Franyer Herrera

P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	12	11	49	2.01	1.80	31.5%	8.4%	—	K 21.4% · BB 10.5% · FIP 2.84
2025	20	MIX2 levels	22	1	37	1.70	2.42	26.7%	9.3%	—	K 17.5% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.27
2026	21	A+NYY	21	17	92	4.78	4.95	24.8%	12.4%	—	K 19.1% · BB 14.2% · FIP 6.18
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYY	10	10	65	5.41	5.41	19.8%	13.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYY	7	7	43	5.16	5.06	20.9%	11.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBNYY	10	10	62	4.95	4.85	21.5%	10.5%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 83%

CompsAndrew Faulkner (age 22) · Bailey Horn (age 23) · Joe Kemlage (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%19.8%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%6.6%

Proj IP65

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	8	0	15	64	19	5	0	0%	1.9	20.2%	9.8%	10.4%	0.0%	2.40	2.63	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	8	0	15	64	19	5	0	0%	1.9	29.7%	7.8%	21.9%	0.0%	2.40	1.57	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	3	1	5	26	5	3	0	33%	1.8	19.2%	11.5%	7.7%	0.0%	3.38	2.94	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	3	1	5	26	5	3	0	33%	1.8	19.2%	11.5%	7.7%	0.0%	3.38	2.91	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	49	203	64	17	1	92%	4.1	21.4%	10.5%	11.0%	0.4%	2.01	2.84	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	49	203	64	17	1	92%	4.1	21.4%	10.5%	11.0%	0.4%	2.01	2.84	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	49	203	64	17	1	92%	4.1	31.5%	8.4%	23.2%	0.5%	2.01	1.80	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	37	150	40	14	1	5%	1.7	17.5%	10.3%	7.1%	0.6%	1.70	3.27	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	37	150	40	14	1	5%	1.7	17.5%	10.3%	7.1%	0.6%	1.70	3.27	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	37	150	40	14	1	5%	1.7	26.7%	9.3%	17.3%	0.7%	1.70	2.42	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	21	17	92	404	100	50	17	81%	4.4	19.1%	14.2%	4.8%	5.3%	4.78	6.18	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	21	17	92	404	100	50	17	81%	4.4	19.1%	14.2%	4.8%	5.3%	4.78	6.18	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	21	17	92	404	100	50	17	81%	4.4	24.8%	12.4%	12.4%	4.2%	4.78	4.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYY	10	10	65	274	54	36	10	100%	6.5	19.8%	13.2%	6.6%	3.5%	5.41	5.41	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	86	364	76	42	12	100%	6.2	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	3.4%	5.16	5.06	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	88	373	80	39	13	100%	6.3	21.5%	10.5%	11.0%	3.4%	4.95	4.85	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	90	378	83	38	13	100%	6.4	21.9%	9.9%	12.0%	3.3%	4.80	4.72	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	90	378	84	37	13	100%	6.4	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	3.3%	4.72	4.68	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	88	372	82	37	13	100%	6.3	22.1%	9.9%	12.2%	3.4%	4.72	4.72	+0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	14	14	86	361	80	36	13	100%	6.1	22.0%	10.1%	11.9%	3.5%	4.77	4.80	+0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	13	13	82	345	75	35	13	100%	6.3	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	3.6%	4.87	4.93	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	77	324	76	32	12	100%	6.4	23.4%	9.8%	13.6%	3.8%	4.85	4.84	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	7	7	43	182	38	21	6	100%	6.1	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	3.4%	5.16	5.06	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	62	262	56	28	9	100%	6.2	21.5%	10.5%	11.0%	3.4%	4.95	4.85	+0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	73	308	68	31	10	100%	6.1	21.9%	9.9%	12.0%	3.3%	4.80	4.72	+0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	78	329	73	32	11	100%	6.5	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	3.3%	4.72	4.68	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	13	13	80	338	75	33	11	100%	6.2	22.1%	9.9%	12.2%	3.4%	4.72	4.72	+0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	13	13	79	334	73	34	12	100%	6.1	22.0%	10.1%	11.9%	3.5%	4.77	4.80	+0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	76	321	70	33	12	100%	6.3	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	3.6%	4.87	4.93	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	11	11	72	304	71	30	12	100%	6.5	23.4%	9.8%	13.6%	3.8%	4.85	4.84	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		90	90	562	2372	523	241	82	100%	6.2	22.0%	10.1%	11.9%	3.5%	4.83	4.43	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	186	86	29	100%	6.3	22.0%	10.1%	11.9%	3.5%	4.83	4.43	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		66	30	199	847	165	103	23	45%	3.0	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	2.7%	3.30	4.50	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	30	200	851	165	104	23	45%	3.0	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	2.7%	3.30	4.50	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franyer Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	19.8%	13.2%	3.5%	—	4.87	21.5%	10.8%	264	-0.54	—	—	—
Andrew Faulkner L 2015 · 4.74 FIP	22	SP-	4.74	18.0%	12.8%	2.8%	.290	4.06	17.7%	6.6%	142	-0.68	3.70	252	89
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	86
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	85
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	84
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	83
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	83
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	82
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	82
Brandon Finnegan L 2015 · 4.48 FIP	22	SW	4.48	21.3%	12.8%	2.8%	.287	5.01	18.5%	6.5%	273	+0.53	3.86	489	82
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	81
Seth Lonsway L 2022 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	21.2%	14.4%	2.3%	.304	4.15	16.0%	4.4%	319	-0.26	3.35	506	80
Riley Cooper L 2024 · 4.22 FIP	22	SW	4.22	16.6%	12.0%	1.8%	.287	4.46	18.9%	7.7%	51	+0.24	4.14	139	80
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	79
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	79
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	79
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	78
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	78
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	78
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.8	83	21.8%	10.5%	1.34	4.90
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Vicente Palacios ('87-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.9	62	21.0%*	10.0%*	1.41*	4.86*
Cy Moore ('29-'34, 1 WAR*)	2.3	93	21.3%*	9.8%*	1.25*	4.95*
Shawn Hillegas ('87-'93, -0 WAR*)	2.6	86	19.6%*	10.2%*	1.24*	5.03*
Scott Sanders ('99)	3.4	97	21.2%	9.3%	1.23	4.86
Vince Velasquez ('15-'23, 2 WAR*)	3.8	85	21.9%*	9.2%*	1.37*	4.99*