Alen Pineda — OGILVIE

Alen PinedaC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .252 / .275

PA82

HR1

K%35

BB%6

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	106	84	7	1	0	0	14	29	7	2	0	83	267	95	362	12	125	27	13	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	106	76	8	2	0	0	22	21	7	2	0	105	352	132	484	26	143	20	21	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	71	64	8	1	1	0	3	30	2	1	1	125	188	172	360	47	222	42	4	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	71	62	10	1	1	0	5	22	2	1	1	161	246	210	456	48	238	31	7	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	53	47	1	0	0	0	3	24	3	0	0	21	132	21	153		43	45	6	114	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	53	45	3	0	1	1	5	18	3	0	0	67	208	178	385	111	77	34	9	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	69	62	3	0	0	1	3	46	4	0	0	48	145	97	242	48	133	67	4	126	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	69	61	8	1	0	1	4	32	4	0	0	131	232	197	429	66	250	46	6	211	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	ATL	—	82	76	14	2	1	1	5	29	1	1	0	184	244	276	520	92	286	35	6	243	44	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	185	168	33	6	1	3	12	62	3	2	1	196	262	298	560	101	288	34	6	255	54	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	302	274	54	9	2	5	20	98	5	3	1	197	264	299	563	102	289	32	7	264	60	-14	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	384	349	72	12	3	8	26	122	6	4	1	206	273	327	600	120	291	32	7	270	65	-15	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	432	392	82	14	3	9	30	136	7	5	2	209	277	329	606	120	291	31	7	273	67	-16	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	461	418	87	15	3	10	32	146	8	5	2	208	277	330	607	122	291	32	7	274	68	-17	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	64	59	11	2	0	1	4	21	1	1	0	186	250	271	521	85	288	33	6	243	44	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	146	133	28	5	1	3	10	47	2	2	1	211	276	331	607	120	289	32	7	252	51	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	ATL	53%	202	183	37	6	1	4	14	64	3	2	1	202	270	311	581	109	291	32	7	258	55	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	ATL	55%	236	214	45	8	2	5	16	75	4	3	1	210	278	336	614	126	291	32	7	261	58	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.0
2031	26	MLB	ATL	56%	257	233	48	8	2	5	18	81	4	3	1	206	275	322	596	116	291	32	7	262	59	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	905	822	169	29	6	18	62	288	14	11	4	206	273	321	594	116	290	32	7	258	55	-46	+1	+0	+16	+26	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	121	21	4	13	45	207	10	8	3	205	273	320	593	115	290	32	7	258	55	-33	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2145	1934	361	60	14	37	148	722	46	23	8	187	261	290	550	103	273	34	7	252	51	-118	+1	+0	+38	+61	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	109	18	4	11	45	219	14	7	2	186	261	287	548	101	272	34	7	252	51	-36	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	106	76	8	2	0	0	22	21	7	2	0	105	352	132	484	26	143	20	21	269	64	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	71	62	10	1	1	0	5	22	2	1	1	161	246	210	456	48	238	31	7	213	21	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	53	45	3	0	1	1	5	18	3	0	0	67	208	178	385	111	77	34	9	194	7	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	25	2	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	80	80	200	280	120	71	40	0	119	-50	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	44	36	6	1	0	0	4	22	4	0	0	167	318	194	513	28	429	50	9	262	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	987	19	11	206	271	320	+18	+12	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	13	8	206	271	320	+11.9	+8.1	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alen Pineda (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	187/252/275	87	286	1	1	35%	6%	44	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→55	44→45	37	185/262/263	79	305	7	6	39%	6%	46	-2.0	203/269/331	128	302	14	5	36%	6%	66	-0.6	196/264/343	147	286	18	5	37%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	40	41→50	48→40	35	192/245/289	98	307	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.2	207/273/364	157	295	18	6	35%	7%	76	+0.1	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→30	42→50	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	50	-1.8	179/246/274	95	319	10	2	44%	6%	42	-2.3	255/300/399	144	333	20	1	29%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Alex Murphy 2016 · A	21	42→36	41→50	50→40	39	204/256/310	107	290	8	5	32%	6%	54	-1.4	196/253/320	124	287	13	3	35%	6%	56	-1.3	185/244/310	125	269	14	1	35%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	36	42→50	51→40	34	172/236/275	102	313	9	4	45%	7%	37	-2.6	185/238/277	92	297	7	5	38%	6%	38	-2.6	150/191/229	78	223	6	2	34%	4%	3	-1.6
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	39→41	39→55	46→50	38	192/239/276	85	274	6	11	31%	5%	37	-2.6	199/255/292	93	268	8	8	28%	6%	49	-1.8	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→45	49→40	38	205/266/291	86	316	5	7	35%	6%	53	-1.5	195/265/316	121	293	13	4	36%	8%	60	-1.0	184/236/312	128	274	18	2	38%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jesus Flores 2006 · A	21	37→38	41→50	43→30	32	188/218/284	97	276	10	5	35%	3%	30	-3.1	214/267/352	138	300	15	3	33%	5%	70	-0.3	244/302/382	138	311	15	0	25%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7