Felix Cotes

2B Charleston RiverDogs
Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 176 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2402ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKTB29.269/.321/.3080224—.222/.250/.259
202519A/ROKTB239.251/.397/.28901455—.208/.310/.238
202620A+/A/ROKTB164.230/.348/.30201442—.190/.268/.244
2027PROJMLE21MLBTB274.202/.279/.2681658-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTB51.210/.287/.2900165-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTB113.214/.292/.3051270-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%78
Speed78
BB%72
K%68
wRC+65
wOBA61
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 94%
CompsJuan Mosquera (age 21) · Jeremy Arocho (age 22) · Candido Pimentel (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .277 / .266
PA95
HR0
K%27
BB%9
ISO67
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 7158 15412 13170 41 259394466860 207333 2418 383 44 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Rays — 2926 7100 250 20 269321308629 38333 177 280 24 — — — — — —
202519 ACharleston RiverDogs — 3930 7100 860 00 233395267661 33292 1521 315 68 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 200157 40410 32295 148 255397293690 38305 1416 322 52 — — — — — —
202620 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 3734 4300 2131 11 118189206395 88190 355 186 -29 — — — — — —
202620 ACharleston RiverDogs — 8169 19410 12170 64 275383362745 87365 2115 343 73 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Rays — 4636 9100 1080 71 250413278691 28321 1722 337 46 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 7162 10211 9210 41 161268274542 113210 3013 233 44 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2927 6100 170 20 222250259509 37267 243 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 3932 7100 680 00 219342250592 31276 2115 268 68 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 200170 35310 19425 148 206304235539 29252 2110 245 52 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 3735 3200 1171 11 86135143278 57157 463 126 -29 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 8173 17310 8230 64 233309301610 68338 2810 276 73 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4640 8100 6120 71 200304225529 25256 2613 236 46 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 7162 10211 9210 41 161268274542 113225 3013 233 44 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 7158 15412 13170 41 259394466860 207333 2418 383 44 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2927 6100 170 20 222250259509 37300 243 204 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 2926 7100 250 20 269321308629 38333 177 280 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 239202 42410 25515 148 208310238548 30273 2110 249 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 239187 47510 40355 148 251397289685 37303 1517 321 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 164147 27610 16521 146 184268238506 54284 3210 231 42 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW3 teams — 164139 32810 24381 146 230348302650 72317 2315 306 42 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 7162 10211 9210 41 161268274542 113210 3013 233 44 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2928 6100 170 20 214250250500 36267 243 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 239207 42410 25515 148 203310232542 29256 2110 249 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 164146 27610 16521 146 185268240508 55274 3210 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2928 6100 170 20 214250250500 36267 243 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 239207 42410 25515 148 203310232542 29256 2110 249 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 164146 27610 16521 146 185268240508 55274 3210 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETB 0% 274245 501021 24753 62 202279268548 67282 279 254 58 -14 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETB 34% 149134 27511 13401 31 208285288574 81283 279 264 65 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202923 MLB MLETB 48% 233208 44813 21612 52 212290304594 92285 269 272 70 -8 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.2
203024 MLB MLETB 53% 315281 611224 28823 72 216294316609 100286 269 278 74 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203125 MLB MLETB 55% 365326 711326 32944 83 218296324620 106286 269 282 77 -10 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.0
203226 MLB MLETB 56% 393351 781527 351014 83 220297330628 110286 269 285 79 -10 +0 +0 +1 +9 0.0
203327 MLB MLETB 55% 406363 801527 361054 93 219296328624 109286 269 283 78 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.0
203428 MLB MLETB 55% 407364 791526 361064 83 217294323617 106285 269 280 76 -12 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.2
203529 MLB MLETB 53% 399357 761426 351054 73 215291316608 102283 269 277 73 -13 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXTB 34% 5147 9200 4140 10 210287290577 80287 278 265 65 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXTB 48% 113101 22411 10301 21 214292305597 90288 279 273 70 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXTB 53% 166148 32612 15432 41 218295317612 98289 269 279 74 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXTB 55% 200178 39713 18522 41 221298325623 104290 269 283 77 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXTB 56% 219196 44814 19562 52 222299331630 108290 269 286 79 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.0
203327 MLB CTXTB 55% 223199 44814 20582 52 221298328626 107289 269 284 78 -6 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
203428 MLB CTXTB 55% 222198 43813 20582 42 219296323619 104288 269 281 76 -6 +0 -0 +1 +5 -0.1
203529 MLB CTXTB 53% 213190 42813 19562 42 217293317610 100287 269 278 73 -7 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14071257 27551720 12536713 2911 219296318614 99291 269 281 70 -41 +1 -1 +5 +30 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 1272439 581706 135 219296317613 98291 269 281 70 -19 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 32652908 6181131841 29585133 9136 213292306598 94284 269 272 70 -84 +3 -2 +10 +60 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1232248 591697 187 212293306599 93284 269 272 70 -20 +1 -0 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 81 PAwOBA .335 → .276 (−60)K% 21.0% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.99%÷1.000×1.360——28.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.81%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01510.38%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.000×0.920×1.013×1.01525.46%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.830×1.013×1.0156.56%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.910×1.013×1.0151.80%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .335 → .276; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .365 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 46 PAwOBA .330 → .236 (−94)K% 17.4% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.39%÷1.000×1.440——25.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.74%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98513.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98523.08%
Doubles /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9852.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .236; ISO .028 → .020; BABIP .321 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 37 PAwOBA .182 → .126 (−56)K% 35.1% → 46.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.14%÷1.000×1.310——46.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.41%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0273.33%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.770—×1.0272.14%
Singles /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.870—×1.0274.25%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.780—×1.02711.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .182 → .126; ISO .088 → .060; BABIP .190 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 200 PAwOBA .318 → .245 (−73)K% 14.5% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.50%÷0.985×1.440——21.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.50%÷0.991×0.620—×0.9959.65%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.720—×0.9951.79%
Singles /BIP27.34%÷1.018×0.820×1.050×0.99523.00%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.026×0.720×1.050×0.9952.29%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.720×1.050×0.9950.51%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.809×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .318 → .245; ISO .038 → .028; BABIP .305 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 39 PAwOBA .309 → .268 (−41)K% 15.4% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.38%÷1.006×1.360——20.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.51%÷0.985×0.690—×1.03014.81%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.013×0.920—×1.03023.39%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷0.850×0.830—×1.0304.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .309 → .268; ISO .033 → .035; BABIP .292 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Rays · 29 PAwOBA .273 → .204 (−68)K% 17.2% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.24%÷0.980×1.440——25.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.024×0.620—×1.0084.21%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.024×0.820—×1.00823.05%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷0.941×0.720—×1.0083.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.002×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .273 → .204; ISO .038 → .029; BABIP .333 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 71 PAwOBA .374 → .233 (−141)K% 23.9% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.94%÷0.999×1.220——29.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.31%÷1.025×0.700—×1.00812.60%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP19.51%÷0.963×0.680—×1.00813.88%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.106×0.600—×1.0085.33%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷1.061×0.600—×1.0081.39%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷1.121×0.470—×1.0082.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 121, 3B 112, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .374 → .233; ISO .207 → .102; BABIP .333 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).