Ludwin Tejada — OGILVIE

Ludwin TejadaC DSL Brewers 1

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .279 / .291

PA3

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	60	17	1	1	0	10	9	0	2	0	283	386	333	719	50	333	13	14	335	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	47	8	2	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	170	250	277	527	106	189	19	8	240	48	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	31	6	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	194	390	226	616	32	231	14	19	306	93	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	64	14	1	1	0	6	13	0	2	0	219	286	266	551	47	265	19	9	241	49	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	49	6	1	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	122	173	204	377	82	144	28	4	167	-1	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	34	5	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	147	293	176	469	29	181	21	12	224	38	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	64	14	1	1	0	6	13	0	2	0	219	286	266	551	47	275	19	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	60	17	1	1	0	10	9	0	2	0	283	386	333	719	50	333	13	14	335	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	49	6	1	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	122	173	204	377	82	147	28	4	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	47	8	2	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	170	250	277	527	106	189	19	8	240	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	34	5	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	147	293	176	469	29	192	21	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	31	6	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	194	390	226	616	32	231	14	19	306	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	64	14	1	1	0	6	13	0	2	0	219	286	266	551	47	265	19	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	50	6	1	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	120	173	200	373	80	144	28	4	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	35	5	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	143	293	171	464	29	181	21	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	50	6	1	0	1	2	15	1	0	0	120	173	200	373	80	144	28	4	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	35	5	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	143	293	171	464	29	181	21	12	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						288	33	0	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	113	102	22	4	1	1	8	30	2	1	0	216	286	304	590	88	290	27	7	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	247	223	49	9	1	4	19	65	3	2	1	220	290	323	613	103	291	26	8	278	74	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	347	312	71	13	2	6	27	90	5	4	1	228	299	340	639	112	292	26	8	283	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	407	367	82	15	2	7	31	105	6	4	1	223	295	332	627	109	292	26	8	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	444	401	90	16	3	8	34	114	6	4	1	224	295	339	634	115	292	26	8	286	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	463	418	94	17	3	8	36	119	6	5	2	225	296	337	633	112	291	26	8	286	80	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	470	424	95	17	3	8	37	122	6	5	1	224	296	335	630	111	291	26	8	285	79	-12	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	468	422	93	17	2	8	37	122	6	4	1	220	292	327	619	107	290	26	8	283	78	-13	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	462	416	90	16	2	7	37	122	6	4	1	216	290	315	605	99	289	26	8	280	76	-13	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	437	393	85	15	2	7	35	117	6	3	1	216	290	318	608	102	286	27	8	276	73	-14	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	409	368	78	13	2	6	33	111	5	2	1	212	286	307	593	95	283	27	8	270	69	-15	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	39	35	8	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	229	308	343	651	114	288	26	8	261	70	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	120	108	24	4	1	2	9	31	2	1	0	222	294	333	627	111	289	26	8	268	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	183	164	37	7	1	3	14	47	3	2	1	226	298	335	634	110	290	26	8	273	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	223	201	45	8	1	4	17	57	3	2	1	224	294	333	627	109	290	26	8	275	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	247	223	50	9	1	5	19	64	3	2	1	224	294	341	635	117	290	26	8	276	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	255	229	51	9	1	5	20	66	4	3	1	223	296	336	633	114	290	26	8	276	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	257	231	51	9	1	5	20	67	4	2	1	221	294	333	627	113	289	26	8	275	79	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	250	225	49	9	1	4	20	65	3	2	1	218	290	320	610	102	288	26	8	273	78	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	243	219	47	8	1	4	19	64	3	2	1	215	286	315	601	100	287	26	8	270	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	247	222	47	8	1	4	20	66	3	2	1	212	286	311	597	99	285	27	8	266	73	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	222	199	42	7	1	3	18	60	3	1	0	211	286	302	588	90	281	27	8	261	69	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2286	2056	451	79	10	40	179	597	32	19	8	219	292	326	618	107	288	26	8	271	75	-64	+1	-6	+41	+50	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	22	3	11	51	170	9	5	2	219	292	323	615	104	287	26	8	271	75	-18	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4435	3996	874	155	24	71	347	1155	60	41	12	219	291	323	614	104	288	26	8	278	75	-120	+3	-10	+76	+93	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	128	23	4	10	51	169	9	6	2	218	291	323	614	104	288	26	8	278	75	-18	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,327	38	21	222	291	327	+42	+28	4.0	3.7
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+8.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ludwin Tejada (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	210/279/291	81	288	0	0	27%	7%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	54	-2.0	201/288/312	111	366	10	4	43%	10%	72	-0.7	185/281/295	109	345	11	2	44%	11%	63	-0.7
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	204/258/272	67	266	4	9	24%	6%	51	-2.3	249/290/311	62	308	2	6	19%	5%	71	-0.8	268/305/322	54	324	1	3	17%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Joe Rizzo 2019 · A	21	43→48	38→50	47→40	41	205/258/277	72	292	6	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	223/269/328	105	291	11	4	26%	5%	68	-1.0	232/279/362	130	287	16	2	25%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/267/284	77	296	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	181/260/284	103	307	10	4	40%	9%	55	-1.9	151/238/254	103	250	11	1	41%	10%	39	-1.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/287	86	279	5	10	28%	7%	59	-1.6	215/282/373	158	275	20	5	29%	7%	84	+0.2	208/273/389	181	258	25	2	30%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	42	-2.9	244/270/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	94	272	5	6	36%	8%	48	-2.5	200/267/315	115	279	11	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps