Ludwin Tejada — OGILVIE

Ludwin TejadaC DSL Brewers 1

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .278 / .290

PA43

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	64	14	1	1	0	6	14	0	2	0	219	286	266	551	47	280	20	9	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	60	17	1	1	0	10	9	0	2	0	283	386	333	719	50	333	13	14	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	48	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	125	192	208	401	83	152	28	6	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	47	8	2	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	170	250	277	527	106	189	19	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	34	5	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	147	293	176	469	29	192	21	12	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	31	6	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	194	390	226	616	32	231	14	19	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	MIL	—	43	39	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	179	256	205	461	26	288	28	7	262	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIL	34%	113	102	22	4	1	1	8	30	2	1	0	216	286	304	590	88	290	27	7	272	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB	MIL	48%	247	223	49	9	1	4	19	65	3	2	1	220	290	323	613	103	291	26	8	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	347	312	71	13	2	6	27	90	5	4	1	228	299	340	639	112	292	26	8	282	74	-10	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.6
2030	25	MLB	MIL	55%	407	367	82	15	2	7	31	105	6	4	1	223	295	332	627	109	292	26	8	285	76	-11	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.8
2031	26	MLB	MIL	56%	444	401	90	16	3	8	34	115	6	4	1	224	295	339	634	115	292	26	8	285	77	-12	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.9
2032	27	MLB	MIL	55%	463	418	94	17	3	8	36	120	6	5	2	225	296	337	633	112	292	26	8	285	77	-12	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.0
2033	28	MLB	MIL	55%	470	424	95	17	3	8	37	123	6	5	1	224	296	335	630	111	291	26	8	284	76	-13	+1	-1	+8	+13	0.9
2027	22	MLB	MIL	34%	39	35	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	200	282	229	511	29	288	26	8	259	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	MIL	48%	120	108	24	4	1	2	9	32	2	1	0	222	294	333	627	111	289	27	8	266	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	183	165	37	7	1	3	14	48	2	2	1	224	293	333	626	109	290	26	8	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	MIL	55%	223	201	45	8	1	4	17	58	3	2	1	224	294	333	627	109	290	26	8	272	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB	MIL	56%	247	223	49	9	1	4	19	64	3	2	1	220	290	323	613	103	290	26	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB	MIL	55%	255	229	50	9	1	4	20	66	4	3	1	218	292	319	611	100	289	26	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB	MIL	55%	257	231	50	9	1	4	20	67	4	2	1	216	290	316	606	100	289	26	8	272	66	-10	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1324	1192	262	47	6	21	102	345	19	12	5	220	292	322	614	102	290	26	8	271	66	-51	+0	-0	+24	+38	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	128	23	3	10	50	169	9	6	2	219	290	320	610	101	289	26	8	271	66	-25	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	2699	2432	535	95	16	43	209	698	38	28	8	220	292	325	617	105	289	26	8	279	71	-87	+2	-1	+48	+76	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	23	4	10	50	168	9	7	2	220	291	324	615	104	290	26	8	279	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	70	60	17	1	1	0	10	9	0	2	0	283	386	333	719	50	333	13	14	335	115	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	53	47	8	2	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	170	250	277	527	106	189	19	8	240	42	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	42	31	6	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	194	390	226	616	32	231	14	19	306	93	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,366	22	14	224	292	332	+24	+20	2.5	2.5
	/162	664	11	7	224	292	332	+11.9	+9.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ludwin Tejada (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/278/290	81	288	0	0	27%	7%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2019 · A	21	44	39→45	49→40	42	211/261/292	82	274	6	3	25%	6%	51	-1.7	213/271/319	106	287	10	3	28%	6%	63	-0.9	200/285/311	111	278	12	2	30%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	42	206/272/292	86	305	7	5	33%	7%	56	-1.3	216/277/305	89	275	7	5	22%	8%	62	-0.9	218/282/314	95	271	7	4	21%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/267/284	77	296	4	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	181/261/288	107	310	11	4	41%	10%	52	-1.6	150/239/261	111	249	12	1	42%	10%	32	-1.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	204/257/271	67	265	4	9	24%	6%	44	-2.1	244/285/305	61	305	2	6	20%	5%	63	-0.8	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Michael Cruz 2017 · A	21	42	38→55	49→30	47	202/284/282	80	255	6	5	22%	7%	60	-1.0	204/267/329	125	238	13	3	20%	6%	65	-0.7	187/252/334	147	215	19	1	23%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	39→45	47→45	45	181/267/268	87	282	7	6	36%	9%	49	-1.8	190/265/267	77	299	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→50	49→55	47	199/276/274	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	192/289/301	109	273	9	9	30%	12%	67	-0.5	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	44	40→50	49→50	43	210/264/306	96	280	6	8	26%	6%	56	-1.3	212/262/343	131	271	15	10	27%	6%	65	-0.7	227/286/389	162	266	21	9	23%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/285	85	279	4	10	28%	7%	54	-1.4	212/277/365	153	274	19	5	29%	6%	79	+0.3	203/266/377	174	255	24	2	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Carlos Luis 2021 · A	21	44→51	36→45	48→40	40	206/259/276	69	305	4	6	32%	6%	46	-2.0	221/271/313	92	310	7	3	29%	6%	60	-1.0	226/275/321	96	305	9	1	28%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→50	47→30	41	206/265/302	96	286	9	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	194/271/313	119	274	11	3	31%	9%	62	-0.9	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8