Elías Moscoso — OGILVIE

Elías Moscoso P DSL Orioles Black

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 162 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%22.4%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	9	9	26	108	24	13	0	100%	2.9	15.1%	15.0%	0.1%	0.0%	3.46	3.73	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Orange	9	9	26	108	24	13	0	100%	2.9	22.2%	12.0%	10.2%	0.0%	3.46	2.75	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	10	34	158	38	24	1	91%	3.1	16.4%	19.0%	-2.6%	1.0%	4.50	4.70	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	11	10	34	158	38	24	1	91%	3.1	24.1%	15.2%	8.9%	0.6%	4.50	3.36	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	12	0	9	58	7	20	2	0%	0.7	8.2%	43.1%	-34.9%	4.9%	13.50	10.55	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	12	0	9	58	7	20	2	0%	0.7	8.2%	43.1%	-34.9%	4.9%	13.50	10.55	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	12	0	9	58	7	20	2	0%	0.7	12.1%	34.5%	-22.4%	3.4%	13.50	11.41	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	8	0	10	50	13	4	1	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.0%	7.7%	3.4%	8.71	4.74	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	8	0	10	50	13	4	1	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.0%	7.7%	3.4%	8.71	4.74	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	8	0	10	50	13	4	1	0%	1.3	26.0%	8.0%	18.0%	2.0%	8.71	3.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BAL	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.4%	8.9%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	20	10	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	3.0%	4.74	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		40	19	79	374	56	76	6	48%	2.0	14.9%	20.4%	-5.5%	1.7%	5.70	5.33	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	48	200	947	141	193	16	48%	2.0	14.9%	20.4%	-5.5%	1.7%	5.70	5.33	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elías Moscoso (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	—	4.65	23.2%	11.3%	20	-0.29	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	79
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	79
Luimy Munoz R 2024 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	20.1%	14.3%	1.1%	.380	4.18	16.4%	2.0%	54	+0.35	3.05	115	76
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	75
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	74
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	74
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	74
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	73
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.6%	251	-0.19	3.67	386	73
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	73
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	73
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	72
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	72
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	72
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	72
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	72
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	71
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	71