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 1.16 | 4.23 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |