Alen Pineda — OGILVIE

Alen PinedaC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .252 / .273

PA7

HR0

K%35

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	106	76	8	2	0	0	22	21	7	2	0	105	352	132	484	26	143	20	21	269	68	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	71	62	10	1	1	0	5	22	2	1	1	161	246	210	456	48	238	31	7	213	30	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	53	45	3	0	1	1	5	18	3	0	0	67	208	178	385	111	77	34	9	194	18	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	25	25	2	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	80	80	200	280	120	71	40	0	119	-33	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	44	36	6	1	0	0	4	22	4	0	0	167	318	194	513	28	429	50	9	262	64	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	106	84	6	1	0	0	14	29	7	2	0	71	257	83	340	12	111	27	13	184	11	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	71	64	8	1	1	0	3	31	2	1	1	125	188	172	360	47	197	44	4	152	-11	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	53	47	3	0	1	1	3	25	3	0	0	64	170	170	340	106	53	47	6	117	-35	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	20	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	25	25	2	0	0	1	0	14	0	0	0	80	80	200	280	120	60	56	0	83	-58	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	44	37	2	0	0	0	3	32	4	0	0	54	205	54	259		387	73	7	148	-14	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	106	84	6	1	0	0	14	29	7	2	0	71	257	83	340	12	107	27	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	106	76	8	2	0	0	22	21	7	2	0	105	352	132	484	26	143	20	21	269	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	71	64	8	1	1	0	3	31	2	1	1	125	188	172	360	47	229	44	4	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	71	62	10	1	1	0	5	22	2	1	1	161	246	210	456	48	238	31	7	213	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	53	47	3	0	1	1	3	25	3	0	0	64	170	170	340	106	95	47	6	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	53	45	3	0	1	1	5	18	3	0	0	67	208	178	385	111	77	34	9	194	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	69	62	4	0	0	1	3	45	4	0	0	65	159	113	272	48	188	65	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	69	61	8	1	0	1	4	32	4	0	0	131	232	197	429	66	250	46	6	211	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	106	84	6	1	0	0	14	29	7	2	0	71	257	83	340	12	111	27	13	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	71	66	8	1	1	0	3	31	2	1	1	121	188	167	355	45	197	44	4	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	53	47	3	0	1	1	3	25	3	0	0	64	170	170	340	106	53	47	6	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	69	62	4	0	0	1	3	45	4	0	0	65	159	113	272	48	269	65	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	71	66	8	1	1	0	3	31	2	1	1	121	188	167	355	45	197	44	4	152	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	53	47	3	0	1	1	3	25	3	0	0	64	170	170	340	106	53	47	6	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	69	62	4	0	0	1	3	45	4	0	0	65	159	113	272	48	269	65	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		286	29	0	242	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	185	168	33	6	1	3	12	62	3	2	1	196	262	298	560	101	288	34	6	255	59	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	302	274	55	9	2	5	20	98	5	3	1	201	268	303	570	102	289	32	7	263	64	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	384	349	71	12	3	7	26	122	6	4	1	203	270	315	586	112	290	32	7	269	68	-14	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	432	392	82	14	3	9	30	136	7	5	2	209	277	329	606	120	290	31	7	272	71	-15	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	461	418	87	15	3	10	32	145	8	5	2	208	277	330	607	122	290	31	7	274	71	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	474	429	89	15	3	10	34	150	8	5	2	207	278	326	604	119	290	32	7	274	71	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	478	433	89	15	3	10	34	152	8	5	2	206	276	323	599	118	290	32	7	273	71	-17	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	473	428	88	15	3	10	34	151	8	5	2	206	277	325	601	119	289	32	7	271	69	-17	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	466	421	85	14	3	9	34	150	8	4	1	202	274	314	588	112	287	32	7	268	68	-18	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	64	59	11	2	0	1	4	21	1	1	0	186	250	271	521	85	288	33	6	242	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	146	133	28	5	1	3	10	47	2	2	1	211	276	331	607	120	289	32	7	251	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	202	183	37	6	1	4	14	64	3	2	1	202	270	311	581	109	290	32	7	257	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	236	214	45	8	2	5	16	74	4	3	1	210	278	336	614	126	290	31	7	260	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	257	233	48	8	2	5	18	81	4	3	1	206	275	322	596	116	290	32	7	262	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	261	237	49	8	2	6	18	82	4	3	1	207	274	333	607	127	290	31	7	262	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	261	236	48	8	2	5	19	83	4	3	1	203	274	318	592	114	290	32	7	261	71	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	252	228	47	8	2	5	18	80	4	3	1	206	276	325	601	118	289	32	7	259	69	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	245	221	45	7	2	5	18	79	4	2	1	204	276	321	597	118	287	32	7	256	68	-9	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1924	1744	358	60	14	39	135	611	30	22	8	205	274	323	597	118	289	32	7	258	63	-71	+1	-2	+34	+42	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	121	20	5	13	46	206	10	7	3	205	274	323	597	117	290	32	7	258	63	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3961	3576	701	117	26	75	279	1298	77	41	15	196	269	306	575	110	282	33	7	261	63	-136	+2	-4	+65	+79	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	114	19	4	12	46	213	13	7	2	194	268	302	569	107	279	33	7	261	63	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	2,006	40	22	206	272	323	+36	+24	1.7	1.7
/162	664	13	7	+11.9	+7.9	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alen Pineda (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	187/252/273	86	286	1	1	35%	6%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	40	41→50	48→40	35	192/245/289	98	307	8	5	39%	6%	50	-2.3	206/273/352	146	297	16	6	34%	7%	76	-0.4	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Alex Jackson 2017 · A	21	39→37	43→55	45→30	36	191/253/305	114	294	11	4	37%	6%	58	-1.7	190/248/335	145	284	18	2	38%	5%	63	-1.4	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	47	-2.5	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→37	40→45	47→30	34	175/220/263	88	269	9	3	37%	5%	35	-3.4	180/223/291	111	261	12	3	35%	4%	42	-2.9	193/233/284	91	269	10	0	31%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	36	-3.4	176/241/304	128	277	16	4	40%	7%	53	-2.1	137/212/274	137	203	19	1	42%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	42→45	47→40	40	168/249/264	96	280	10	3	41%	8%	47	-2.5	199/279/320	121	325	12	6	39%	9%	72	-0.7	183/279/320	137	294	13	3	39%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→50	49→40	38	206/267/292	86	316	5	7	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/262/310	120	286	13	4	36%	8%	62	-1.4	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	37	42→50	51→40	34	174/237/277	103	312	9	4	45%	6%	45	-2.7	185/239/274	89	295	7	5	37%	6%	45	-2.7	149/192/219	70	221	5	2	34%	4%	12	-1.6
✕Jesus Flores 2006 · A	21	37→38	41→50	43→30	32	188/218/284	97	276	10	5	35%	3%	38	-3.2	214/267/351	137	300	15	3	33%	5%	74	-0.6	244/302/381	138	311	14	0	25%	6%	90	+0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	40→43	38→50	46→50	39	195/243/278	83	276	5	11	30%	6%	47	-2.6	200/256/290	90	266	8	8	26%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Alex Murphy 2016 · A	21	42→37	41→45	50→40	39	205/258/310	105	291	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	196/254/318	122	287	13	3	35%	6%	61	-1.5	184/245/308	124	268	14	1	35%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps