Felix Cotes — OGILVIE

Felix Cotes2B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 176 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .295 / .277

PA106

HR0

K%25

BB%9

BABIP294

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	71	63	11	2	1	1	8	24	0	4	1	175	268	286	553	111	263	34	11	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	71	58	15	4	1	2	13	17	0	4	1	259	394	466	860	207	333	24	18	383	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	29	27	6	1	0	0	1	8	0	2	0	222	250	259	509	37	316	28	3	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	29	26	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	269	321	308	629	38	333	17	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	239	202	41	4	1	0	25	51	5	14	8	203	306	233	539	30	266	21	10	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	239	187	47	5	1	0	40	35	5	14	8	251	397	289	685	37	303	15	17	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TB	—	119	105	20	4	1	0	14	34	0	12	5	190	286	248	533	57	282	29	12	238	41	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
YTD	20	A	TB	—	119	97	23	5	1	0	22	24	0	12	5	237	378	309	687	72	315	20	18	326	107	+1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.5
ROS	20	A	TB	0%	106	94	20	4	1	0	10	27	1	4	1	213	295	277	572	64	281	25	9	263	60	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TB	—	119	106	20	4	1	0	14	34	0	12	5	189	286	245	531	57	278	29	12	238	41	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
TOT	20	A	TB	—	225	199	40	8	2	0	24	61	1	16	6	201	290	261	551	60	288	27	11	250	50	-13	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	301	266	58	11	2	3	29	74	3	8	3	218	302	308	610	90	282	25	10	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	402	356	78	15	2	5	39	97	4	10	3	219	303	315	618	96	284	24	10	284	76	-11	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	468	416	92	17	3	7	45	112	4	11	4	221	303	327	630	106	285	24	10	290	80	-10	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	511	452	103	19	3	9	49	121	5	12	4	228	310	343	653	115	286	24	10	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	535	473	108	20	3	10	52	127	5	12	4	228	311	347	658	118	287	24	10	296	84	-9	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.9
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	548	485	110	20	3	10	53	130	5	12	4	227	309	342	652	115	286	24	10	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.9
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	551	487	110	20	3	10	54	131	5	12	4	226	310	341	650	115	286	24	10	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.9
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	103	91	21	4	1	1	10	25	1	3	1	231	314	330	643	99	286	24	10	271	65	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	195	172	39	7	1	3	19	47	2	5	2	227	311	331	642	105	288	24	10	279	72	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	254	225	51	9	2	4	25	61	2	6	2	227	310	338	647	111	289	24	10	285	76	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	283	251	58	10	2	5	27	67	3	6	2	231	313	347	660	116	290	24	10	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	300	265	61	11	2	5	29	71	3	7	2	230	313	343	657	113	290	24	10	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	308	272	62	11	2	5	30	73	3	7	2	228	311	338	650	110	290	24	10	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	305	269	61	11	2	5	30	72	3	7	2	227	311	338	650	112	290	24	10	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1748	1546	353	63	12	28	170	416	17	41	13	228	312	339	651	111	292	24	10	287	78	-44	+3	+0	+6	+50	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	23	4	10	63	155	6	15	5	226	309	332	641	106	290	24	10	287	78	-16	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3761	3321	737	133	22	55	365	902	37	101	36	222	306	325	631	103	286	24	10	286	77	-97	+6	+0	+13	+107	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	128	23	4	10	63	156	6	17	6	223	306	329	636	106	286	24	10	286	77	-17	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	71	58	15	4	1	2	13	17	0	4	1	259	394	466	860	207	333	24	18	383	152	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	29	26	7	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	269	321	308	629	38	333	17	7	280	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	30	7	1	0	0	8	6	0	0	0	233	395	267	661	33	292	15	21	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	200	157	40	4	1	0	32	29	5	14	8	255	397	293	690	38	305	14	16	322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+6	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,973	30	44	224	304	331	+7	+5	2.0	2.1
	/162	664	10	15	224	304	331	+2.4	+1.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Cotes (OGILVIE)	20	45	20	55	60	201/290/261	60	288	0	16	27%	11%	50	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2008 · A	20	46	34→30	48→55	53	209/308/256	46	299	1	17	27%	11%	63	-0.8	197/274/246	49	265	2	11	24%	9%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	57	-1.2	209/271/272	63	327	3	8	34%	7%	50	-1.7	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Deivi Estrada 2021 · A	20	46	36→30	45→50	50	213/291/275	62	281	3	9	23%	9%	60	-1.0	190/251/259	69	328	3	8	40%	7%	38	-2.6	146/188/204	58	314	3	4	52%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Melvin Jimenez 2016 · A	20	50	35→30	53→45	51	230/296/292	63	272	1	8	15%	8%	66	-0.6	220/280/270	50	264	2	8	16%	7%	53	-1.5	215/274/233	18	253	0	8	14%	7%	39	-0.6
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	57	-1.2	233/312/289	56	299	1	25	20%	9%	72	-0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	48	36→30	54→55	51	223/302/295	72	308	3	17	26%	10%	69	-0.4	217/280/273	56	305	2	15	27%	8%	53	-1.5	241/290/282	41	339	1	17	27%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	72	-0.2	217/282/279	62	272	2	15	19%	8%	56	-1.3	200/241/256	56	246	0	10	18%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Everth Cabrera 2007 · A	20	45→55	34→40	50→65	47	206/280/258	52	296	2	16	29%	9%	50	-1.7	231/298/311	80	319	4	27	26%	8%	71	-0.3	262/328/346	84	335	4	54	21%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Oliver Nunez 2015 · A	20	44	35→40	49→50	56	204/298/270	66	271	2	13	24%	12%	62	-0.9	229/297/298	69	282	2	13	18%	9%	68	-0.5	245/306/311	67	296	2	16	17%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Pedro Ruiz 2012 · A	20	44	34→30	48→50	53	202/296/253	51	285	1	11	26%	11%	57	-1.2	208/278/270	62	325	3	10	33%	8%	53	-1.5	185/263/241	56	295	3	8	35%	9%	36	-1.3
✕Herbert Lara 2008 · A	20	51	34→30	50	51	233/304/284	51	275	1	10	15%	8%	67	-0.5	217/271/290	73	250	5	8	15%	6%	55	-1.4	203/246/275	71	223	7	7	13%	4%	37	-0.7
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Jesus Castillo 2023 · A	20	49→44	33→30	48→55	46	227/289/271	44	293	1	15	22%	7%	57	-1.2	208/314/252	44	297	2	19	27%	12%	66	-0.6	220/292/258	38	327	3	16	31%	8%	52	-0.6